【摘要】：項(xiàng)目的需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理是保證項(xiàng)目順利開展、完成項(xiàng)目目標(biāo)的重要管理環(huán)節(jié)；明確客戶需求,通過分析客戶提出的眾多需求確定項(xiàng)目的范圍并對(duì)需求進(jìn)行有效管理、控制是項(xiàng)目可靠實(shí)現(xiàn)的保障。M省電力調(diào)控中心監(jiān)控OMS項(xiàng)目對(duì)需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)缺乏有效管控,致使在實(shí)施過程中出現(xiàn)諸多問題,嚴(yán)重影響了項(xiàng)目的進(jìn)度、質(zhì)量及成本。本文運(yùn)用項(xiàng)目管理及需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的相關(guān)理論對(duì)項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行評(píng)估,并提出有效的需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理方法。針對(duì)M省電力調(diào)控中心監(jiān)控OMS項(xiàng)目需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理問題,本文主要運(yùn)用關(guān)聯(lián)矩陣法進(jìn)行綜合分析。首先運(yùn)用頭腦風(fēng)暴法對(duì)項(xiàng)目需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行分析識(shí)別,其次采取德爾菲法對(duì)各因素打分,最后通過收集所有專家對(duì)各風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的打分意見形成關(guān)聯(lián)矩陣,并對(duì)得到的關(guān)聯(lián)矩陣進(jìn)行運(yùn)算、評(píng)估各風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的影響。為使結(jié)果更加可信,本文還根據(jù)專家的工作經(jīng)驗(yàn),采用組合賦值法修訂專家權(quán)重,并采用新的權(quán)重對(duì)所有專家的打分意見進(jìn)行計(jì)算,重新形成關(guān)聯(lián)矩陣進(jìn)行分析評(píng)估。在得到最終的評(píng)估結(jié)果后,本文依據(jù)評(píng)估結(jié)果、結(jié)合企業(yè)實(shí)際制定了各需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的應(yīng)對(duì)原則以及應(yīng)對(duì)策略,形成M省電力調(diào)控中心監(jiān)控OMS項(xiàng)目需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理辦法,以助于項(xiàng)目組對(duì)需求的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理；為今后將需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的管理方法推廣到M省OMS其他專業(yè)模塊建設(shè)項(xiàng)目中奠定基礎(chǔ)。
[Abstract]:The requirement risk management of the project is an important management link to ensure the smooth development of the project and to complete the project objectives, to define the customer needs, to determine the scope of the project and to manage the demand effectively through the analysis of the numerous needs put forward by the customers. Control is the guarantee of reliable implementation of the project. M province power control center monitoring OMS project lack of effective control of demand risk, resulting in many problems in the implementation process, seriously affected the progress, quality and cost of the project. This paper applies the theory of project management and demand risk management to evaluate the project risk, and puts forward an effective method of demand risk management. Aiming at the problem of demand risk management in M province electric power control center monitoring OMS project, this paper mainly uses the method of correlation matrix to analyze comprehensively. First of all, we use brainstorming method to analyze and identify the risk factors of project demand, and then we use Delphi method to score the factors. Finally, we collect the opinions of all experts on the risk factors to form the correlation matrix. The correlation matrix is calculated to evaluate the influence of various risk factors. In order to make the results more reliable, the combined assignment method is used to revise the expert weight, and the new weight is used to calculate the scoring opinions of all the experts, and the correlation matrix is formed again to analyze and evaluate the expert weight. After getting the final evaluation results, according to the evaluation results, combined with the actual enterprise to formulate the corresponding principles and strategies of each demand risk factors, form M province power regulation center monitoring OMS project demand risk management method. It can help the project team to manage the risk of demand, and lay the foundation for extending the management method of demand risk to other professional module construction projects of OMS in M province in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：TM73

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本文編號(hào)：2237601