【摘要】：氣候變化問題引起廣泛的關注和研究，碳定價政策是溫室氣體減排的重要市場機制。隨著學術(shù)界和政府部門對碳定價政策研究不斷深入，我國碳定價政策的實施已在議程之上。本文主要關注的碳定價政策實施將會對我國工業(yè)部門產(chǎn)生的影響，包括碳定價政策對工業(yè)部門在進出口貿(mào)易和成本、利潤方面造成負面影響。旨在通過碳定價政策的模擬分析，探討碳定價政策制定過程需要關注的部門和影響因素，減輕碳定價政策對我國工業(yè)部門可能造成的負面影響，確保碳定價政策的順利推行和二氧化碳減排目標的實現(xiàn)。 本論文主要工作是：首先梳理了碳定價政策的理論基礎和實踐經(jīng)驗。分析我國二氧化碳歷史演變和工業(yè)部門二氧化碳排放特征。本論文基于單向的碳定價政策假設，研究產(chǎn)品價格不可變和可變兩種情形下，，我國工業(yè)部門可能受到的負面影響。在產(chǎn)品價格不變的條件下，研究我國工業(yè)部門二氧化碳成本增加；工業(yè)部門在進出口強度過程中，工業(yè)部門在碳定價政策的影響程度以及需要“關注”的部門。在產(chǎn)品價格可變的條件下，本文運用投入產(chǎn)出分析來體現(xiàn)各部門的經(jīng)濟運行。最終需求發(fā)生變動時，各部門的產(chǎn)出量、價格以及利潤的變動分析。評估碳定價政策對工業(yè)部門經(jīng)濟效益和節(jié)能減排的貢獻。最后，本論文根據(jù)實證分析結(jié)果，提出合理可行的政策建議，以期能夠為碳定價政策制定和實施提供參考，并且盡可能的減少碳定價政策對我國工業(yè)部門造成的負面影響，同時達到二氧化碳減排的目的。
[Abstract]:Climate change has attracted extensive attention and research. Carbon pricing policy is an important market mechanism for greenhouse gas emission reduction. With the deepening of the research on carbon pricing policy in academia and government departments, the implementation of carbon pricing policy in China is already on the agenda. The implementation of carbon pricing policy, which is mainly concerned in this paper, will have an impact on China's industrial sector, including the negative impact of carbon pricing policy on import and export trade, cost and profit of industrial sector. Through the simulation analysis of carbon pricing policy, this paper discusses the departments and influencing factors that need to be paid attention to in the process of carbon pricing policy formulation, reduces the possible negative impact of carbon pricing policy on China's industrial sector, and ensures the smooth implementation of carbon pricing policy and the realization of carbon dioxide emission reduction target. The main work of this paper is as follows: firstly, the theoretical basis and practical experience of carbon pricing policy are combed. The historical evolution of carbon dioxide in China and the characteristics of carbon dioxide emission from industrial sector are analyzed. Based on the assumption of one-way carbon pricing policy, this paper studies the possible negative effects on the industrial sector in China under the condition that the product price is immutable and variable. Under the condition of constant product price, the increase of carbon dioxide cost in China's industrial sector is studied. In the process of import and export intensity, the influence degree of industrial sector in carbon pricing policy and the sectors that need to be "concerned" are studied. Under the condition of variable product price, this paper uses input-output analysis to reflect the economic operation of each department. When the final demand changes, the output, price and profit of each department are analyzed. Evaluate the contribution of carbon pricing policy to the economic benefits and energy conservation and emission reduction of the industrial sector. Finally, according to the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward reasonable and feasible policy suggestions, in order to provide reference for the formulation and implementation of carbon pricing policy, and to reduce the negative impact of carbon pricing policy on China's industrial sector as much as possible, and at the same time achieve the purpose of carbon dioxide emission reduction.
【學位授予單位】：南京航空航天大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F406.72

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