【摘要】：長期以來,在電網(wǎng)工程項目的建設(shè)過程中,項目管理人員面臨著各種的項目風(fēng)險。長距離的輸電項目和高電壓等級輸變電工程項目,由于項目建設(shè)周期長、專業(yè)多、難度大,電網(wǎng)建設(shè)過程中遇到的風(fēng)險也越來越多。因此,本文將風(fēng)險理念引入到電網(wǎng)工程管理中,并結(jié)合電網(wǎng)工程的特點,能夠?qū)﹄娋W(wǎng)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險進行有效管理。本文對電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險管理進行系統(tǒng)研究,針對電網(wǎng)工程的特點,綜合運用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型、網(wǎng)絡(luò)層次分析法等研究方法,采用定性與定量相結(jié)合的思想研究了電網(wǎng)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險管理的問題,以期為電網(wǎng)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險管理提供科學(xué)的理論依據(jù)和可操作性的方法。主要研究內(nèi)容和創(chuàng)新點如下：首先,將風(fēng)險管理理論運用到電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險管理實踐中,并對電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險管理進行系統(tǒng)研究。分析電網(wǎng)工程的特征、對電網(wǎng)工程的風(fēng)險與風(fēng)險管理給出明確界定,在此基礎(chǔ)上,構(gòu)建了電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險管理理論規(guī)范框架。研究了電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險因素、風(fēng)險管理的特征,并識別出電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險管理的主要風(fēng)險因素,制定風(fēng)險因素清單,為后續(xù)研究提供理論基礎(chǔ)。其次,對影響電網(wǎng)工程建設(shè)的風(fēng)險因素進行研究,風(fēng)險因素包括政治風(fēng)險、社會風(fēng)險、自然風(fēng)險、經(jīng)濟風(fēng)險、技術(shù)風(fēng)險和管理風(fēng)險六類；針對電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險因素,通過以ISM方法建立解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型,其因素間的復(fù)雜關(guān)系因而由此方法分析出來。同時,研究了風(fēng)險因素的結(jié)構(gòu)層次關(guān)系,給電網(wǎng)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險的量化分析作出有益指導(dǎo)。另外,建立了電網(wǎng)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險評價指標體系,給出了結(jié)合ANP與ISM的評價方法,本模型綜合考慮各風(fēng)險因素之間的相關(guān)關(guān)系和網(wǎng)絡(luò)關(guān)系,使得電網(wǎng)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險管理擁有了量化分析風(fēng)險的依據(jù)。最后,根據(jù)風(fēng)險評價結(jié)果,對電網(wǎng)建設(shè)工程的風(fēng)險應(yīng)對進行了重點研究,探討風(fēng)險控制機制,并對各類風(fēng)險因素提出相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對措施,具可操作性。本研究對于電網(wǎng)工程風(fēng)險的識別、評價與應(yīng)對進行了探索,為電網(wǎng)工程在不確定環(huán)境下對風(fēng)險的管理與應(yīng)對提供理論和策略支持。
[Abstract]:For a long time, in the construction process of power grid engineering projects, project managers are faced with a variety of project risks. For long distance transmission projects and high voltage grade power transmission and transformation projects, because of the long construction cycle, many specialties and great difficulties, there are more and more risks encountered in the process of power grid construction. Therefore, this paper introduces the risk concept into power grid engineering management, and combined with the characteristics of power grid engineering, can effectively manage the construction risk of power grid engineering. In this paper, the risk management of power grid engineering is studied systematically. According to the characteristics of power grid engineering, the explanatory structure model, network analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and other research methods are comprehensively used. The problem of risk management in power grid engineering construction is studied by combining qualitative and quantitative ideas, in order to provide scientific theoretical basis and operable method for risk management of power grid engineering construction. The main research contents and innovations are as follows: firstly, the risk management theory is applied to the practice of power grid engineering risk management, and the power grid engineering risk management is studied systematically. The characteristics of power grid engineering are analyzed, and the risk and risk management of power grid engineering are clearly defined. on this basis, the theoretical framework of risk management of power grid engineering is constructed. The risk factors of power grid engineering and the characteristics of risk management are studied, the main risk factors of power grid engineering risk management are identified, and the list of risk factors is drawn up, which provides a theoretical basis for the follow-up research. Secondly, the risk factors affecting the construction of power grid engineering are studied, including political risk, social risk, natural risk, economic risk, technical risk and management risk. Aiming at the risk factors of power grid engineering, the explanatory structure model is established by ISM method, and the complex relationship between the factors is analyzed by this method. At the same time, the structural hierarchical relationship of risk factors is studied, which provides useful guidance for the quantitative analysis of power grid engineering construction risk. In addition, the risk evaluation index system of power grid engineering construction is established, and the evaluation method combining ANP and ISM is given. the model comprehensively considers the correlation between the risk factors and the network relationship. It makes the risk management of power grid engineering construction have the basis of quantitative analysis of risk. Finally, according to the results of risk assessment, the risk response of power grid construction project is studied, the risk control mechanism is discussed, and the corresponding countermeasures are put forward for all kinds of risk factors, which is operable. In this study, the identification, evaluation and response of power grid engineering risk are explored, which provides theoretical and strategic support for the risk management and response of power grid engineering in uncertain environment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：TU71

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本文編號：2495009