拉美三國與我國外債問題的比較研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:拉美三國與我國外債問題的比較研究 出處:《河北大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 債務(wù)危機 外債規(guī)模 外債結(jié)構(gòu)
【摘要】:外債的合理利用能夠彌補國內(nèi)資金的不足,促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,因此各國都不同程度的對外借債。近年來隨著各國外債借入量的增加,債務(wù)問題越來越頻繁的出現(xiàn),尤其是20世紀(jì)80年代的拉美債務(wù)危機和最近發(fā)生的歐洲債務(wù)危機使人們越來越關(guān)注債務(wù)的借入量和債務(wù)風(fēng)險的高低。20世紀(jì)70年代拉美國家急需資金發(fā)展國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè),但是由于國內(nèi)儲蓄不足制約了經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,同時以美國為代表的發(fā)達(dá)國家出現(xiàn)了國內(nèi)資本剩余的現(xiàn)狀,為了轉(zhuǎn)嫁剩余資本,這些國家開始向拉美國家輸出資本,拉美國家開始實行進(jìn)口替代工業(yè)的發(fā)展模式。由于外債規(guī)模的增加超過了國家的償債能力,最終拉美許多國家都發(fā)生了債務(wù)危機。本文選取了巴西、墨西哥和阿根廷這三個比較典型的國家,介紹了這三個國家發(fā)生債務(wù)危機的過程,并對政府解決債務(wù)危機所采取的措施進(jìn)行了概括總結(jié),同時通過措施的總結(jié)得到了三點啟示,即從實際出發(fā),對財政政策進(jìn)行適當(dāng)調(diào)整、實行靈活而現(xiàn)實的匯率與利率政策、宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)均衡發(fā)展是國家避免債務(wù)危機的保證。這三點可以對我國處理外債債問題,避免我國發(fā)生債務(wù)風(fēng)險給予借鑒。 我國從20世紀(jì)80年代開始了經(jīng)濟(jì)全面建設(shè)的時代,然而落后的現(xiàn)狀難以滿足經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,我國開始對外借債。尤其是進(jìn)入20世紀(jì)以來,我國外債規(guī)模不斷增加,外債風(fēng)險敞口擴大。因此本文對我國外債特點進(jìn)行了歸納,同時對拉美債務(wù)情況和我國的債務(wù)情況從外債規(guī)模、外債結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)方面進(jìn)行了對比分析,指出了我國在外債規(guī)模和外債結(jié)構(gòu)方面存在的問題,同時提出了我國外債良性發(fā)展的五點建議,包括保持適度外債規(guī)模、調(diào)整外債結(jié)構(gòu)、明確借債目的,提高外債使用效率、嚴(yán)肅財政紀(jì)律,強化外債償還管理、加強外債風(fēng)險管理,完善風(fēng)險監(jiān)測預(yù)警系統(tǒng)。這五點政策建議對我國外債的良性發(fā)展具有現(xiàn)實意義。 本文第一章為本文的緒論部分。第二章介紹了巴西、墨西哥和阿根廷這三個國家的債務(wù)危機發(fā)展情況和外債情況。第三章總結(jié)了這三個國家治理債務(wù)危機的措施和我們從中得到的啟示。第四章介紹了我國外債的發(fā)展情況。第五章為我國和拉美三個國家的外債比較。第六章為我國處理外債的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Rational use of foreign debt to make up for the domestic capital, promote economic development, so countries have different levels of foreign borrowing. In recent years, with the increase of national debt borrowing amount, the debt problem is becoming more and more frequent, especially in the Latin American debt crisis in 1980s and the recent European debt crisis makes people pay more and more attention to debt the amount of borrowing and debt risk level of the.20 century 70s funds are the development of Latin American countries in domestic economic construction, but due to the lack of domesticsavings restricted economic development at the same time, the developed countries represented by the United States the status of domestic capital surplus, in order to transfer the surplus capital, these countries began to capital of Latin American countries, Latin American countries began to output. The development mode of carrying out the import substitution industry. Due to the increase of external debt exceeded the solvency of the country, eventually in Latin America The debt crisis happened in many countries. This paper chooses Brazil, Mexico and Argentina are the three typical countries, introduces the process of the three national debt crisis, and to take the government to resolve the debt crisis measures are summarized, and the three enlightenments obtained by the summary of the measures, i.e. reality, make appropriate adjustments to the fiscal policy, the implementation of the exchange rate and interest rate policy in a flexible and practical, sustained and balanced development of macro economy is the country to avoid the debt crisis. The three points can guarantee for China to deal with external debt problem and avoid debt risk in China for reference.
Our country has started the era of overall economic construction from 1980s, however it isdifficult to meet the development of economy, our country began to borrow external debt. Especially since twentieth Century, China's external debt increasing, foreign debt exposure expanding. This paper summarizes characteristics of our foreign debt, the Latin American debt and China's debt situation from the aspects of foreign debt, debt structure and economic structure are analyzed, pointing out that China's existing in the scale of external debt and foreign debt structure, and puts forward five suggestions for development of our foreign debt, including the debt to maintain moderate scale, adjust the structure of foreign debt, clear the purpose of the debt, foreign debt increased the use of efficiency, serious fiscal discipline, strengthen external debt management, strengthen the risk management of foreign debts, improve risk warning monitoring system. The five point policy proposals on China's foreign debt Good development is of practical significance.
The first chapter is the introduction part of this paper. The second chapter introduces the three countries Brazil, Mexico and Argentina's debt crisis and debt situation. The third chapter summarizes the three national debt crisis governance measures and we get inspiration. The fourth chapter introduces the development of China's foreign debt of fifth. Chapter is the comparison our country and three countries in Latin America debt. The sixth chapter is our treatment suggestions debts.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:河北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F812.5;F811.5
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