本文關(guān)鍵詞： 發(fā)達(dá)國家 經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 主權(quán)債務(wù)問題 啟示　出處：《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：一直以來，可以說主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)的發(fā)生已是常態(tài)，歷史上戰(zhàn)爭因素造成的債務(wù)違約時(shí)有發(fā)生，二戰(zhàn)后達(dá)到頂峰，當(dāng)時(shí)世界上基本上有半數(shù)國家都出現(xiàn)了債務(wù)違約現(xiàn)象；20世紀(jì)80年代到90年代，發(fā)生在新興市場國家，源于資產(chǎn)泡沫破裂的債務(wù)危機(jī)，亦給世界帶來了不小的影響。債務(wù)危機(jī)的發(fā)生往往具有一定的周期性，，而且通常是與銀行危機(jī)相伴隨，銀行危機(jī)與債務(wù)危機(jī)之間有密切的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制。 自2007年美國的次貸危機(jī)爆發(fā)以來，引發(fā)了一連串的效應(yīng)，并且一步步擴(kuò)展為世界性的金融危機(jī)。美國、日本等主要發(fā)達(dá)國家債務(wù)問題顯現(xiàn)，歐洲債務(wù)危機(jī)亦愈演愈烈，各國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展一直未能擺脫危機(jī)影響，復(fù)蘇乏力。為何此次危機(jī)影響如此之大？為何持續(xù)時(shí)間如此之長？更深層次的原因，是國家制度設(shè)計(jì)、政治經(jīng)濟(jì)體制機(jī)制的運(yùn)行問題。 發(fā)達(dá)國家主權(quán)債務(wù)問題，是由發(fā)達(dá)國家的政府債務(wù)到期無力償還，從而引發(fā)對發(fā)達(dá)國家的主權(quán)信用的重新審視，國家主權(quán)信用遭到質(zhì)疑，國家的整體經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行陷入困境，影響了社會(huì)的穩(wěn)定與發(fā)展，也引發(fā)了全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的動(dòng)蕩。政府尚且不能維持自身債務(wù)的穩(wěn)定，那么各企業(yè)又該保持怎樣的投融資規(guī)模，如何把債務(wù)限制在一定的范圍內(nèi)，這都是值得我們思考的問題。 政府債務(wù)不只包括對國內(nèi)居民的債務(wù)，還有對國外居民的債務(wù)，所以除了影響本國經(jīng)濟(jì)的運(yùn)行與國家的穩(wěn)定之外，還會(huì)對整個(gè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生巨大的影響，特別是像美國、歐元區(qū)這類具有全球重要影響力的大國、區(qū)域集團(tuán)，對世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響更加深遠(yuǎn)。發(fā)達(dá)國家債務(wù)問題的解決，關(guān)系到世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的復(fù)蘇能力，作為世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的先行者，對發(fā)展中國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展具有重要的示范作用。 本文主要從發(fā)達(dá)國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展問題出發(fā)，對其債務(wù)危機(jī)爆發(fā)的過程、原因、相關(guān)因素進(jìn)行深入分析，通過相關(guān)模型的檢驗(yàn)、分析得出相應(yīng)的預(yù)警機(jī)制，從而提出對中國債務(wù)問題的相關(guān)思考，歸納出對中國經(jīng)濟(jì)健康穩(wěn)定發(fā)展的啟示。
[Abstract]:All along, it can be said that the occurrence of sovereign debt crises has been the norm. Historically, debt defaults caused by war factors have occurred from time to time, culminating after World War II. At the time, basically half of the world's countries had defaulted on their debt. From 80s to 90s, the debt crisis in emerging markets, caused by the bursting of the asset bubble, occurred between 80s and 90s. The occurrence of debt crisis is often cyclical, and usually accompanied by bank crisis, there is a close transmission mechanism between bank crisis and debt crisis. Since the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2007, it has triggered a series of effects and gradually expanded into a worldwide financial crisis. The debt problems of the major developed countries, such as the United States and Japan, have emerged, and the debt crisis in Europe has also intensified. The economic development of each country has been unable to shake off the impact of the crisis and the recovery has been weak. Why is the crisis so affected? Why does it last so long? The deeper reason, is the national system design, the political economic system mechanism movement question. The sovereign debt problem of developed countries is caused by the government debt of developed countries to be due and unable to repay, which leads to a re-examination of the sovereign credit of developed countries. The sovereign credit of the developed countries is questioned, and the overall economic operation of the country is in difficulty. It has affected social stability and development, and also triggered global economic turmoil. Even if the government cannot maintain the stability of its own debt, then what kind of investment and financing scale should enterprises maintain and how to limit their debts to a certain extent? These are all questions worthy of our consideration. Government debt includes not only debt to domestic residents, but also debt to foreign residents. Therefore, in addition to affecting the operation of the domestic economy and the stability of the country, it will also have a huge impact on the world economy as a whole, especially in the United States. Regional groups, such as the euro zone, have a more profound impact on the world economy. The solution to the debt problems of developed countries has a bearing on the ability of the world economy to recover, and is a pioneer in the development of the world economy. It plays an important role in demonstrating the economic development of developing countries. Starting from the problems of economic development in developed countries, this paper makes a deep analysis of the process, causes and relevant factors of the outbreak of debt crisis, and obtains the corresponding early warning mechanism through the examination of relevant models. Therefore, the author puts forward some thoughts on China's debt problem and sums up the enlightenment to the healthy and stable development of China's economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F811.5

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