本文選題：科技投入　切入點：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長　出處：《西北大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著知識經(jīng)濟(jì)時代的到來,人們越來越深刻認(rèn)識到科技水平代表一國綜合實力,科技進(jìn)步的作用日益顯著,而科技投入是科技進(jìn)步的物質(zhì)保障和根本前提,是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的后盾支持。因此要想保持經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長,就必須優(yōu)化科技投入結(jié)構(gòu),加大科技投入力度。只有提高科技水平,才能更好地為經(jīng)濟(jì)服務(wù),與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間形成良性循環(huán)�？萍歼M(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系問題是宏觀技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析的重點,因此,研究經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與科技投入之間的相互關(guān)系具有非常重要的現(xiàn)實意義,這也是本文研究的出發(fā)點。 本文依據(jù)陜西省1995年至2008年間的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),在科技投入方面,以科技活動經(jīng)費和RD經(jīng)費為基礎(chǔ),利用傳統(tǒng)測量模型計算二者對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)率,通過數(shù)值發(fā)現(xiàn),在近些年經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的過程中,科技對經(jīng)濟(jì)的貢獻(xiàn)越來越占據(jù)主導(dǎo)作用；進(jìn)而結(jié)合經(jīng)濟(jì)理論,采用動態(tài)建模的方法,利用協(xié)整檢驗,格蘭杰因果分析檢驗等現(xiàn)代計量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)方法,分析科技投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間是否存在長期穩(wěn)定性。結(jié)果表明：科技投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間不僅存在長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系,而且兩者還存在十分明顯的單向因果關(guān)系,即：陜西省科技投入的增加或減少會引起陜西省經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長或倒退,而經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長或倒退不會引起科技投入的增加或減少,由此說明科技投入在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長中占有重要地位。 最后,結(jié)合實證分析結(jié)果對陜西省科技投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方而存在的問題提出可行性建議,為政府部門的科技投入決策提供了有力的信息依據(jù)與合理的政策建議,同時也指出了本文研究中的不足和有待進(jìn)一步研究的問題。
[Abstract]:With the arrival of the era of knowledge economy, people have realized more and more that the level of science and technology represents the comprehensive strength of a country, and the role of science and technology progress is becoming more and more prominent, and science and technology investment is the material guarantee and fundamental premise of scientific and technological progress. It is the backing of economic development. Therefore, in order to maintain sustained economic growth, we must optimize the structure of investment in science and technology and increase the intensity of investment in science and technology. Only by raising the level of science and technology can we better serve the economy. The relationship between scientific and technological progress and economic growth is the focus of macro-techno-economic analysis, so it is of great practical significance to study the relationship between economic growth and scientific and technological investment. This is also the starting point of this study. Based on the relevant data from 1995 to 2008 in Shaanxi Province, and on the basis of scientific and technological activities and R D funds, this paper calculates the contribution rate of the two to economic growth by using the traditional measurement model, and finds out by numerical value. In the process of economic development in recent years, the contribution of science and technology to the economy has become more and more dominant. Then, combining economic theory, using dynamic modeling method, using cointegration test, Granger causality analysis test and other modern econometric methods, This paper analyzes whether there is a long-term stability between the investment of science and technology and the economic growth. The results show that there is not only a stable equilibrium relationship between the investment of science and technology and economic growth, but also a very obvious one-way causal relationship between them. That is, the increase or decrease of the input of science and technology in Shaanxi Province will cause the economic growth or retrogression of Shaanxi Province, but the growth or regression of the economy will not cause the increase or decrease of the input of science and technology, which shows that the investment of science and technology plays an important role in the economic growth. Finally, based on the results of empirical analysis, the paper puts forward some feasible suggestions on the problems existing in scientific and technological investment and economic growth in Shaanxi Province, which provides a strong information basis and reasonable policy recommendations for government departments to make scientific and technological investment decisions. At the same time, it also points out the shortcomings of this study and the problems to be further studied.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F224;G322.7;F127

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