新疆新型工業(yè)化背景下主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-13 09:21
本文選題:新疆 + 工業(yè); 參考:《新疆大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:新疆目前處于工業(yè)化階段,在可持續(xù)發(fā)展和西部大開(kāi)發(fā)的背景下,在“十二五規(guī)劃”實(shí)施期間,合理、科學(xué)的選擇工業(yè)主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè),具有重要意義;尤其是結(jié)合目前新型工業(yè)的要求,對(duì)新疆經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速和健康發(fā)展具有莫大的意義。因此,本文對(duì)新型工業(yè)化下新疆工業(yè)主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇進(jìn)行了分析和研究。 本文通過(guò)主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)與各種性質(zhì)的其它產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的辨析,明確了主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的內(nèi)涵、基本特征、及判斷基準(zhǔn)和依據(jù);并在此基礎(chǔ)上建立新疆主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的AHP模型,并運(yùn)行出模型結(jié)果,最后本文得出以下結(jié)論。 (1)確定新型工業(yè)化下主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇原則。通過(guò)文獻(xiàn)綜述,并結(jié)合新型工業(yè)的要求,最后確定新型工業(yè)化下主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇原則有:區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)帶動(dòng)原則、產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展?jié)摿υ瓌t、高關(guān)聯(lián)度原則、動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)原則、社會(huì)效益原則、技術(shù)集約化、信息化原則和可持續(xù)發(fā)展原則。 (2)建立和豐富新型工業(yè)化下主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的指標(biāo)體系;并構(gòu)建新疆新型工業(yè)化下主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的AHP模型。在各原則的指導(dǎo)下,并結(jié)合數(shù)據(jù)的可獲得性,篩選出11個(gè)關(guān)于主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的指標(biāo),分別是產(chǎn)值規(guī)模指標(biāo)、產(chǎn)品銷(xiāo)售率、感應(yīng)度系數(shù)、影響力系數(shù)、區(qū)位熵、從業(yè)人員增長(zhǎng)率、勞動(dòng)者生產(chǎn)率、綜合結(jié)業(yè)系數(shù)、技術(shù)擴(kuò)散系數(shù)、資源消耗指標(biāo)、成本費(fèi)用利潤(rùn)率;并構(gòu)建新疆新型工業(yè)化下主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的AHP模型。 (3)通過(guò)AHP模型的運(yùn)算,得出新疆各工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的綜合權(quán)重與排名。綜合各位專(zhuān)家對(duì)AHP模型的各個(gè)判斷矩陣的賦值,計(jì)算出11個(gè)指標(biāo)的相對(duì)權(quán)重;篩選2007~2011年的新疆統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒、投入產(chǎn)出表和其它相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),計(jì)算出各個(gè)指標(biāo)的定量值;最后運(yùn)行AHP模型,得出最終各產(chǎn)業(yè)的綜合權(quán)重和排名。 (4)確定新疆新型工業(yè)化下的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)。AHP模型運(yùn)行結(jié)果顯示新疆工業(yè)主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)分別是:石油和天然氣開(kāi)采業(yè),,煤炭開(kāi)采和洗選業(yè),金屬采礦選業(yè),石油加工、煉焦及核燃料加工業(yè),電力、熱力的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè),其中石油和天然氣開(kāi)采業(yè)綜合權(quán)重高達(dá)0.7265.是新疆最主要的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè);另外,新興產(chǎn)業(yè)如交通運(yùn)輸、設(shè)備制造的綜合權(quán)重排名分別為第16位和第11位,新興產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展比較落后。 在引入新型工業(yè)的要求下,AHP的結(jié)果顯示能源類(lèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)仍然是新疆的主要主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè),說(shuō)明新疆工業(yè)對(duì)能源、礦產(chǎn)的依賴性仍然較強(qiáng),工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)普遍停留在產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的低端,且新興產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展落后。針對(duì)新疆主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)存在的問(wèn)題,提出相應(yīng)的建議。
[Abstract]:Xinjiang is currently in the industrialization stage. Under the background of sustainable development and the development of the western region, it is of great significance to select the leading industry reasonably and scientifically during the implementation of the 12th Five-Year Plan. Especially, it is of great significance to the rapid and healthy development of Xinjiang economy. Therefore, this paper analyzes and studies the choice of Xinjiang industrial leading industry under the new industrialization. Based on the analysis between leading industry and other industries with various properties, this paper clarifies the connotation, basic characteristics, criteria and basis of leading industry, and then establishes the AHP model of leading industry selection in Xinjiang. Finally, the following conclusions are obtained. Determine the selection principle of leading industry under new industrialization. Through literature review and combined with the requirements of new type industry, it is finally determined that the selection principles of leading industries under new industrialization are: regional economic driving principle, industry development potential principle, high correlation degree principle, dynamic comparative advantage principle. Social benefit principle, technology intensive, information principle and sustainable development principle. (2) to establish and enrich the index system of leading industry selection under the new industrialization, and to construct the AHP model of leading industry selection under the new industrialization in Xinjiang. Under the guidance of various principles and combined with the availability of data, 11 indicators on the selection of leading industries are selected, which are output size index, product sales rate, sensitivity coefficient, influence coefficient, location entropy, employment growth rate, etc. Labor productivity, comprehensive completion coefficient, technology diffusion coefficient, resource consumption index, cost-cost profit margin, and construct the AHP model of leading industry selection under the new industrialization in Xinjiang. Through the calculation of AHP model, the comprehensive weight and rank of each industrial industry in Xinjiang are obtained. The relative weights of 11 indexes are calculated by synthesizing the assigned values of each judgment matrix of the AHP model, the statistical yearbooks of Xinjiang from 2007 to 2011 are selected, the input-output tables and other relevant data are selected, and the quantitative values of each index are calculated. Finally, the AHP model is run to get the overall weight and ranking of the final industries. The operating results of the AHP model show that the leading industries in Xinjiang are: oil and natural gas mining, coal mining and washing, metal mining and separation, and petroleum processing. Coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, electricity, heat production and supply industries, including oil and gas mining industry as high as 0. 7265. In addition, the new industries such as transportation and equipment manufacturing are ranked 16th and 11th respectively, the development of new industries is relatively backward. Under the requirement of introducing new industry, the result of AHP shows that energy industry is still the main leading industry in Xinjiang, indicating that the dependence of Xinjiang industry on energy and mineral resources is still strong, and the industrial industry generally stays at the low end of the industrial chain. And the development of emerging industries lagged behind. In view of the problems existing in Xinjiang's leading industries, the corresponding suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:新疆大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F427
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