【摘要】：從產(chǎn)業(yè)的政策層級(jí)看,國家將強(qiáng)行調(diào)整煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),鼓勵(lì)開建現(xiàn)代化的大型煤礦,關(guān)停并轉(zhuǎn)中小型煤礦。在此新產(chǎn)業(yè)政策情景下,為規(guī)模雄厚的民企涉足大型煤礦項(xiàng)目造就了新的契機(jī),正著手或推進(jìn)投資煤礦能源開發(fā)。然而開發(fā)大型煤炭礦井需投進(jìn)更多資金,國家審批環(huán)節(jié)將更為嚴(yán)密,工程實(shí)施的耗時(shí)會(huì)更漫長,項(xiàng)目開發(fā)觸及的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)變高。如何推進(jìn)煤礦項(xiàng)目合乎自身的戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控,是當(dāng)前困擾煤礦開發(fā)項(xiàng)目管理的要害和難題。伴隨煤炭行業(yè)黃金十年己逝去,在煤價(jià)持續(xù)低迷的困境下,若對(duì)戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的評(píng)判不足和應(yīng)對(duì)欠妥,將致使項(xiàng)目開發(fā)陷入進(jìn)退兩難,甚至破產(chǎn)倒閉,足以顯露戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控有迫切的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文從風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控的常規(guī)理論入手,知曉國內(nèi)外風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控的歷史推進(jìn)過程,弄清風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在識(shí)別、評(píng)議和處置等風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控領(lǐng)域的常見方法、流程。然后以R集團(tuán)煤礦項(xiàng)目為探索對(duì)象,剖析其身處的行業(yè)特點(diǎn)和內(nèi)外部環(huán)境狀況,依照其現(xiàn)實(shí)狀態(tài)查尋當(dāng)前戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控存有的諸多問題等。經(jīng)分析得以發(fā)現(xiàn),在當(dāng)前國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)增速減弱和煤價(jià)低迷的逆境情景下,受國家調(diào)控、資金籌集和項(xiàng)目管理等不利根源制約,R集團(tuán)煤礦項(xiàng)目的戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)己悄然上升,需要引發(fā)其足夠的重點(diǎn)對(duì)待和高度應(yīng)對(duì)。本文擬構(gòu)建RMZFM模型來達(dá)成R集團(tuán)煤礦戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控的解決方案。擬用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控的常識(shí)性原理和方法、模型工具,如專家意見法、SWOT模型和PACD循環(huán)模型等,探究如何搭配構(gòu)建RMZFM模型對(duì)R集團(tuán)煤礦的戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)開展合乎自身的識(shí)別、評(píng)議和外置，，以及為提升戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控、消減戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險(xiǎn)需選取的更優(yōu)舉措等。本文的解析探究過程和結(jié)果總結(jié),意在為 R 集團(tuán)在煤礦的開發(fā)中提升管控、削減風(fēng)險(xiǎn)提供有益輔助。同時(shí),為其他民企在當(dāng)前困境下開發(fā)煤礦項(xiàng)目給予微薄的參考借鑒。
[Abstract]:From the industrial policy level, the state will forcibly adjust the structure of the coal industry, encourage the construction of modern large coal mines, shut down and switch to small and medium-sized coal mines. In this new industrial policy scenario, it creates a new opportunity for large scale private enterprises to set foot in large coal mining projects, and is embarking on or promoting investment in coal mine energy development. However, the development of large coal mines will require more investment, the national approval process will be more stringent, the project will take longer to implement, and the investment risk will become higher in the development of the project. How to promote the coal mine project in line with its own strategic risk control is the key and difficult problem that puzzles the coal mine development project management at present. With the passing of gold decade in the coal industry, if the strategic risk is not judged properly, the development of the project will fall into a dilemma or even go bankrupt under the plight of the continuing low coal price. Enough to reveal strategic risk management has urgent practical significance. This paper starts with the conventional theory of risk control, knows the historical process of risk control at home and abroad, and clarifies the common methods and processes of risk management in the field of risk control such as identification, evaluation and disposal. Then take the R Group coal mine project as the exploration object, analyze the characteristics of the industry and the internal and external environment, and find out the problems existing in the current strategic risk control according to its reality. Through analysis, it is found that under the current adverse circumstances of weakening domestic economic growth and low coal prices, the strategic risks of R Group coal mining projects have quietly risen under the constraints of state regulation and control, fund raising and project management, and so on. Need to trigger its adequate focus and high level of response. This paper intends to construct RMZFM model to achieve R Group coal mine strategic risk management solutions. Using the common sense principle and method of risk management and management, model tools, such as expert opinion, SWOT model and PACD cycle model, this paper explores how to construct RMZFM model to identify, evaluate and outlay the strategic risk of R Group Coal Mine. And in order to enhance strategic risk management, strategic risk reduction needs to select better measures and so on. The analysis and exploration process and result summary of this paper is intended to provide beneficial assistance for R Group to enhance control and reduce risks in coal mine development. At the same time, for other private enterprises in the current plight of coal mine projects to provide a meager reference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京化工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F426.21;F273

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