發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-02-14 22:50

【摘要】：自中國(guó)對(duì)外開放以來，中國(guó)制造業(yè)借由勞動(dòng)稟賦承接了大量發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家加工組裝等工序的產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移。據(jù)資料顯示，中國(guó)制造業(yè)所有行業(yè)的垂直專業(yè)化率都超過了20%，其中電子通訊設(shè)備，通用專用設(shè)備制造、電氣機(jī)械、儀表等技術(shù)密集型行業(yè)垂直化專業(yè)化率超過40%。這一事實(shí)反應(yīng)了中國(guó)制造業(yè)整體的自主研發(fā)能力弱，產(chǎn)品附加值低的現(xiàn)狀。同時(shí)，中國(guó)物流業(yè)的總體發(fā)展水平仍然偏低，呈現(xiàn)效率低，費(fèi)用高，規(guī)模小等問題。兩業(yè)的聯(lián)動(dòng)發(fā)展將是破解中國(guó)物流業(yè)，制造業(yè)難以發(fā)展，相互抑制這一死循環(huán)的一個(gè)重要途徑。因此，課題圍繞兩聯(lián)動(dòng)特征，聯(lián)動(dòng)水平，不同地區(qū)差異及未來發(fā)展趨勢(shì)具有現(xiàn)實(shí)必要性。研究成果能夠?yàn)槠髽I(yè)及學(xué)者清楚認(rèn)識(shí)中國(guó)目前兩業(yè)聯(lián)動(dòng)水平及基本特征提供依據(jù)，，能夠?yàn)檎J(rèn)知中國(guó)兩業(yè)聯(lián)動(dòng)的未來趨勢(shì)提供了依據(jù)，具實(shí)踐意義。 基于投入產(chǎn)出法，通過1995,2002,2007中國(guó)，英國(guó)，美國(guó)，日本及巴西的直接消耗系數(shù)比較及趨勢(shì)分析，發(fā)現(xiàn)中國(guó)物流業(yè)依靠實(shí)物要素投入為主，對(duì)自身及其他服務(wù)業(yè)的依賴很低，與其他三個(gè)物流強(qiáng)國(guó)剛好相反；化工類制造業(yè)與物流業(yè)間的互動(dòng)表現(xiàn)明顯活躍于其他制造類子行業(yè)；兩業(yè)聯(lián)動(dòng)的一個(gè)重要特征表現(xiàn)為物流業(yè)對(duì)制造業(yè)的需求會(huì)逐漸轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)閷?duì)自身或其他服務(wù)業(yè)的需求，最終將強(qiáng)于對(duì)制造業(yè)的需求。同時(shí)，通過格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)及中國(guó)30個(gè)省份的直接消耗系數(shù)比較，進(jìn)一步發(fā)現(xiàn)中國(guó)制造業(yè)的發(fā)展對(duì)物流業(yè)的發(fā)展沒有起到顯著的拉動(dòng)作用，兩業(yè)呈現(xiàn)非對(duì)稱狀態(tài)；處在中國(guó)工業(yè)水平第三階層的省份的物流業(yè)水平偏低，需要付出超出全國(guó)平均水平的物流消耗才能支撐當(dāng)?shù)氐闹圃鞓I(yè)需求。上海，北京，江蘇，天津，內(nèi)蒙古五省市呈現(xiàn)較高水平的兩業(yè)聯(lián)動(dòng)，廣東，浙江，山東，遼寧，福建五省兩業(yè)的聯(lián)動(dòng)水平較低。最后從政府及企業(yè)角度提出應(yīng)區(qū)別對(duì)待物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的聯(lián)動(dòng)模式，區(qū)別對(duì)待東中西地區(qū)的兩業(yè)聯(lián)動(dòng)；區(qū)別對(duì)待制造業(yè)各子行業(yè)與物流業(yè)的聯(lián)動(dòng)。
[Abstract]:Since China's opening to the outside world, China's manufacturing industry has taken advantage of labor endowment to undertake industrial transfer of processing and assembly processes in a large number of developed countries. According to the data, the vertical specialization rate of all industries in China's manufacturing industry has exceeded 20%. Among them, the vertical specialization rate of electronic communication equipment, general purpose equipment manufacturing, electrical machinery, instrumentation and other technology-intensive industries is over 40%. This fact reflects China's manufacturing industry as a whole weak independent R & D capacity, low value-added products. At the same time, the overall development level of Chinese logistics industry is still low, low efficiency, high cost, small scale and so on. The linkage development of the two industries will be an important way to crack the logistics industry in China, and it is difficult for the manufacturing industry to develop and restrain this dead cycle mutually. Therefore, it is necessary to focus on the characteristics of two linkage, the level of linkage, the difference of different regions and the trend of future development. The research results can provide a basis for enterprises and scholars to clearly understand the current level and basic characteristics of China's two-industry linkage, and provide a basis for understanding the future trend of China's two-industry linkage, which is of practical significance. Based on the input-output method, by comparing the direct consumption coefficients of China, Britain, the United States, Japan and Brazil in 1995 / 2002 / 2007, it is found that the logistics industry in China relies mainly on the input of physical elements and has a low dependence on itself and other service industries. The opposite is true of the other three logistics powers; The interaction between chemical industry and logistics industry is obviously active in other manufacturing sub-industries. An important feature of the linkage between the two industries is that the logistics industry's demand for manufacturing industry will gradually change into the demand for itself or other service industries, which will eventually be stronger than the demand for manufacturing industry. At the same time, through Granger causality test and direct consumption coefficient comparison of 30 provinces in China, it is further found that the development of Chinese manufacturing industry has no significant pull on the development of logistics industry, and the two industries show asymmetric state; China's third-class industrial provinces have low levels of logistics and need to pay more than the national average to support local manufacturing demand. Shanghai, Beijing, Jiangsu, Tianjin and Inner Mongolia show a higher level of two industries linkage, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Shandong, Liaoning, Fujian, five provinces have a lower level of linkage. Finally, from the angle of government and enterprise, this paper puts forward that the linkage mode of logistics and manufacturing industry should be treated differently, the linkage between East, West and West, and the linkage between each sub-industry of manufacturing industry and logistics industry should be treated differently.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F259.2;F424

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