【摘要】：經(jīng)過改革開放30多年的發(fā)展,我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)已經(jīng)逐步走出了模仿階段；研發(fā)與創(chuàng)新能力不斷增強(qiáng),形成了一個(gè)較為完整的產(chǎn)業(yè)體系。在只能遵從其他國(guó)家通信企業(yè)制定的通信標(biāo)準(zhǔn)之后,我國(guó)終于也擁有了自己的第三代移動(dòng)通信標(biāo)準(zhǔn)—-TD-SCDMA。在行業(yè)不斷發(fā)展的同時(shí),如華為、烽火科技、中興等一批中國(guó)本土的通信制造企業(yè)也在不斷成長(zhǎng)壯大,并且逐步走出去到國(guó)際上和傳統(tǒng)的通信設(shè)備制造巨頭競(jìng)爭(zhēng),取得了豐碩的成果。尤其是,華為在2012年的凈利潤(rùn)已經(jīng)超過了愛立信,營(yíng)業(yè)額成為了全球第二,代表著我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)已經(jīng)進(jìn)入了國(guó)際巨頭之列。而通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)本身由于具有高技術(shù)、高知識(shí)含量等特點(diǎn)成為了高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)、信息產(chǎn)業(yè)和電子信息產(chǎn)業(yè)的代表產(chǎn)業(yè)。 在2008年金融危機(jī)之后,由于受到全球經(jīng)濟(jì)低迷的影響,我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的出口受到了重創(chuàng),各種產(chǎn)品的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)持續(xù)低迷。但是在國(guó)家宏觀政策刺激下,特別是在3G項(xiàng)目大規(guī)模建設(shè)的帶動(dòng)下,我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)正逐步回到了正軌,各項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)都在回穩(wěn)。但是由于金融危機(jī)的陰霾尚未散盡,在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)尚未完全復(fù)蘇并且經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)尚不明朗的背景之下,清晰且準(zhǔn)確地定位我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)在整個(gè)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的地位,了解圍繞著通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)有哪些相關(guān)密切產(chǎn)業(yè)?通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)和這些相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的關(guān)聯(lián)度具體是多少?我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)之間的影響程度和依賴程度是怎么樣的?以及了解通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)波和波效應(yīng)的情況。這都有助于準(zhǔn)確地了解我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)以及確立通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的地位。并有針對(duì)性地制定我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的發(fā)展規(guī)劃和經(jīng)濟(jì)政策,充分發(fā)揮通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)擴(kuò)散效應(yīng),在促進(jìn)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)自身平穩(wěn)高效發(fā)展的同時(shí),更可以推動(dòng)和帶動(dòng)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)總體協(xié)調(diào)有效發(fā)展。 本文采用了中國(guó)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局發(fā)布的2007年135×135部門的投入產(chǎn)出表,將其中的通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)作為著眼點(diǎn),定量的分析了通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的關(guān)聯(lián)度,包括通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的直接后向關(guān)聯(lián)度、完全后向關(guān)聯(lián)度、直接前向關(guān)聯(lián)度、完全前向關(guān)聯(lián)度。并結(jié)合感應(yīng)度系數(shù)和影響力系數(shù)來(lái)分析通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)對(duì)相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的直接和間接作用。通過感應(yīng)度系數(shù)和影響力系數(shù)的計(jì)算,確定我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)是敏感關(guān)聯(lián)型的產(chǎn)業(yè),并且對(duì)前向產(chǎn)業(yè)和后向產(chǎn)業(yè)都有強(qiáng)烈的影響力。通過生產(chǎn)誘發(fā)系數(shù)和最終依賴度的分析確定在國(guó)民總體經(jīng)濟(jì)中各項(xiàng)最終需求對(duì)我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)推動(dòng)程度和通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)對(duì)各項(xiàng)最終需求的依賴關(guān)系。本文的研究對(duì)我國(guó)電信業(yè)尤其是我國(guó)通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)的分析模式提供了新的思路。并針對(duì)得出的關(guān)聯(lián)度數(shù)據(jù),給出了制定決策建議的參考依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:After more than 30 years of reform and opening up, China's communication equipment manufacturing industry has gradually stepped out of the imitation stage, and its R & D and innovation capabilities have been continuously enhanced, forming a relatively complete industrial system. After only complying with the communication standards formulated by other countries' communication enterprises, China finally has its own third generation mobile communication standard, TD-SCDMA.. While the industry continues to develop, such as Huawei, Fiberhome Technology, ZTE and other local Chinese telecommunications manufacturing enterprises are also growing and growing, and gradually going out to compete with the traditional communications equipment manufacturing giants. Fruitful results have been achieved. In particular, Huawei has surpassed Ericsson in net profit in 2012, making its turnover the second largest in the world, indicating that China's telecommunications equipment manufacturing industry has entered the list of international giants. The communication equipment manufacturing industry has become the representative industry of high technology, information industry and electronic information industry because of its characteristics of high technology and high knowledge content. After the financial crisis in 2008, because of the global economic downturn, the export of China's communications equipment manufacturing industry has been hit hard, and the economic indicators of various products continue to be depressed. However, under the stimulus of national macro policy, especially driven by the large-scale construction of 3G projects, China's telecommunications equipment manufacturing industry is gradually returning to the right track, and all economic indicators are stabilizing. However, as the haze of the financial crisis has not disappeared, under the background that the global economy has not fully recovered and the economic situation is still unclear, the position of China's telecommunications equipment manufacturing industry in the whole national economy is clearly and accurately located. What are the closely related industries around the communications equipment manufacturing industry? What is the relationship between the communication equipment manufacturing industry and these related industries? What is the degree of influence and dependence between the communication equipment manufacturing industry and the national economy? And understand the communication equipment manufacturing industry wave and wave effect. All these are helpful to understand accurately the communication equipment manufacturing industry in China and to establish the position of communication equipment manufacturing industry in the national economy. And the development plan and economic policy of China's communication equipment manufacturing industry should be formulated in order to give full play to the diffusion effect of high technology industry in communication equipment manufacturing industry, and promote the smooth and efficient development of communication equipment manufacturing industry itself at the same time. More can promote and drive the overall coordinated and effective development of the national economy. In this paper, the input-output table of 135 脳 135 departments issued by the National Bureau of Statistics of China in 2007 is adopted. The communication equipment manufacturing industry is regarded as the starting point, and the correlation degree of the communication equipment manufacturing industry is analyzed quantitatively. It includes the direct backward correlation degree, the complete backward correlation degree, the direct forward correlation degree and the complete forward correlation degree of the communication equipment manufacturing industry. The direct and indirect effects of communication equipment manufacturing on related industries are analyzed by combining sensitivity coefficient and influence coefficient. Through the calculation of sensitivity coefficient and influence coefficient, it is determined that China's communication equipment manufacturing industry is a sensitive and interrelated industry, and has strong influence on both forward and backward industries. Through the analysis of the production inducement coefficient and the final dependence degree, the relationship between the final demand and the final demand of the communication equipment manufacturing industry in our country and the final demand of the communication equipment manufacturing industry in the national economy is determined. The research in this paper provides a new idea for the analysis mode of telecommunication industry, especially the telecommunication equipment manufacturing industry in China. According to the data of correlation degree, the reference basis for making decision-making suggestion is given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F426.6

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