本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城市群 重大公共安全事件 應急指揮 協(xié)同　出處：《華中科技大學》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：近年來,中國政府已把城市群作為國家發(fā)展的重大戰(zhàn)略,黨中央“十一五”規(guī)劃指出,要把城市群作為推進城鎮(zhèn)化建設的主體形態(tài),“十二五”規(guī)劃進一步提出“兩橫三縱”的城市化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略格局。隨著城市化進程的加快,城市規(guī)模的不斷擴張,人口、建筑物的高度密集,一旦在城市群中發(fā)生重大公共安全事件,其危害性是在其他任何地區(qū)不可比擬的,對國家和社會造成的損失和破壞是不可估量的。城市群重大公共安全事件的發(fā)生會對相關(guān)區(qū)域整體公共安全和經(jīng)濟社會的可持續(xù)發(fā)展構(gòu)成嚴重威脅。其擴散、演變過程涉及到多主體、多維度,多因素交互作用,是一個非線性的復雜大系統(tǒng)。因此,實現(xiàn)城市群中各城市應急資源的合理配置就顯得非常重要,其中的關(guān)鍵問題是如何優(yōu)化設計應急指揮協(xié)作關(guān)系。本文選題來自于國家自然科學基金項目“面向應急決策支持的非常規(guī)突發(fā)事件案例推理的理論與方法”(編號：91324203)”,以城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮協(xié)同為研究目標,選取應急指揮組織結(jié)構(gòu)作為突破口,首先闡述城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮及其要素構(gòu)成,在此基礎上研究城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮模式框架及實現(xiàn)路徑。進而揭示城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮協(xié)同的三種模式。然后在設計城市群應急指揮組織協(xié)作網(wǎng)的基礎上,對城市群應急指揮組織決策樹進行了描述和分析,由此對城市群應急指揮組織決策樹的設計構(gòu)建了數(shù)學模型。最后,分別以長三角和珠三角城市群為案例分析對象,應用應急指揮決策模型和算法對兩個城市群的重大公共安全事件應急指揮關(guān)系進行了優(yōu)化設計,驗證了城市群各結(jié)點城市之間的應急指揮有效協(xié)作。本論文的主要研究內(nèi)容為：在梳理應急指揮協(xié)同理論與方法的基礎上,結(jié)合對城市群重大公共安全事件和城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮概念的界定,分析了城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮要素的構(gòu)成,并指出了城市群重大公共安全事應急指揮各要素之間的聯(lián)系。對城市群重大公共安全應急指揮模式框架進行了深入分析,包括城市群重大公共安全應急指揮系統(tǒng)構(gòu)成、城市群重大公共安全應急指揮體系,在此基礎上分析城市群重大公共安全應急指揮的實現(xiàn)路徑。界定了城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮協(xié)同的概念、特征及構(gòu)成要素,在此基礎上,分析應急指揮協(xié)同的三種模式。進一步指出城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮協(xié)同的核心問題,即研究基于網(wǎng)絡的分布式應急指揮協(xié)同。認為可通過構(gòu)建城市群重大公共安全事件應急指揮關(guān)系優(yōu)化模型,從而實現(xiàn)城市群各結(jié)點城市應急指揮中心之間的有效協(xié)作。在城市群應急指揮組織協(xié)作網(wǎng)設計的基礎上,對城市群應急指揮組織決策樹進行了描述和分析,定義了城市群應急指揮組織內(nèi)的間接外部協(xié)作和指控組織總的工作負載,由此對城市群應急指揮組織決策樹的設計給出了數(shù)學描述。利用Gomory-Hu樹生成算法對城市群應急指揮組織決策樹進行求解,分析了算法在解決決策樹生成問題上的復雜性與計算結(jié)果,并分別以長三角和珠三角城市群為案例分析對象,利用該模型和算法對兩個城市群的重大公共安全事件應急指揮關(guān)系進行了優(yōu)化設計。結(jié)果表明,通過該模型和算法設計,實現(xiàn)了長三角、珠三角城市群各城市應急指揮中心最小化協(xié)作量的優(yōu)化目標,建立起新的應急指揮關(guān)系設計方案,從而實現(xiàn)各城市應急指揮中心最佳的協(xié)作關(guān)系,建立起有效的應急指揮組織體系。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the government has the important strategic China city group as the country's development, the CPC Central Committee pointed out that the "11th Five-Year" plan, to the city group as the main form of promoting urbanization construction, "12th Five-Year" plan further proposed "bureau of city development strategy two vertical and three horizontal". With the city to speed up the process, constantly the expansion of city size, population, the height of the building is intensive, once in the city group in major public safety incidents, its harm is unparalleled in any other area, due to the state and society loss and damage is immeasurable. The sustainable development of city group of major public safety incidents will be related to the whole region public safety and economic society poses a serious threat. The diffusion, evolution process involves multi subject, multi dimension, multi factors interaction, is a nonlinear complex system. Therefore, realizing reasonable allocation of the city group of emergency resources is very important, the key problem is how to optimize the design of emergency cooperation. This topic from the theory and method of case reasoning of unconventional emergencies in the National Natural Science Fund Project "for emergency decision support" (No. 91324203) "the city group, major public safety incidents emergency command and coordination as the research object, selects the emergency command structure as a breakthrough, first elaborated the city group of major public safety incidents and emergency command elements, based on the research framework of city group of major public safety incidents emergency command mode and path. Then reveals the city group of major public safety incidents three emergency command and coordination mode. Then based on cooperative network emergency command organization design of city group, city group Emergency command organization decision tree are described and analyzed, which constructs the mathematical model of the design of city emergency command organization group decision tree. Finally, respectively in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta city group as a case study, the application of the emergency command decision model and algorithm of major public safety incidents two city group emergency command relationship the optimization design, verify the effective cooperation between the city emergency command group of each node in the city. The main research contents of this thesis are: basic theory and method of cooperative in the sort of emergency command, combined with the definition of the city group of major public safety incidents and the city group of major public safety incidents emergency command concept, analysis of the composition of the city group major public safety incidents emergency command elements, and pointed out that the city group of major public safety emergency command between the various elements of the city group of heavy contact. The framework of public safety emergency command mode is analyzed, including a group of major city public safety emergency command system, city group of major public safety emergency command system, based on the analysis of the path to achieve the city group of major public safety emergency command. The definition of city group of major public safety emergency command and coordination, the characteristics and the composition the elements, on this basis, the analysis of three models of emergency command collaboration. Further pointed out that the core problem of city group of major public safety emergency command and coordination, namely the research of distributed network based collaborative emergency command. That can be through the construction of city group of major public safety incidents emergency command relationship optimization model, so as to realize the effective cooperation between the city group node city emergency command center. Based on the emergency command collaboration net design of city group, city of City emergency command group organization decision tree are described and analyzed, the definition of city emergency command group within the organization of indirect external collaboration and accused of organizing the total work load, the design is given for the city emergency command organization group decision tree and the mathematical description. To solve the city emergency command organization group decision tree using Gomory-Hu tree generation method, analysis of the proposed algorithm in solving the problem of decision tree on the complexity and calculation results, and the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta city group as a case study, the two city group of the major public safety incident emergency command is designed by the use of the model and algorithm. The results show that the model and algorithm design, implementation of the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta city group the optimization goal of city emergency command center to minimize the amount of collaboration, establish emergency command relationship design new case, In order to realize the best cooperative relationship between the emergency command center of each city and establish an effective emergency command organization system.

【學位授予單位】：華中科技大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：D63
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本文編號：1483167