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我國商業(yè)銀行個人住房按揭貸款違約風險研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-30 06:34

  本文選題:按揭貸款 + 風險; 參考:《西華大學》2012年碩士論文


【摘要】:從1998年住房體制改革至今,,我國的商品房產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)逐漸發(fā)展成了國民經(jīng)濟的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)之一,在其帶動之下,個人住房按揭貸款業(yè)務(wù)也迅速發(fā)展。近年來,個人住房按揭貸款占商業(yè)銀行貸款總額的比重也不斷提高。國際公認個人住房按揭貸款違約風險高發(fā)期為貸款后5—8年,因此,我國目前正處于個人住房按揭貸款違約的高發(fā)階段,加之房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)企業(yè)融資渠道狹窄、部分地區(qū)房價上漲過快、銀行短存長貸、法律保障體制不完善、抵質(zhì)押物處置困難等問題,使得我國個人住房按揭貸款的風險正在逐步顯現(xiàn)。而這些風險將首先影響銀行的資金安全,甚至會擾亂整個國民經(jīng)濟安全運行體系;诖耍疚脑噲D通過對個人住房按揭貸款中與銀行呈現(xiàn)三角關(guān)系的貸款人和開發(fā)商風險進行分析,從中發(fā)現(xiàn)問題,并針對銀行業(yè)提出一些風險防范措施。 與發(fā)達國家相比,我國關(guān)于個人住房貸款風險控制的研究發(fā)展較為緩慢,理論基礎(chǔ)較薄弱,且多數(shù)集中在從銀行的角度,按照內(nèi)部操作流程、借款人還款能力評估和抵押物處置等方面進行分析,分析的范圍比較狹窄,具有實際操作性的風險評價模型較少。本文增加了對房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)商風險的分析,拓寬了分析層面,使對我國個人住房按揭貸款風險的分析更加全面,并在此基礎(chǔ)上建立了貸前調(diào)查階段銀行評價開發(fā)商及借款人風險評價的模型,提出了風險防范措施,為我國商業(yè)銀行個人住房按揭貸款風險研究拓寬思路,促進風險防控理論的發(fā)展。 目前,單一關(guān)注與銀行直接發(fā)生信貸關(guān)系的借款人風險已經(jīng)不能全面控制個人住房按揭貸款風險,與銀行具有合作關(guān)系與貸款人具有買賣關(guān)系的房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)商風險已經(jīng)逐漸顯現(xiàn),也應(yīng)當引起銀行的重點關(guān)注。通過本次研究,將對借款人及開發(fā)商兩方面的風險進行分析,試圖建立起一套更完善的個人住房按揭貸款風險評價體系,從而更全面的控制貸款風險,降低個人住房按揭貸款不良貸款率,保證銀行信貸資金安全,為銀行的個人住房按揭貸款風險評價和控制體系提供一些有益借鑒。
[Abstract]:Since the reform of housing system in 1998, the commercial housing industry in China has gradually developed into one of the pillar industries of the national economy. In recent years, the proportion of personal housing mortgage loans to the total loans of commercial banks is also increasing. The internationally recognized period of default risk of individual housing mortgage loan is 5-8 years after loan. Therefore, our country is in the high risk stage of individual housing mortgage loan default at present, and the financing channel of real estate development enterprise is narrow. Some problems such as excessive rise in house prices, short deposits and long loans in banks, imperfect legal security system, and difficulties in disposing of pledge make the risks of personal housing mortgage loans in our country gradually appear. These risks will affect the bank's capital security first and even disrupt the whole national economy's safe operation system. Based on this, this paper attempts to analyze the risk of lenders and developers who have triangular relationship with banks in personal housing mortgage loans, and find out the problems, and put forward some risk prevention measures for the banking industry. Compared with the developed countries, the research on the risk control of personal housing loan in China is relatively slow, the theoretical basis is relatively weak, and most of them are concentrated from the perspective of the bank, according to the internal operation process. The scope of the analysis is narrow, and the practical operational risk evaluation model is less. This paper increases the risk analysis of real estate developers, broadens the level of analysis, and makes the risk analysis of individual housing mortgage loans more comprehensive. On the basis of this, the paper establishes the risk evaluation model of bank evaluation of developers and borrowers in the stage of pre-loan investigation, and puts forward the risk prevention measures, which will broaden the thinking for the study of individual housing mortgage loan risk of commercial banks in China. To promote the development of risk prevention and control theory. At present, the single focus on the risk of borrowers who have a direct credit relationship with banks can no longer fully control the risk of individual housing mortgage loans. The risk of real estate developers who have cooperative relationship with banks and lenders with trading relationship has gradually appeared, which should also attract the attention of banks. Through this research, will carry on the analysis to the borrower and the developer two aspects risk, attempts to establish a set of perfect individual housing mortgage loan risk appraisal system, thus more comprehensively controls the loan risk, To reduce the non-performing loan rate of personal housing mortgage loan, to ensure the security of bank credit funds, and to provide some useful reference for the risk evaluation and control system of individual housing mortgage loan.
【學位授予單位】:西華大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F832.4

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