【摘要】：海上風電雖然投資成本大，但比起陸上風電，，由于其具有發(fā)電量大、靠近負荷中心便于消納、不占用土地資源等方面的優(yōu)勢，因而越來越受到人們的重視。我國海上風電起步較晚，但發(fā)展很快，目前我國有許多海上風電項目正在規(guī)劃建設之中。包括海上風電在內(nèi)的新能源電價定價問題成為我國及世界電力經(jīng)濟領域的一個重要研究課題。 與陸上風電的區(qū)域標桿電價制度不同，我國對海上風電實行的是一廠一價的上網(wǎng)電價政策，即海上風電企業(yè)根據(jù)預計的財務收支確定其上網(wǎng)電價，并報由政府部門審批，審批通過后國家強制電網(wǎng)公司以審批確立的價格全額收購該風電場的發(fā)電量。因此，如何確立合理的上網(wǎng)電價定價方式是海上風電投資者和政府部門首先需要考慮的問題。 本文結合我國實際，建立了基于經(jīng)營期電價法的我國海上風電上網(wǎng)電價模型，并將該模型應用于桂山海上風電項目中進行研究，測算出了桂山海上風電項目的上網(wǎng)電價。同時還對影響上網(wǎng)電價的各因素進行了敏感性分析，分析結果顯示對海上風電電價影響最大的兩個因素是上網(wǎng)電量的多少和初始投資額的高低，并據(jù)此提出了降低上網(wǎng)電價的途徑。 本文還分析了海上風電對環(huán)境的減排效益和對系統(tǒng)備用容量成本的影響等外部效應，并利用本文建立的基于經(jīng)營期電價法的上網(wǎng)電價定價模型計算出了考慮外部效應后桂山海上風電項目的上網(wǎng)電價。計算結果顯示，即便將外部效應考慮在內(nèi)，在現(xiàn)階段我國海上風電電價相比火電電價依然不具備競爭優(yōu)勢。但是，隨著海上風電場造價和運行維護成本的不斷下降、一次能源價格的不斷上升以及人們對環(huán)保價值的更加重視，海上風電對比火力發(fā)電的競爭優(yōu)勢將日漸顯現(xiàn)。
[Abstract]:Although the investment cost of offshore wind power is large, compared with onshore wind power, it is paid more and more attention because of its advantages of large power generation, convenient to absorb near load center, and not occupying land resources. Offshore wind power in China starts late, but develops rapidly. At present, there are many offshore wind power projects under planning and construction in our country. The pricing of new energy electricity including offshore wind power has become an important research topic in the field of electricity economy in China and the world. Different from the regional benchmarking price system of onshore wind power, our country implements the policy of one factory and one price on the Internet for offshore wind power, that is, offshore wind power enterprises determine their Internet electricity prices according to the expected financial revenues and expenditures, and submit them to the government departments for examination and approval. After the approval, the state forced grid company to purchase the wind farm in full at the established price. Therefore, how to establish a reasonable pricing method is the first consideration for offshore wind power investors and government departments. In this paper, based on the practice of our country, the electricity price model of offshore wind power in our country is established, and the model is applied to study the offshore wind power project in Guishan, and the online electricity price of offshore wind power project in Guishan is calculated. At the same time, the sensitivity analysis of the factors affecting the electricity price is carried out. The results show that the two most important factors affecting the offshore wind power price are the amount of electricity connected to the Internet and the initial investment. According to this, the way to reduce the electricity price is put forward. This paper also analyzes the effects of offshore wind power on environmental emission reduction and system reserve capacity cost. Based on the operating period electricity price method established in this paper, the online electricity price of Guishan offshore wind power project is calculated considering the external effect. The results show that even if the external effects are taken into account, China's offshore wind power price still does not have a competitive advantage compared with the thermal power price at the present stage. However, with the continuous decline of offshore wind farm cost and maintenance cost, the rising of primary energy price and more attention to the value of environmental protection, the competitive advantage of offshore wind power compared with thermal power generation will become increasingly apparent.
【學位授予單位】：華南理工大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F426.61

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 溫培剛;趙黛青;廖翠萍;蔡國田;;影響海上風電成本收益的重要因素分析及政策建議[J];特區(qū)經(jīng)濟;2012年08期

2 黃維平;李兵兵;;海上風電場基礎結構設計綜述[J];海洋工程;2012年02期

3 劉林;葛旭波;張義斌;尹明;李利;;我國海上風電發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀及分析[J];能源技術經(jīng)濟;2012年03期

4 胡榮;劉彬;黃玲玲;;海上風電場輸電方式經(jīng)濟性的比較[J];上海電力學院學報;2011年06期

5 徐乾耀;康重慶;張寧;樊揚;朱浩駿;;海上風電出力特性及其消納問題探討[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2011年22期

6 任東明;;中國可再生能源配額制和實施對策探討[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2011年22期

7 張建民;謝書鴻;;海上風電場電力傳輸與海底電纜的選擇[J];電氣制造;2011年11期

8 萬文濤;;海上風電機組運輸與安裝方式研究[J];船舶工程;2011年02期

9 郭越;王占坤;;中歐海上風電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展比較[J];中外能源;2011年03期

10 嚴曉建;;丹麥海上風電發(fā)展及其經(jīng)驗借鑒[J];中國市場;2010年13期

相關碩士學位論文 前6條

1 安艷麗;風力發(fā)電運行價值分析與研究[D];河北農(nóng)業(yè)大學;2011年

2 吳飛;海上風電開發(fā)風險研究[D];清華大學;2011年

3 尚景宏;海上風力機基礎結構設計選型研究[D];哈爾濱工程大學;2010年

4 孫永崗;風力發(fā)電場微觀選址與機型優(yōu)化綜合研究[D];上海交通大學;2010年

5 于漢啟;我國風電發(fā)展的成本與風機選型研究[D];華北電力大學（北京）;2009年

6 孟昌波;風資源評估改進方法的研究[D];清華大學;2008年

本文編號：2426422