本文選題：歐債危機(jī) + 光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)��； 參考：《陜西師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：太陽能作為一種可以永久開發(fā)利用的清潔能源,有著巨大的發(fā)展?jié)摿�。從人類文明發(fā)展以來,太陽能一直是人類賴以生存和發(fā)展的能源形勢,其目前所有存在的自然資源幾乎全部通過轉(zhuǎn)換太陽能形成其現(xiàn)有形態(tài)。從當(dāng)代科技底蘊(yùn)和發(fā)展來看,太陽能技術(shù)的進(jìn)步可能會(huì)決定未來的能源發(fā)展走向和人類社會(huì)的走向。 太陽能光伏技術(shù)(PV or Photovoltaic)源自愛因斯坦的光電效應(yīng)理論,利用半導(dǎo)體材料(如單晶硅,多晶硅等)的高性能光伏效應(yīng),將太陽輻射直接轉(zhuǎn)化為電能的一種新型技術(shù)。光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)則是圍繞著以光電轉(zhuǎn)化率為核心的集晶硅材料的生產(chǎn)制造,光伏組件的封裝調(diào)試,光伏發(fā)電系統(tǒng)并網(wǎng)應(yīng)用等環(huán)節(jié)的產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈條。中國的光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展迅速,現(xiàn)已經(jīng)成為世界上最大的光伏生產(chǎn)出口國,截止2012年,中國共生產(chǎn)并出口光伏組件超過10GW,占世界光伏需求總量的50%以上。 2010年以來,隨著希臘、西班牙、愛爾蘭等國家相繼爆發(fā)主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī),歐債危機(jī)就像多米諾骨牌一樣開始波及整個(gè)歐元區(qū),對整個(gè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生了巨大的影響。歐盟是我國第一大貿(mào)易合作伙伴,與我國有著密切的貿(mào)易,投資往來,歐債危機(jī)對我國出口貿(mào)易產(chǎn)業(yè)影響巨大,其中受到嚴(yán)重沖擊的是我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。中國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)是典型的出口導(dǎo)向型產(chǎn)業(yè),近期惡化的歐債危機(jī),對80%以上的產(chǎn)品出口依靠歐洲市場的中國光伏企業(yè)形成了巨大的沖擊。 本文以此次歐債危機(jī)對中國光伏行業(yè)對外出口影響的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制為主題進(jìn)行研究,旨在通過分析危機(jī)影響中國光伏行業(yè)對外出口的方式和路徑,抓住導(dǎo)致對外出口萎縮的主要經(jīng)濟(jì)變量,從而有效抑制或減弱危機(jī)影響,對減小歐債危機(jī)損失提供對策依據(jù)。 本文采用定性與定量并行,理論結(jié)合實(shí)證等研究方法,利用筆者從事的光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的便利條件,從中國光伏行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)取得數(shù)據(jù),即從2010年1月至2012年9月的光伏產(chǎn)品按照發(fā)電量出口的最新數(shù)據(jù),在危機(jī)對中國光伏行業(yè)對外出口影響的事實(shí)基礎(chǔ)上,分析和驗(yàn)證了歐債危機(jī)對中國光伏行業(yè)對外出口影響的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制。首先,從出口總量、出口環(huán)境、出口市場、出口主體等各方面,全面介紹總結(jié)了歐債危機(jī)對中國光伏行業(yè)對外出口貿(mào)易影響；接著,從理論角度分析了歐債危機(jī)對中國光伏行業(yè)對外出口貿(mào)易影響的原因和傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,得出相應(yīng)結(jié)論。同時(shí),本文通過建立實(shí)證模型,檢驗(yàn)了對應(yīng)傳導(dǎo)變量在危機(jī)中變化的程度,以及傳導(dǎo)變量變化對中國光伏行業(yè)出口造成的影響。文章最后部分提出了政策建議。
[Abstract]:Solar energy, as a kind of clean energy that can be developed and used permanently, has great development potential. Since the development of human civilization, solar energy has been the energy situation on which human beings depend for survival and development. Almost all of its existing natural resources form its present form by converting solar energy. From the perspective of the development of modern science and technology, the progress of solar energy technology may determine the future trend of energy development and the trend of human society. Solar photovoltaic technology (PV or Photovoltaici) originated from Einstein's theory of photovoltaic effect. It uses the high performance photovoltaic effect of semiconductor materials (such as monocrystalline silicon, polycrystalline silicon, etc.) to convert solar radiation directly into electric energy. Photovoltaic industry is around the production and manufacture of crystalline silicon material with photoelectric conversion rate as the core, the packaging and debugging of photovoltaic module, the application of photovoltaic power generation system and so on. China's photovoltaic industry has developed rapidly and has become the world's largest exporter of photovoltaic production. As of 2012, China has produced and exported more than 10GW photovoltaic modules, accounting for more than 50 percent of the world's total photovoltaic demand. Since 2010, as sovereign debt crises have erupted in Greece, Spain, Ireland and other countries, the European debt crisis has begun to ripple across the euro zone like dominoes, with a huge impact on the entire world economy. The European Union is the largest trade partner of our country and has close trade and investment with China. The European debt crisis has a great impact on the export trade industry of our country, among which the development of photovoltaic industry of our country has been seriously impacted. China's photovoltaic industry is a typical export-oriented industry. The recent deterioration of the European debt crisis has created a huge impact on the Chinese photovoltaic enterprises which rely on the European market for more than 80% of their exports. This paper focuses on the transmission mechanism of the impact of the European debt crisis on the external exports of China's photovoltaic industry, in order to analyze the ways and paths of the crisis affecting the external exports of China's photovoltaic industry. By grasping the main economic variables that lead to the contraction of foreign exports, we can effectively restrain or weaken the impact of the crisis and provide a basis for the countermeasures to reduce the losses of the European debt crisis. In this paper, qualitative and quantitative parallel, theoretical combined with empirical research methods, using the author engaged in photovoltaic industry facilities, from the China Photovoltaic Industry Association to obtain data, That is, the photovoltaic products from January 2010 to September 2012, based on the latest data on the export of electricity generation, are based on the fact that the crisis has affected the external exports of China's photovoltaic industry. This paper analyzes and verifies the transmission mechanism of the impact of the European debt crisis on China's photovoltaic industry's external exports. Firstly, from the aspects of total export volume, export environment, export market, export main body and so on, the paper summarizes the impact of the European debt crisis on China's photovoltaic industry's foreign export trade. In this paper, the causes and conduction mechanism of the European debt crisis on China's photovoltaic industry's foreign export trade are analyzed theoretically, and the corresponding conclusions are drawn. At the same time, by establishing an empirical model, this paper tests the extent of the change of the corresponding conductive variables in the crisis, and the impact of the change of the conductive variables on the export of China's photovoltaic industry. At the end of the article, some policy suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：陜西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F426.61;F831.59

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