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“營(yíng)改增”對(duì)企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-02-27 03:20

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 營(yíng)改增 現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 抵扣效應(yīng) 稅率提高效應(yīng) 出處:《東南大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:"營(yíng)改增"即營(yíng)業(yè)稅改征增值稅改革,既是完善稅制的需要,也是減輕第三產(chǎn)業(yè)稅收負(fù)擔(dān)、推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的手段。作為宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)中的微觀主體,企業(yè)的各項(xiàng)行為和經(jīng)營(yíng)績(jī)效都會(huì)受到宏觀政策影響,F(xiàn)金流對(duì)于企業(yè)生存和發(fā)展有著舉足輕重的作業(yè),"營(yíng)改增"這項(xiàng)稅制改革會(huì)對(duì)企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流的充足性和穩(wěn)定性以及現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)產(chǎn)生何種影響是本文的主要研究?jī)?nèi)容。本文采用2013至2016年153家我國(guó)上市公司的財(cái)務(wù)數(shù)據(jù),通過(guò)理論分析,描述性分析和面板模型多元回歸分析等方法研究"營(yíng)改增"對(duì)企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流的影響。最終實(shí)證結(jié)果表明"營(yíng)改增"與企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)存在顯著的相關(guān)性,"營(yíng)改增"后,企業(yè)稅負(fù)的增減會(huì)帶來(lái)現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)同方向變動(dòng),生產(chǎn)成本的抵扣效應(yīng)與企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)存在顯著的負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,而固定資產(chǎn)抵扣效應(yīng)在"營(yíng)改增"后短期內(nèi)對(duì)企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)不存在顯著影響。改革之后,交通運(yùn)輸業(yè)企業(yè)的現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)受稅負(fù)變化的影響更明顯。無(wú)論是交通運(yùn)輸業(yè)還是現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè),"營(yíng)改增"稅率的提高對(duì)企業(yè)現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)都帶來(lái)了負(fù)面的影響,且稅率提高幅度越大,現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)越大。另外,"營(yíng)改增"抵扣效應(yīng)對(duì)處于發(fā)展期企業(yè)的現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響大于處于衰退期和成熟期的企業(yè),尤其是在固定資產(chǎn)的抵扣效應(yīng)普遍不顯著的情況下,發(fā)展期企業(yè)的固定資產(chǎn)抵扣效應(yīng)的相關(guān)系數(shù)是負(fù)值,說(shuō)明固定資產(chǎn)的抵扣效應(yīng)一定程度上改善了發(fā)展期企業(yè)的現(xiàn)金流風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
[Abstract]:"Business tax reform", that is, business tax reform, is not only the need to improve the tax system, but also the means to reduce the tax burden of the tertiary industry and promote the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure. The behavior and performance of enterprises will be affected by macro policies. Cash flow is very important for the survival and development of enterprises. The tax reform of "business reform" will be sufficient and stable to the cash flow of enterprises. The main content of this paper is the influence of cash flow risk. This paper uses the financial data of 153 listed companies from 2013 to 2016. Through theoretical analysis, Descriptive analysis and panel model multivariate regression analysis are used to study the influence of "business transformation increase" on corporate cash flow. The final empirical results show that there is a significant correlation between "business reform increase" and corporate cash flow risk. The increase or decrease of enterprise tax burden will bring about the change of cash flow risk in the same direction. The deduction effect of production cost has a significant negative correlation with the enterprise cash flow risk. However, the fixed assets deduction effect has no significant effect on the cash flow risk of the enterprise in the short term after the "camp reform and increase". The cash flow risk of transportation enterprises is affected more obviously by the change of tax burden. Whether it is transportation industry or modern service industry, the increase of tax rate has a negative impact on the cash flow risk of enterprises. Moreover, the higher the tax rate is, the greater the cash flow risk is. In addition, the effect of "business reform and increase" on the cash flow risk of the enterprises in the developing period is greater than that of the enterprises in the recession and mature period. Especially under the condition that the deduction effect of fixed assets is not significant, the correlation coefficient of fixed assets deduction effect of developing enterprises is negative, which indicates that the deduction effect of fixed assets improves the cash flow risk of enterprises in developing period to some extent.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F812.42;F275

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