【摘要】：利用1999—2010年中國制造業(yè)行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù),采用固定效應(yīng)模型探討了中國制造業(yè)行業(yè)的貿(mào)易開放度與產(chǎn)出波動的關(guān)系。實證結(jié)果表明:貿(mào)易開放對行業(yè)產(chǎn)出波動具有抑制作用。穩(wěn)健性檢驗結(jié)果顯示,上述結(jié)果不受關(guān)鍵指標(biāo)選取和樣本極端值的影響,且在控制了內(nèi)生性問題后依然成立。最后指出:平抑產(chǎn)出波動是貿(mào)易開放的重要利得,我國制造業(yè)制定發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略時仍需積極貫徹擴(kuò)大開放的思路,同時倡導(dǎo)多樣性的發(fā)展道路,其中產(chǎn)品多樣性較市場多樣性更為重要。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of Chinese manufacturing industry from 1999 to 2010, the relationship between trade openness and output fluctuation in Chinese manufacturing industry is discussed by using fixed effect model. The empirical results show that trade liberalization can restrain the fluctuation of industry output. The results of robustness test show that the above results are not affected by the selection of key indicators and the extreme values of samples, and are still true after controlling the endogenetic problems. Finally, it is pointed out that stabilizing the fluctuation of output is an important gain in the opening up of trade. When formulating the development strategy of our manufacturing industry, we still need to actively carry out the idea of expanding the opening up, and advocate the development path of diversity. Product diversity is more important than market diversity.
【作者單位】： 重慶三峽學(xué)院經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F424;F752

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