【摘要】：鑒于"中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)責(zé)任論"和"儲(chǔ)蓄國(guó)責(zé)任論",選取1978—2009年的季度數(shù)據(jù)利用協(xié)整分析和Granger測(cè)試對(duì)中國(guó)高儲(chǔ)蓄率的原因及其合理性進(jìn)行探討。協(xié)整分析表明:儲(chǔ)蓄率、男性出生率、凈出口率、美國(guó)住房資產(chǎn)價(jià)格和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率每增長(zhǎng)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),將導(dǎo)致儲(chǔ)蓄率增加0.63、-0.67、-0.002、0.40和0.09個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。Granger測(cè)試表明了投資率、凈出口等變量與儲(chǔ)蓄率存在著良好的Granger因果關(guān)系。最后得出了結(jié)論和相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In view of "China Economic responsibility Theory" and "savings country responsibility Theory", the reasons and rationality of China's high savings rate are discussed by using cointegration analysis and Granger test from 1978 to 2009. The co-integration analysis shows that for every percentage point increase in the savings rate, the male birth rate, the net export rate, the housing asset price and the economic growth rate in the United States, the savings rate will increase by 0.63, 鈮，

本文編號(hào)：2493065