本文選題：《周易》 + 斐波那契數(shù)列��； 參考：《青島科技大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：本論文以上證綜合指數(shù)每日行情的時間序列為研究對象,以《周易》與斐波那契數(shù)列為主要理論基礎,提出了全新的中國股市時間節(jié)律理論和中國股市周期理論,不僅豐富和發(fā)展了現(xiàn)有的證券投資分析理論,也對投資者的短期和長期投資行為有重要的指導意義。 首先,新發(fā)現(xiàn)中國股市存在顯著的以89交易日為單元的時間節(jié)律,中國23年的股市歷程可以劃分為62個時間節(jié)律,依次為強上升型18個,標準上升型8個,頂盤整型10個,強下降型7個,標準下降型6個,底盤整型13個。其次,以股市時間節(jié)律為基礎,新發(fā)現(xiàn)中國股市存在顯著的周期性,中國23年的股市歷程可以劃分四個周期。每一周期分為六至八波段,最大特征是第一波段有較大幅度的上升,第二波段有較大幅度的下降,其余各波段皆為調(diào)整,周期延續(xù)時間為4-8年。 再次,根據(jù)股市周期理論中不同波段的特征,得到第一波段與第三波段的堅決持倉策略、第二波段的堅決空倉策略、第八波段的籌備建倉策略、其余各波段的謹慎操作策略的結(jié)論。 最后,展望中國股市的前景,提出中國股市周期Ⅳ已經(jīng)或即將結(jié)束、周期V已經(jīng)或即將來臨的兩種可能性,分別為可能性一：周期Ⅳ由八波組成,第七、第八波均由一個股市時間節(jié)律構(gòu)成,周期Ⅳ大約在2013年八月中上旬結(jié)束�？赡苄远褐芷冖粲闪ńM成,周期V自2012.12.4已經(jīng)開啟,股市經(jīng)過頂盤整型之后股指或股價K線會出現(xiàn)由快速上升,到穩(wěn)步上升,最后發(fā)展到瘋狂上升的牛市階段。
[Abstract]:On the basis of "Zhouyi" and Fibonacci series as the main theoretical basis, this paper puts forward a new theory of time rhythm of Chinese stock market and the theory of Chinese stock market cycle, which not only enriches and develops the existing theory of securities investment analysis, but also the short-term and long-term investment of investors. Capital behavior has important guiding significance.
First, it is found that China's stock market has a significant time rhythm with 89 trading days as a unit. China's stock market history can be divided into 62 time rhythms for 23 years, in turn, strong rising 18, standard rising 8, top plate integer 10, strong descending 7, standard descending 6 and chassis integral 13. Secondly, based on stock market time rhythm. The new discovery of Chinese stock market has a remarkable periodicity. China's stock market process can be divided into four cycles for 23 years. Each cycle is divided into six to eight bands. The largest feature is a large rise in the first band, a large decline in the second band, the rest of the bands are all adjusted, and the duration of the cycle is 4-8 years.
Thirdly, according to the characteristics of different bands in the stock market cycle theory, we get the resolute holding strategy of the first band and the third band, the resolute empty warehouse strategy in the second band, the preparation strategy of the eighth band and the conclusion of the cautious operation strategy of the other bands.
Finally, looking forward to the future of China's stock market, the two possibilities that China's stock market cycle has already or are about to end, and the two possibilities that have been or are coming, are the possibility that the cycle IV consists of eight waves, seventh, eighth waves are composed of a time rhythm of the stock market, and the cycle IV is ended in early mid August 2013. The possibility is two: week. The period IV is composed of six waves, and the cycle V has been opened from 2012.12.4. After the stock market, the stock index or the K line will rise rapidly from the stock market to the steady rise, and finally to the crazily rising bull market.
【學位授予單位】：青島科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.51;F224

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