本文選題：股票二級市場 + 投資盈利方法論��； 參考：《天津大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著中國股票市場的日趨成熟,越來越多的機構(gòu)投資者的參與使得股票市場對于經(jīng)濟變化的反應(yīng)更具規(guī)律性和趨勢性,但相對于發(fā)達國家的成熟市場,我國股票市場還存在一定的缺陷,在目前我國新興+轉(zhuǎn)軌的股票市場中,面對紛繁復(fù)雜的內(nèi)外因變化,如何進行信息的有效篩選、更加理性的進行投資決策是越來越多市場參與者所關(guān)注的問題。本文以具有一定基礎(chǔ)知識背景的小型私募和個人大戶的角度出發(fā),利用自上而下的分析方法,對影響我國股票市場的風(fēng)險因素進行分析,通過風(fēng)險等級的確定和風(fēng)險偏好的選擇來指導(dǎo)投資者進行投資決策。主要研究內(nèi)容包括: 1.在經(jīng)濟學(xué)、貨幣銀行學(xué)、財政學(xué)、投資學(xué)、金融市場學(xué)、投資組合與風(fēng)險控制的基礎(chǔ)上,對股票漲跌原理進行初探,成為建立風(fēng)險——收益分析體系的依據(jù)。 2.通過對國際市場、經(jīng)濟周期、宏觀政策與A股市場的關(guān)系研究,在歷史數(shù)據(jù)的支撐下,找到了一定的規(guī)律性變化,并分析了這種規(guī)律的成因和傳導(dǎo)作用,以宏觀的視角判斷A股市場的未來一段時間的投資方向選擇。 3.將宏觀經(jīng)濟變化影響下的行業(yè)選擇引入這一風(fēng)險——收益體系中來,使投資者在完成宏觀判斷基礎(chǔ)上,對未來的投資標(biāo)的選擇更具方向性。 4.依靠波浪理論對市場群體行為的描述,將宏觀判斷、中觀選擇與行情描述相結(jié)合,創(chuàng)新的將傳統(tǒng)的投資組合與波浪理論指導(dǎo)下的行情架構(gòu)相結(jié)合,最終形成具有直接應(yīng)用性、操作性的投資方法研究體系。 本文針對中國“新興+轉(zhuǎn)軌”的股票二級市場特點,將西方投資價值理論與市場金融行為學(xué)理論相結(jié)合,從風(fēng)險判定角度提供盈利依據(jù)和方法,為中國A股二級市場投資盈利方法提供指導(dǎo)體系。
[Abstract]:With the maturity of China's stock market, more and more institutional investors participate in the stock market response to economic changes more regular and trend, but compared with the mature market in developed countries, There are still some defects in the stock market of our country. In the new stock market of our country, how to screen the information effectively in the face of complicated internal and external changes, More rational investment decision-making is the concern of more and more market participants. This paper, from the angle of small private equity and individual large investors with certain basic knowledge background, uses top-down analysis method to analyze the risk factors that affect the stock market in our country. Investors are guided to make investment decisions through the determination of risk level and the choice of risk preference. The main research contents include: 1. On the basis of economics, monetary and banking, finance, investment, financial market, portfolio and risk control, this paper probes into the principle of stock fluctuation and falls, and becomes the basis of establishing the risk- return analysis system. 2. Through the research on the relationship between international market, economic cycle, macro policy and A share market, under the support of historical data, we find some regular changes, and analyze the cause of formation and transmission function of this law. From a macro perspective to judge the A-share market for a period of time to choose the direction of investment. 3. The industry choice under the influence of macroeconomic change is introduced into the risk-income system, which makes investors choose the future investment target more directionally on the basis of completing the macro judgment. 4. Relying on wave theory to describe market group behavior, combining macro judgment, meso selection and market description, innovatively combining the traditional investment portfolio with the market structure under the guidance of wave theory, finally forming a direct application. Operational investment method research system. In view of the characteristics of the secondary stock market in China's "emerging transition", this paper combines the western theory of investment value with the theory of market financial behavior, and provides the profit basis and method from the angle of risk determination. For the Chinese A-share secondary market investment profit methods to provide guidance system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F224;F832.51

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前7條

1 梁軍;真實經(jīng)濟周期理論及其與傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟周期理論的比較[J];上海經(jīng)濟研究;2005年01期

2 左坤;方榮楷;;傳統(tǒng)金融理論與行為金融理論的比較分析[J];經(jīng)濟論壇;2007年01期

3 嚴丹屏 ,徐長生 ,馮菊平;國際短期資本流動的風(fēng)險生成機制研究[J];經(jīng)濟師;2003年10期

4 王宇;;國際資本流動的原因、路徑和趨勢[J];華北金融;2008年08期

5 ;羅斯托的經(jīng)濟成長階段論[J];前線;1997年09期

6 楊延青;;經(jīng)濟周期劃分評述[J];商場現(xiàn)代化;2010年06期

7 黃景貴;羅斯托經(jīng)濟起飛理論述評[J];石油大學(xué)學(xué)報(社會科學(xué)版);2000年02期

，

本文編號：1885623