本文選題：發(fā)生學(xué)　切入點(diǎn)：系統(tǒng)論　出處：《地理研究》2017年08期

【摘要】：明確旅游流與目的地系統(tǒng)供需耦合成長(zhǎng)的演化、因素與驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制,對(duì)旅游目的地實(shí)施宏觀調(diào)控具有重要意義。基于發(fā)生學(xué)與系統(tǒng)論,采用耦合協(xié)調(diào)度評(píng)價(jià)模型、回歸與相關(guān)分析法,分析了1995-2014年西安市旅游流與目的地供需耦合成長(zhǎng)曲線的演化特征與影響因素,依此歸納出兩大系統(tǒng)耦合成長(zhǎng)的驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)旅游流是旅游需求的顯化,是旅游流與目的地耦合成長(zhǎng)的基本驅(qū)動(dòng)力。旅游流與目的地系統(tǒng)的耦合成長(zhǎng)曲線演進(jìn)主要受旅游流需求系統(tǒng)支配,二者耦合成長(zhǎng)曲線呈現(xiàn)"三峰三谷"的波動(dòng)演進(jìn)特征;(2)旅游流與目的地耦合呈現(xiàn)由低質(zhì)—高質(zhì)耦合的發(fā)展演化歷程。旅游流與目的地系統(tǒng)由低質(zhì)耦合向高質(zhì)耦合成長(zhǎng)演進(jìn)的不同發(fā)展階段,影響兩大系統(tǒng)耦合成長(zhǎng)的指標(biāo)、要素與子系統(tǒng)的數(shù)量與貢獻(xiàn)值也逐步提升;(3)旅游流與目的地耦合成長(zhǎng)受"四位一體"驅(qū)動(dòng)力的影響。旅游需求是引致旅游流與目的地耦合成長(zhǎng)的基本驅(qū)動(dòng)力,旅游流需求與目的地供給的自組織動(dòng)態(tài)演化是決定二者耦合成長(zhǎng)的原生驅(qū)動(dòng)力,系統(tǒng)內(nèi)部因素與子系統(tǒng)在不同發(fā)展階段的轉(zhuǎn)換與變化是影響二者耦合成長(zhǎng)的內(nèi)部驅(qū)動(dòng)力,國(guó)家政策的動(dòng)態(tài)支持與特殊事件年份的出現(xiàn)是推動(dòng)二者耦合成長(zhǎng)的外部驅(qū)動(dòng)力。研究結(jié)果從整體與系統(tǒng)角度加深了對(duì)兩大系統(tǒng)耦合成長(zhǎng)的演進(jìn)特征與驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制的理解,對(duì)旅游目的地宏觀調(diào)控起一定理論參考價(jià)值。
[Abstract]:It is important to make clear the evolution, factors and driving mechanism of the coupling growth of tourism flow and destination system. Based on the theory of genesis and system, the evaluation model of coupling coordination degree is adopted. By regression and correlation analysis, this paper analyzes the evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling growth curve between tourism flow and destination supply and demand in Xi'an from 1995 to 2014. The study found that the tourism flow is the manifestation of tourism demand. The evolution of the coupled growth curve between tourist flow and destination system is dominated by the tourism flow demand system. The coupling growth curve of the two shows the characteristics of fluctuation and evolution of "three peaks and three valleys".) the coupling of tourism flow and destination presents the evolution from low quality to high quality coupling. Tourism flow and destination system change from low quality coupling to high quality coupling. Different stages of growth and evolution, The indicators that affect the coupling growth of the two systems, The quantity and contribution of the factors and subsystems are also gradually improved.) the coupling growth of tourism flow and destination is influenced by the "four-in-one" driving force. Tourism demand is the basic driving force that leads to the coupling growth of tourism flow and destination. The self-organizing dynamic evolution of tourism demand and destination supply is the primary driving force to determine the coupling growth of the two, and the internal factors and the transformation and change of subsystem in different stages of development are the internal driving forces that affect the coupling growth of the two. The dynamic support of national policies and the emergence of special event years are the external driving forces to promote the coupling growth of the two systems. The results of the study deepen the understanding of the evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of the coupling growth between the two systems from the perspective of the whole and the system. It plays a certain theoretical reference value to the macro-control of tourist destination.
【作者單位】： 陜西師范大學(xué)地理科學(xué)與旅游學(xué)院;陜西省旅游信息化工程實(shí)驗(yàn)室;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(41271158,41201148,41401147) 國(guó)家旅游局“萬(wàn)名旅游英才計(jì)劃”項(xiàng)目(WMYC20151061) 陜西師范大學(xué)研究生創(chuàng)新基金(2015CXB003) 教育部人文社科研究項(xiàng)目(15XJC790005) 陜西省軟科學(xué)研究計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2016KRM119) 中央高�；究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)資助項(xiàng)目(GK201603080) 西安市社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃基金項(xiàng)目(17X18)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F592.7

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