本文選題：中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū) + 汽車產(chǎn)品��； 參考：《吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：20世紀(jì)90年代末以來(lái)，經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域化與集團(tuán)化成為全球一股不可抵擋的熱流，區(qū)域間的國(guó)際貿(mào)易發(fā)展迅速。各國(guó)為了尋求自身的發(fā)展，紛紛參與了雙邊或多邊經(jīng)濟(jì)合作。據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)，在世界貿(mào)易組織的150多個(gè)成員中除蒙古外都參與了一個(gè)或多個(gè)區(qū)域貿(mào)易安排。截至2011年底，向世界貿(mào)易組織通報(bào)并仍然有效的區(qū)域貿(mào)易安排共有213個(gè)，在這些區(qū)域貿(mào)易安排中，屬于自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的有190個(gè)，比重高達(dá)90%。然而，作為當(dāng)今世界上經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度最快的地區(qū)——亞洲，區(qū)域發(fā)展進(jìn)程相當(dāng)緩慢，尤其是東北亞地區(qū)，雖然區(qū)域內(nèi)國(guó)家數(shù)目不多，但各國(guó)間的經(jīng)濟(jì)合作程度嚴(yán)重滯后。眾所周知，中國(guó)、日本、韓國(guó)是東北亞經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主體力量，有地域上的聯(lián)接性、經(jīng)濟(jì)上的互補(bǔ)性和文化上的共同性，三國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況影響著整個(gè)東北亞的態(tài)勢(shì)，其地位不可忽視。鑒于這一事實(shí)，這三個(gè)國(guó)家亟待大力推進(jìn)并加快“經(jīng)濟(jì)合作體”的進(jìn)程。自中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的構(gòu)想提出以來(lái)，三國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人求同存異，自貿(mào)區(qū)的構(gòu)建漸行漸近。 隨著中日韓經(jīng)貿(mào)合作的不斷密切，三國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)的合作也正悄然發(fā)展，并呈現(xiàn)出強(qiáng)勁的勢(shì)頭和光明的前景。然而，三國(guó)構(gòu)建自由貿(mào)易區(qū)對(duì)于任何一方來(lái)講都將是把雙刃劍。就汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)而言，對(duì)于日韓車企這是重大利好；但對(duì)于中國(guó)車企來(lái)說(shuō)，則是機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)并存，而更多的是挑戰(zhàn)。因此，分析構(gòu)建中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)對(duì)未來(lái)區(qū)內(nèi)三國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易所產(chǎn)生的影響，尤其是對(duì)中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)可能產(chǎn)生的沖擊，并在此基礎(chǔ)上分析中國(guó)如何應(yīng)對(duì)，意義重大。 本文由六大部分組成，第一部分是緒論，包括選題背景和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義、研究思路和邏輯框架、可能的貢獻(xiàn)和不足之處等方面。 第二部分回顧了中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的發(fā)展歷程，并在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)其前景進(jìn)行展望。筆者認(rèn)為，中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)雖幾經(jīng)波折，但是大勢(shì)所趨，談判成功只是時(shí)間問(wèn)題，而自貿(mào)區(qū)的建立也只是時(shí)間問(wèn)題。 第三部分首先從進(jìn)出口國(guó)及地區(qū)和主要汽車商品結(jié)構(gòu)方面對(duì)中日韓三國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易發(fā)展情況進(jìn)行了分析，其次對(duì)三國(guó)之間彼此汽車產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行闡述，最后對(duì)其國(guó)際市場(chǎng)占有率、RCA指數(shù)、TC指數(shù)進(jìn)行比較，進(jìn)而得出中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)品出口目的地與日韓兩國(guó)交集甚小，而日韓之間汽車產(chǎn)品競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈；中國(guó)與日韓相比，，汽車產(chǎn)品存在巨額逆差；與日韓相比，中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)品競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力普遍較弱的結(jié)論。 第四部分以“關(guān)稅同盟”理論為基礎(chǔ)，從“靜態(tài)效應(yīng)”、“動(dòng)態(tài)效應(yīng)”的角度并結(jié)合中日韓三國(guó)已初步形成的談判框架協(xié)議，有針對(duì)性地分析了自貿(mào)區(qū)對(duì)三國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)將可能產(chǎn)生的影響，認(rèn)為自貿(mào)區(qū)的構(gòu)建總體而言對(duì)日韓兩國(guó)汽車業(yè)是重大利好，由于中國(guó)汽車市場(chǎng)外資占有龐大地位，自貿(mào)區(qū)對(duì)中國(guó)汽車工業(yè)整體影響不大，但對(duì)于中國(guó)自主品牌汽車產(chǎn)品機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)并存，而更多的是挑戰(zhàn)。 第五部分是中國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)未來(lái)自貿(mào)區(qū)給本土汽車品牌所帶來(lái)的挑戰(zhàn)的對(duì)策以及中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)未來(lái)發(fā)展的路徑選擇。 第六部分為全文的總結(jié)。
[Abstract]:Since the end of the 1990s, economic regionalization and collectivization have become an irresistible hot stream in the world, and international trade between regions has developed rapidly. In order to seek its own development, countries have participated in bilateral or multilateral economic cooperation. According to statistics, one or more of the more than 150 members of the world Trade Organization, except Mongolia, have participated in one or more countries. Regional trade arrangements. As of the end of 2011, there were 213 regional trade arrangements that were notified and still valid to the world trade organization. In these regional trade arrangements, there were 190 free trade agreements (free trade agreements), with a proportion of up to 90%., however, as the fastest growing region in the world today, Asia, the process of regional development was slow. Slow, especially in Northeast Asia, although the number of countries in the region is not much, the degree of economic cooperation between countries is seriously lagging behind. As we all know, China, Japan and Korea are the main forces of the economic development of Northeast Asia, with regional connectivity, economic complementarity and cultural commonality, and the economic conditions of the three countries affect the whole Northeast Asia. In view of this fact, the three countries need to vigorously promote and accelerate the process of "economic cooperation". Since the concept of the free trade area of China, Japan, Japan, and Japan, the leaders of the three countries seek common ground, and the construction of the free trade zone has gradually become asymptotically.
With the continuous close cooperation between China, Japan and Japan, the cooperation of the three countries is developing quietly, showing a strong momentum and bright prospects. However, the three countries will be a double-edged sword to build a free trade area for any of them. For the automobile industry, it is a great benefit to the Japanese and Korean cars; but for the Chinese car enterprises, it is a great benefit to the Chinese car industry. Therefore, it is of great significance to analyze the impact of China, Japan, Japan and Japan's Free Trade Zone on the auto products trade of the three countries in the future, especially the possible impact on China's auto industry, and on this basis, it is of great significance to analyze China's response to it.
This article is composed of six parts. The first part is an introduction, which includes the background and practical significance of the topic, the research ideas and the logical framework, the possible contributions and shortcomings.
The second part reviews the development course of China, Japan, Japan and Japan, and looks forward to its prospects on this basis. The author believes that although the China Japan Japan Korea free trade area is a few twists and turns, the success of the negotiations is only a matter of time, and the establishment of the free trade area is only a matter of time.
The third part analyzes the trade development of China, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, China, Japan, Japan and Japan. Secondly, it expounds the trade structure of automobile products between the three countries, and finally compares their international market share, RCA index, and TC index, and then draws a conclusion of the Chinese automobile products. The export destination has a small intersection with Japan and South Korea, and the competition of automobile products between Japan and South Korea is fierce. Compared with Japan and South Korea, there is a huge deficit in automobile products. Compared with Japan and South Korea, the competitiveness of Chinese automobile products is generally weak.
The fourth part is based on the "customs union" theory. From the "static effect", "dynamic effect" and the preliminary negotiation framework agreement between China and Japan and Japan, the impact of the free trade area on the three countries' auto industry will be analyzed, and it is considered that the construction of the free trade zone is to Japan and South Korea in general. It is a great benefit. Because of the huge position of the foreign capital in China's auto market, the free trade area has little impact on the Chinese auto industry as a whole, but it is a challenge to the opportunities and challenges of China's independent brand auto products.
The fifth part is China's response to the challenges brought by future FTA to local car brands and the path of future development of China's auto industry.
The sixth part is the summary of the full text.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F426.471;F752.7

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