【摘要】：在經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)日益復(fù)雜多變的背景下，生物醫(yī)藥正成為繼新能源之后又一個(gè)增長(zhǎng)最為迅速的高成長(zhǎng)性行業(yè)之一。21世紀(jì)以來，生物技術(shù)與信息技術(shù)、納米技術(shù)、新材料等其他高技術(shù)相互結(jié)合，正在形成以基因技術(shù)為主要核心的生物醫(yī)藥技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈，這就為生物醫(yī)藥的高速良性發(fā)展提供了良好的契機(jī)。如今，世界上許多國家都不約而同的將生物醫(yī)藥技術(shù)作為21世紀(jì)科技發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵技術(shù)，我國也一直將生物醫(yī)藥作為生物技術(shù)研究開發(fā)的重點(diǎn)。經(jīng)過幾十年的發(fā)展，我國的生物醫(yī)藥正擺脫過去跟蹤模仿、項(xiàng)目攻堅(jiān)以及單一技術(shù)突破的老路，逐漸向自主研發(fā)、產(chǎn)業(yè)集群化和全面協(xié)調(diào)的方向發(fā)展。不可否認(rèn)，我國的生物醫(yī)藥在“先天條件不足”的情況下依然取得了不俗的表現(xiàn)。但是，在成績(jī)的背后，各種問題日益凸顯，其中，對(duì)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的認(rèn)識(shí)不足導(dǎo)致的投資失敗值得關(guān)注。然而，盡管目前對(duì)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和生物醫(yī)藥其他方面的研究很多，但將兩者結(jié)合起來研究的卻很少，缺乏實(shí)用性及可操作性，難以對(duì)實(shí)踐發(fā)揮有效的引導(dǎo)作用。因此，加強(qiáng)對(duì)生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的研究具有很強(qiáng)的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義和必要性。 本文以生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)中存在的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)為研究對(duì)象。在研究方法上不僅采用了傳統(tǒng)的規(guī)范研究，同時(shí)引入了實(shí)證研究的方法。結(jié)合國內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究，為了更好地評(píng)估生物醫(yī)藥的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，筆者以投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的來源為依據(jù)建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估指標(biāo)體系，以反映投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響因素。在指標(biāo)權(quán)重的賦予方式上則采用層次分析法進(jìn)行賦值，最后運(yùn)用模糊綜合分析法得到生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估的結(jié)果。同時(shí)，本文以生物芯片、干細(xì)胞與再生醫(yī)學(xué)、疫苗與抗體工程和納米醫(yī)藥為例進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)，運(yùn)用該評(píng)估方法衡量了我國生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平。研究結(jié)果表明，投資生物芯片的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平為高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，投資需謹(jǐn)慎；干細(xì)胞與再生醫(yī)學(xué)的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平為中等風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，可以進(jìn)行適度投資；疫苗與抗體工程和納米醫(yī)藥的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)都為較高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。相比前人的研究成果而言，本文在構(gòu)建生物醫(yī)藥投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)的基礎(chǔ)上創(chuàng)建了評(píng)估生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的研究體系，該體系有利于對(duì)生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行初步判定，并為實(shí)際投資作鋪墊，也可為政府相關(guān)部門制定合理政策、引導(dǎo)生物醫(yī)藥行業(yè)健康有序的良性發(fā)展提供理論依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:In the context of the increasingly complex and changeable economic situation, biomedicine is becoming one of the fastest growing industries after new energy. Since the 21st century, biotechnology and information technology, nanotechnology, The combination of other high technologies such as new materials is forming an industrial chain of biomedical technology with gene technology as the main core which provides a good opportunity for the rapid and benign development of biomedicine. Nowadays, many countries in the world regard biomedical technology as the key technology of the development of science and technology in the 21st century, and our country has always regarded biomedicine as the key point of biotechnology research and development. After decades of development, biomedicine in our country is getting rid of the old way of track imitation, project attacking and single technology breakthrough, and gradually developing to independent R & D, industrial cluster and overall coordination. Undeniably, China's biomedicine has made a good performance under the condition of "insufficient congenital conditions". However, behind the achievements, various problems become increasingly prominent, among which, the investment failure caused by insufficient understanding of investment risk is worthy of attention. However, although there is a lot of research on investment risk and other aspects of biomedicine at present, the combination of the two is seldom studied, lacking practicability and maneuverability, so it is difficult to play an effective guiding role in practice. Therefore, it is of great practical significance and necessity to strengthen the research on investment risk of biomedical industry. This paper takes the investment risk in the biomedical industry as the research object. The research method not only adopts the traditional normative research, but also introduces the empirical research method. In order to better evaluate the investment risk of biomedicine, the author establishes a risk assessment index system based on the source of investment risk to reflect the influencing factors of investment risk. On the way of giving index weight, AHP is used to assign value. Finally, fuzzy comprehensive analysis is used to get the result of investment risk assessment in biomedical industry. At the same time, this paper takes biochip, stem cell and regenerative medicine, vaccine and antibody engineering and nano-medicine as examples to test the investment risk level of biomedical industry in China. The results show that the investment risk level of biochip is high, and the investment level of stem cell and regenerative medicine should be cautious, the investment risk level of stem cell and regenerative medicine is medium risk, and the investment level of stem cell and regenerative medicine can be moderately invested. The investment risk of vaccine and antibody engineering and nano-medicine are both high risk. Compared with the previous research results, this paper establishes a research system to evaluate the investment risk of biomedical industry on the basis of constructing the biomedical investment risk index, which is conducive to the preliminary determination of the investment risk in the biomedical industry. It can also provide theoretical basis for the relevant government departments to formulate reasonable policies and guide the healthy and orderly development of the biomedical industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：陜西科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F275;F426.72

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本文編號(hào)：2282174