本文選題：天然氣 + 供給　； 參考：《中國石油大學（華東）》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：近些年，隨著產業(yè)結構的不斷調整、城市化進程的快速推進以及人們使用清潔能源意愿的日益增強，我國天然氣需求量迅速增長。然而，由于我國天然氣產業(yè)發(fā)展起步較晚，相應的技術理論體系和法律法規(guī)還不健全，當前我國天然氣產業(yè)發(fā)展中還存在諸如生產基地與消費中心逆向分布突出、稀缺優(yōu)質資源缺乏有利價格保障、天然氣加工和利用市場缺乏有效銜接機制、天然氣對外依存度持續(xù)增加、市場用氣季節(jié)性不均衡以及市場發(fā)展地域不均衡等問題。面對日益突出的供需矛盾以及影響產業(yè)發(fā)展的種種弊端，為保證我國天然氣產業(yè)健康有序發(fā)展、保障國家能源安全，需要準確地呈現(xiàn)出我國天然氣供給和需求市場現(xiàn)狀格局，進一步分析相關數(shù)據(jù)選取合適的預測模型對我國天然氣供給和需求進行科學的預測，在科學預測的基礎上準確評估我國天然氣供需缺口，繼而結合相關影響因素制定和實施未來我國天然氣產業(yè)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略。 從供需預測的結果來看，隨著時間的推移，我國天然氣供求缺口會越來越大。未來一段時間，我國天然氣產業(yè)發(fā)展的總體思路應以保證國內需求和保障國家能源安全為目標，不斷加大勘探開發(fā)投入，提高資源保障程度；積極推進管網(wǎng)建設，，不斷完善管網(wǎng)布局；以市場為導向，逐步完善天然氣定價機制；建立健全制度法規(guī)，促進產業(yè)協(xié)調發(fā)展；加強國際合作，拓展多元化供氣渠道；增加資源戰(zhàn)略儲備，抵御能源危機。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the continuous adjustment of industrial structure, the rapid progress of urbanization and the increasing willingness of people to use clean energy, the demand for natural gas in China has increased rapidly. However, due to the late development of the natural gas industry in China, the corresponding technical theory system and laws and regulations are not perfect. At present, in the development of natural gas industry in our country, such as the reverse distribution of production bases and consumption centers are still prominent. The scarcity and high quality resources lack favorable price guarantee, the natural gas processing and utilization market lacks the effective link mechanism, the natural gas external dependence degree increases continuously, the market uses the gas seasonally unevenly and the market development region is not balanced and so on. In the face of the increasingly prominent contradiction between supply and demand and the malpractices affecting the development of the industry, in order to ensure the healthy and orderly development of the natural gas industry in China and ensure the national energy security, it is necessary to accurately present the present situation of the natural gas supply and demand market in China. Further analysis the relevant data to select the appropriate forecasting model to forecast the natural gas supply and demand of our country scientifically, on the basis of the scientific forecast, accurately evaluate the gap between supply and demand of natural gas in our country. Then combined with the relevant factors to formulate and implement the future development strategy of natural gas industry in China. According to the forecast results of supply and demand, the gap between supply and demand of natural gas in China will be bigger and bigger with the passage of time. For some time in the future, the overall idea of the development of natural gas industry in China should be aimed at ensuring domestic demand and ensuring national energy security, continuously increasing the investment in exploration and development, improving the degree of resource guarantee, and actively promoting the construction of pipe networks. Constantly improve the distribution of pipeline network; take the market as the guide, gradually perfect the natural gas pricing mechanism; establish and perfect the system and regulations to promote the coordinated development of the industry; strengthen international cooperation, expand diversified gas supply channels; increase the strategic reserve of resources, Resist the energy crisis.
【學位授予單位】：中國石油大學（華東）
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F426.22

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