希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)成因及對(duì)策研究
本文選題:希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī) 切入點(diǎn):成因 出處:《東北師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:2001年,希臘在高盛銀行的幫助下“破格”加入歐元區(qū),并按照規(guī)定同歐盟實(shí)施統(tǒng)一的貨幣政策和獨(dú)立的財(cái)政政策;2005年,歐盟首次放寬《穩(wěn)定與增長(zhǎng)公約》財(cái)政赤字規(guī)定范圍限制,此后5年中歐盟內(nèi)部成員國(guó)27個(gè)成員國(guó)中有20個(gè)國(guó)家違反財(cái)政紀(jì)律要求,財(cái)政赤字占GDP比重超過(guò)3%的危機(jī)警戒線,其中包括后來(lái)導(dǎo)致整個(gè)歐洲主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)爆發(fā)的導(dǎo)火索——希臘;2009年,惠譽(yù)、穆迪、標(biāo)普三大國(guó)際評(píng)級(jí)機(jī)構(gòu)接連下調(diào)希臘主權(quán)信用評(píng)級(jí),希臘公共債務(wù)累計(jì)高達(dá)3000億歐元,外債占GDP比重增至116%,赤字占GDP比重達(dá)12%,遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過(guò)《馬斯特里赫特》規(guī)定上限,希臘被公布爆發(fā)主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)。歐盟為應(yīng)對(duì)危機(jī),啟動(dòng)緊急救助計(jì)劃,建立健全歐洲穩(wěn)定機(jī)制并對(duì)希臘提供直接貸款援助。同時(shí),希臘調(diào)整自身財(cái)政結(jié)構(gòu),并在歐盟協(xié)助下進(jìn)行債務(wù)回購(gòu);2012年12月,標(biāo)普首次將希臘主權(quán)信用評(píng)級(jí)連升6級(jí)上調(diào)至B-級(jí),至此希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)或有望恢復(fù)穩(wěn)定。 本文將從三個(gè)方面來(lái)研究希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)的形成原因并對(duì)至今為止提出的解決對(duì)策進(jìn)行討論分析: 第一,主權(quán)債務(wù)理論的相關(guān)評(píng)述。本文將以債務(wù)理論的評(píng)述作為依據(jù),闡述國(guó)家舉債的目的及影響,以及主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)產(chǎn)生的背景和原因。 第二,希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)原因分析。本文通過(guò)回顧從2001年希臘加入歐元區(qū)到目前希臘主權(quán)評(píng)級(jí)被恢復(fù)上調(diào)的整個(gè)過(guò)程,從內(nèi)部因素及外部因素兩個(gè)方面按照時(shí)間進(jìn)程進(jìn)行歸類分析,并研究各個(gè)因素對(duì)希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)爆發(fā)的推動(dòng)影響。 第三,應(yīng)對(duì)希臘主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)應(yīng)采取的內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整措施及歐元區(qū)制度改革。根據(jù)希臘債務(wù)危機(jī)給出的啟示,結(jié)合我國(guó)綜合國(guó)情探討我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理性以及如何進(jìn)一步加強(qiáng)主權(quán)債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的防范措施。
[Abstract]:In 2001 , Greece joined the euro zone with the help of Goldman Sachs , and implemented a unified monetary policy and independent fiscal policy with the European Union in accordance with the provisions ;
In 2005 , the European Union first relaxed the limits on the scope of the fiscal deficit of the Pact for Stability and Growth . Twenty out of the 27 member countries of the EU ' s internal member states violated financial discipline requirements in five years , and fiscal deficits accounted for more than 3 per cent of GDP crisis warning lines , including those that later led to the outbreak of the entire European sovereign debt crisis ;
In 2009 , Moody ' s , S & P ' s three major international ratings agencies downgraded Greece ' s sovereign credit rating , Greece ' s public debt up to 30 billion euros , external debt up to 116 per cent of GDP , a deficit of 12 per cent of GDP , far more than the upper limit set by the European Union , and Greece was released from a sovereign debt crisis . The European Union , in response to the crisis , launched an emergency rescue plan to establish and sound a European stability mechanism and provide direct loan assistance to Greece . At the same time , Greece adjusted its own fiscal structure and assisted with debt buybacks with the assistance of the European Union ;
In December 2012 , S . S . S . S . S . S . S . S . S . , the first Greek sovereign credit rating , was raised to the B - level for the first time so far as Greece ' s sovereign debt crisis or is expected to restore stability .
This paper will study the formation reason of Greece ' s sovereign debt crisis from three aspects and discuss the solution to the present resolution :
First , the review of sovereign debt theory . This paper will discuss the purpose and influence of the national debt burden and the background and reason of sovereign debt crisis based on the comment of debt theory .
Second , the analysis of the causes of the sovereign debt crisis in Greece . This paper reviews the whole process of the return of Greece ' s sovereign rating from the euro zone in 2001 to the current Greek sovereign rating , classifies and analyzes the internal and external factors according to the time process , and studies the influence of various factors on the crisis of sovereign debt crisis in Greece .
Thirdly , the internal economic structure adjustment measures and the reform of the eurozone system should be taken in response to the Greek sovereign debt crisis . According to the enlightenment from the Greek debt crisis , the rationality of our country ' s economic structure and the precautionary measures how to further strengthen the risk of sovereign debt are discussed .
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F811.5;F831.59
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