保定市工業(yè)碳排放核算方法與低碳發(fā)展路徑研究
本文選題:工業(yè)碳排放 + 發(fā)展路徑; 參考:《華北電力大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:中國(guó)現(xiàn)代工業(yè)發(fā)展是建立在化石能源消耗的基礎(chǔ)之上,在未來(lái)一段時(shí)間里,中國(guó)的工業(yè)化將無(wú)法擺脫高消耗、重污染、低產(chǎn)出的傳統(tǒng)發(fā)展模式,,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)依賴于礦石燃料的格局不會(huì)改變。工業(yè)在節(jié)能減排、提高能效方面具有較大的減排潛力和發(fā)展空間,是培育低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)的重要行業(yè),是完成低碳城市建設(shè)的關(guān)鍵環(huán)節(jié)。通過(guò)推進(jìn)工業(yè)部門的節(jié)能減排技術(shù),大力發(fā)展生態(tài)產(chǎn)業(yè)、環(huán)保產(chǎn)業(yè)等,可以促進(jìn)城市碳排放量的大幅度減少。因此在低碳發(fā)展過(guò)程中,必須高度重視工業(yè)部門的作用。 本文首先從支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)、工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、工業(yè)能耗等方面對(duì)保定市工業(yè)現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行描述;然后選擇能源消耗量估算法對(duì)保定市工業(yè)碳排放進(jìn)行核算,分析工業(yè)生產(chǎn)過(guò)程中的碳排放量及不同部門碳排放量分布,得出保定市工業(yè)碳排放增速有放緩趨勢(shì),但整體碳排放量仍處在高排放階段;在此基礎(chǔ)上,以計(jì)算得出的碳排放量為被解釋變量,應(yīng)用誤差修正模型構(gòu)建碳排放核算方法,尋找碳排放、能源消耗及經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出三者之間的均衡關(guān)系;而后將微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中的彈性系數(shù)概念引入到碳排放相關(guān)計(jì)算中,分析各工業(yè)部門的碳排放彈性系數(shù);結(jié)合DEA模型,分析能源—碳排放、經(jīng)濟(jì)—碳排放的顯著有效水平,并分析各部門的能源經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境的綜合效率,從而發(fā)現(xiàn)問(wèn)題及矛盾,然后提出適合保定市工業(yè)低碳化發(fā)展的路徑;并從技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、政策調(diào)控等方面,對(duì)保定市工業(yè)低碳化發(fā)展提出相關(guān)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:China's modern industrial development is based on the consumption of fossil energy. In the future, China's industrialization will not be able to get rid of the traditional development model of high consumption, heavy pollution and low output. The pattern of economic growth dependent on fossil fuels will not change. Industry has great potential and developing space in energy saving and emission reduction and improving energy efficiency. It is an important industry to cultivate low carbon economic growth point and a key link to complete the construction of low carbon city. By promoting the technology of energy saving and emission reduction in the industrial sector and vigorously developing ecological industry and environmental protection industry, the urban carbon emissions can be greatly reduced. Therefore, in the process of low-carbon development, we must attach great importance to the role of the industrial sector. Firstly, this paper describes the status quo of Baoding industry from the aspects of pillar industry, industrial structure, industrial energy consumption and so on. Then select the energy consumption estimation method to calculate the industrial carbon emissions in Baoding City, analyze the carbon emissions in the industrial production process and the distribution of carbon emissions in different sectors, and draw the conclusion that the growth rate of industrial carbon emissions in Baoding City has a tendency to slow down. But the overall carbon emission is still in the high emission stage; on the basis of this, taking the calculated carbon emissions as the explanatory variable, the error correction model is used to construct the carbon emission accounting method to find out the carbon emissions. The equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic output, and then introduce the concept of elasticity coefficient in microeconomics into the calculation of carbon emissions correlation, analyze the carbon emission elasticity coefficient of various industrial sectors, combined with DEA model, This paper analyzes the significant effective level of energy-carbon emission and economic-carbon emission, and analyzes the comprehensive efficiency of energy economic environment in various sectors, so as to find out the problems and contradictions, and then puts forward the path suitable for the development of industrial low carbonization in Baoding City. And from technological innovation, policy regulation and other aspects, the development of industrial low-carbon Baoding City put forward relevant policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F424.1
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