本文選題：國際資本流動(dòng) + 金融危機(jī)�。� 參考：《山東大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來,國際資本在國際金融市場上大規(guī)模地,以驚人的速度高速增長,其與金融危機(jī)之間的關(guān)系也日益密切。80年代以來爆發(fā)的多次金融危機(jī)都與國際資本流動(dòng)有著密切的聯(lián)系,國際資本流動(dòng)逐漸成為促使金融危機(jī)發(fā)生的重要的外部推動(dòng)因素。隨著我國金融經(jīng)濟(jì)開放度的不斷提高,國內(nèi)資本流動(dòng)量也在不斷增大,流入我國的國際資本在產(chǎn)生積極作用的同時(shí),也帶來很多潛在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),基于以上的研究背景,本文提出了在國際資本流動(dòng)背景下我國金融安全問題研究。 本文結(jié)合經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、金融學(xué)、計(jì)量學(xué)方面的相關(guān)理論模型,借鑒他人的研究成果,收集整理大量數(shù)據(jù),結(jié)合本國實(shí)際,對我國資本流動(dòng)、金融安全問題進(jìn)行研究。本文研究的重點(diǎn)就是在認(rèn)識(shí)國際資本流動(dòng)與金融危機(jī)之間聯(lián)動(dòng)機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)上,對我國國內(nèi)目前的國際資本流動(dòng)情況進(jìn)行分析,進(jìn)而對我國的金融安全度進(jìn)行測量,對我國的金融安全狀況給出定性定量的判斷,最后提出維持我國金融穩(wěn)定的對策措施。本文研究結(jié)構(gòu)如下： 第一部分：提出本文的研究意義與研究背景,在相關(guān)理論模型的基礎(chǔ)上,分析國際資本流動(dòng)與金融危機(jī)之間的聯(lián)動(dòng)機(jī)制。分析了拉美債務(wù)危機(jī)與東南亞金融危機(jī)和國際資本流動(dòng)之間的關(guān)系,對外負(fù)債規(guī)模過大、證券股票市場投資、國際投機(jī)因素等都是引致金融危機(jī)發(fā)生的重要因素。 第二部分：本部分主要闡述了流入我國的國際資本狀況,具體對資本凈流入狀況、資本流入結(jié)構(gòu)與國內(nèi)熱錢規(guī)模進(jìn)行描述和分析,利用相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),對我國國內(nèi)國際資本流動(dòng)狀況進(jìn)行分析。 第三部分：本部分主要分析測算了國內(nèi)的金融安全度,通過構(gòu)建國際資本流動(dòng)預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系,對我國金融安全狀況給出一個(gè)總體上的判斷,然后根據(jù)二元選擇Probit模型計(jì)算我國金融危機(jī)發(fā)生的概率,對我國金融安全狀況得出定量的測算。 第四部分：本部分主要根據(jù)前文的分析結(jié)果,提出在國際資本流動(dòng)背景下保持我國金融穩(wěn)定的對策。
[Abstract]:In recent years, international capital has grown at an alarming rate on a large scale in the international financial market. The relationship between financial crisis and financial crisis is also increasingly close. Since 1980s, many financial crises have been closely related to international capital flow. International capital flow has gradually become an important external driving factor to promote the financial crisis. With the continuous improvement of financial and economic openness in China, the domestic capital flow is also increasing. The international capital flowing into our country not only has a positive effect, but also brings a lot of potential risks, based on the above research background. This paper puts forward the research of financial security in China under the background of international capital flow. This paper combines the relevant theoretical models of economics, finance and metrology, draws lessons from the research results of others, collects and collates a large number of data, and combines with the reality of our country. Capital flow and financial security in China are studied. On the basis of understanding the linkage mechanism between international capital flow and financial crisis, this paper analyzes the current situation of international capital flow in China, and then measures the degree of financial security in China. This paper gives a qualitative and quantitative judgment on the financial security of our country, and finally puts forward some countermeasures to maintain the financial stability of our country. The research structure of this paper is as follows: in the first part, the significance and background of this paper are put forward, and the linkage mechanism between international capital flow and financial crisis is analyzed on the basis of relevant theoretical models. This paper analyzes the relationship between the Latin American debt crisis, the Southeast Asian financial crisis and international capital flows. The international speculative factors are the important factors leading to the financial crisis. Part two: this part mainly expounds the international capital situation into our country, specifically the net capital inflow situation. The structure of capital inflow and the scale of domestic hot money are described and analyzed, and the situation of domestic and international capital flows is analyzed by using relevant data. By constructing the early warning index system of international capital flow, this paper gives a general judgment on the financial security situation of our country, and then calculates the probability of the financial crisis according to the binary choice probit model. The fourth part: according to the above analysis results, this part puts forward the countermeasures to maintain the financial stability of our country under the background of international capital flow.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前8條

1 余文健;拉美債務(wù)危機(jī):成因與對策[J];求是學(xué)刊;1992年02期

2 王勇;朱玉鑫;;國際資本流動(dòng)對我國金融市場的影響[J];企業(yè)導(dǎo)報(bào);2011年06期

3 趙智;;中國國際資本流入的金融安全分析[J];社會(huì)科學(xué)家;2006年03期

4 米軍;郭連成;;國際資本流動(dòng)與轉(zhuǎn)軌國家金融安全的相關(guān)性——以俄羅斯為案例[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治;2009年11期

5 鄧小巧;關(guān)于國際資本流動(dòng)監(jiān)管與金融安全問題的思考[J];廣東商學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2002年S1期

6 譚晶,劉長國;國際資本流動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與中國的應(yīng)對措施[J];稅務(wù)與經(jīng)濟(jì)(長春稅務(wù)學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào));2000年02期

7 郝俊香;;中國資本流動(dòng)的金融安全度測算:1995—2004[J];西安財(cái)經(jīng)學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2006年04期

8 焦成煥;;熱錢涌入的金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2009年14期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 鄭基超;國際資本流動(dòng)對中國金融穩(wěn)定影響的研究[D];安徽大學(xué);2010年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前3條

1 劉靜;國際資本流動(dòng)背景下的中國金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析[D];廈門大學(xué);2007年

2 何川;國際資本流動(dòng)對我國金融安全威脅及對策研究[D];中共中央黨校;2009年

3 楊麗;國際資本流動(dòng)的監(jiān)管體系調(diào)整與我國對策研究[D];山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);2010年

，

本文編號(hào)：2003819