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主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)的防范機(jī)制研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-19 07:44

  本文選題:主權(quán)債務(wù) + 主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī); 參考:《吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文


【摘要】:自20世紀(jì)70年代以來,國際債務(wù)危機(jī)頻頻發(fā)生,陷入危機(jī)的國家無不遭受重大損失。2007年由次貸危機(jī)引發(fā)的經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退仍摧殘著全球經(jīng)濟(jì),冰島宣布破產(chǎn),迪拜、希臘等發(fā)達(dá)國家相繼遭遇主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī),同時(shí),歐盟各成員國中的一些新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體國家也隨之暴露出債務(wù)困難的局面。爆發(fā)危機(jī)的各國中有些看似是受他國波及,其引發(fā)實(shí)質(zhì)都是自身存有的主權(quán)債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),因此不能將危機(jī)看作國家經(jīng)濟(jì)的臨時(shí)困難。主權(quán)債務(wù)是以國家的信用作為擔(dān)保對外舉債。2011年,由于美國聯(lián)邦政府的債務(wù)規(guī)模已經(jīng)達(dá)到國會(huì)授權(quán)的法定債務(wù)上限,美國國會(huì)不得不同意將法定債務(wù)上限提高。同年8月5日標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾將美國的主權(quán)債務(wù)評級(jí)由AAA下調(diào)為AA+,,此舉立刻引起了全球資本市場劇烈動(dòng)蕩。國際債務(wù)危機(jī)的負(fù)面效應(yīng)還包括可能引發(fā)市場重新評估新興市場國家的主權(quán)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),作為全球最大的發(fā)展中國家,現(xiàn)今的中國外債規(guī)模不斷攀升,近年來短期外債余額尤為突出,應(yīng)對當(dāng)前的不利環(huán)境,防范債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)成為我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的必要考慮因素。 在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球一體化發(fā)展的今天,各國之間的貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì)往來不斷深化,在經(jīng)濟(jì)開放條件下國際主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體接連爆發(fā)的主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)不容忽視,研究危機(jī)爆發(fā)的原因及影響,分析各國經(jīng)驗(yàn)對于制定適合本國的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略政策并達(dá)成經(jīng)濟(jì)外均衡發(fā)展有著重要的意義。中國作為新興市場國家,應(yīng)從各國實(shí)例中吸取經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn),以健全本國的經(jīng)濟(jì)金融體制,并合理建立的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范機(jī)制。本文在借鑒他國主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)經(jīng)驗(yàn)的基礎(chǔ)上,從中國舉借外債的現(xiàn)狀出發(fā),對當(dāng)前外債水平以及外債格局的原因進(jìn)行分析,提出中國防范主權(quán)債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的相關(guān)對策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the 1970s, international debt crises have occurred frequently, and countries in crisis have suffered significant losses. The recession triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 still ravaged the global economy, with Iceland declaring bankruptcy and Dubai, Developed countries, such as Greece, have been hit by sovereign debt crises, while some emerging economies in the European Union have also exposed debt woes. Some of the countries in crisis seem to be affected by other countries, which are essentially caused by their own sovereign debt risk, so the crisis can not be regarded as a temporary national economic difficulties. Sovereign debt is backed by state credit. In 2011, Congress had to agree to raise the legal debt ceiling because the federal government's debt had already reached the legal debt ceiling authorized by Congress. Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating to AA from AAA on August 5 of the same year, prompting immediate turmoil in global capital markets. The negative effects of the international debt crisis also include the possibility that the market may reassess the sovereign risk of emerging market countries. As the largest developing country in the world, China's foreign debt has been increasing, especially in recent years. To deal with the current unfavorable environment, to guard against debt risk has become a necessary factor in the economic development of our country. Today, with the development of global economic integration, the trade and economic exchanges between countries are deepening. Under the condition of economic opening, the sovereign debt crises of major international economies can not be ignored. The causes and effects of the crisis are studied. It is of great significance to analyze the experiences of other countries in formulating the economic development strategy and achieving the balanced development outside the economy. As an emerging market country, China should draw lessons from the examples of other countries in order to perfect its own economic and financial system and establish a reasonable risk prevention mechanism. Based on the experience of other countries' sovereign debt crisis and the current situation of China's foreign debt borrowing, this paper analyzes the current level of foreign debt and the causes of its foreign debt pattern, and puts forward some relevant countermeasures and suggestions for China to prevent the risk of sovereign debt.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號(hào)】:F831.59

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