本文選題：黃金屬性 + 黃金價格��； 參考：《北京交通大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：摘要：黃金以其獨特的物理和化學(xué)屬性在經(jīng)濟社會中延伸出三大經(jīng)濟屬性,即貨幣、投資和商品屬性�；谶@三種屬性,關(guān)于黃金的經(jīng)濟活動今天已經(jīng)發(fā)展成為一個不容小覷的產(chǎn)業(yè),在國民經(jīng)濟運行和發(fā)展中發(fā)揮越來越大的作用。我國黃金市場自從2002年市場化改革以來,發(fā)展顯著。目前,我國已成為全球黃金最大生產(chǎn)國和第二大消費國。2011年,黃金交易年累計成交總量為722.18萬手,同比增112.59%；累計成交總額為2.55萬億元,同比增178.68%。然而,我國黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)存在產(chǎn)業(yè)政策處于體系的建立與發(fā)展階段,低水平重復(fù)建設(shè)現(xiàn)象嚴重、產(chǎn)業(yè)集中度低,生產(chǎn)方式粗放、增長方式轉(zhuǎn)變緩慢,利用外資、對外開放管理需完善等方面的問題。 黃金曾在貨幣體系中占據(jù)核心地位。在脫離了貨幣本位后,黃金仍一定程度上保留著交換和流通的貨幣屬性,但更增添了投資屬性,具備儲備價值并能帶來良好的收益。相對于黃金的貨幣屬性和投資屬性而言,黃金還具有商品屬性,即以其自然屬性為依托作為一種特殊礦產(chǎn)材料能滿足生產(chǎn)和生活需要的基本屬性。目前對于黃金的研究多集中于其某一個屬性或者三個屬性的綜合,或者通過研究國內(nèi)外交易投資體系,對國內(nèi)黃金市場體系的建設(shè)、紙黃金的交易投資體系提出建議等,很少將黃金視為一個產(chǎn)業(yè)并加以研究。本文基于對黃金三大屬性的分析,并對我國黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)的現(xiàn)狀及存在的問題進行剖析,運用供給-需求理論、EVIEWS6.0軟件和SWOT分析方法,系統(tǒng)研究我國黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)的供需及價格,嘗試性地探討和預(yù)測未來黃金供需格局、價格走向、黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展趨勢,提出了我國黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)需要提高產(chǎn)業(yè)集中度,擴大開放,促進黃金市場走向成熟的政策建議。得出了如下結(jié)論：一是中國黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)在國民經(jīng)濟中仍將發(fā)揮重要作用,特別建議國家增加黃金儲備,進一步增強外匯儲備的多樣性和投資收益,維護國家的經(jīng)濟安全；二是中國黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)在未來仍將有長足發(fā),黃金礦業(yè)要繼續(xù)做大做強。這些結(jié)論將有助于規(guī)劃我國的黃金產(chǎn)業(yè),實現(xiàn)未來可持續(xù)發(fā)展。 本文的不足之處是黃金產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)的搜集和整理較為困難,定量分析時篩選指標的難度較大,需要以后做進一步探討與研究。
[Abstract]:Abstract: gold, with its unique physical and chemical properties, extends to three economic attributes in economic society, namely currency, investment and commodity. Based on these three attributes, the economic activities of gold have developed into an industry that can not be underestimated today, which plays a more and more important role in the operation and development of national economy. China's gold market has developed significantly since the 2002 market reform. At present, China has become the world's largest producer and second largest consumer of gold. In 2011, the total number of gold transactions in the year was 7.2218 million hands, an increase of 112.59 yuan, and the cumulative transaction volume was 2.55 trillion yuan, an increase of 178.68 yuan compared with the same period last year. However, the industrial policy of gold industry in our country is in the stage of system establishment and development, the phenomenon of low level repeated construction is serious, the industrial concentration is low, the mode of production is extensive, the mode of growth is changing slowly, and foreign capital is utilized. Gold once occupied the core position in the monetary system. After leaving the monetary standard, gold still retains the currency attribute of exchange and circulation to some extent, but it also increases the investment attribute, has the reserve value and can bring good income. Compared with the monetary attribute and investment attribute of gold, gold also has commodity attribute, that is, relying on its natural attribute as a special mineral material, it can meet the needs of production and life. At present, most of the studies on gold focus on the synthesis of one or three of its attributes, or by studying the domestic and foreign trading and investment systems, the construction of the domestic gold market system and the paper gold trading and investment system, and so on. Gold is rarely considered and studied as an industry. Based on the analysis of the three attributes of gold, the present situation and existing problems of China's gold industry are analyzed, and the supply-demand theory of EVIEWS6.0 and SWOT analysis method are used to systematically study the supply and demand and price of China's gold industry. This paper tries to probe into and predict the pattern of supply and demand of gold in the future, the trend of price and the development trend of gold industry, and puts forward some policy suggestions on how to improve the concentration of gold industry, expand the opening up and promote the development of gold market in China. The conclusions are as follows: first, China's gold industry will continue to play an important role in the national economy, especially suggest that the country increase gold reserves, further enhance the diversity of foreign exchange reserves and investment returns, and maintain national economic security; Second, China's gold industry in the future will still have a substantial development, the gold mining industry to continue to grow stronger. These conclusions will help to plan the gold industry in our country and realize the sustainable development in the future. The deficiency of this paper is that it is difficult to collect and organize the gold industry data, and it is difficult to screen the indexes in quantitative analysis. Need to do further exploration and research later.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F426.32;F832.54

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