本文選題：金融自由化 + 金融風(fēng)險��； 參考：《河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和金融自由化的不斷擴(kuò)大,使得世界經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系的越來越緊密,金融風(fēng)險的危害性、易發(fā)性和聯(lián)動性慢慢凸顯出來。2008年的金融危機(jī)給世界經(jīng)濟(jì)造成了嚴(yán)重負(fù)面影響,對我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展也產(chǎn)生了一定的阻礙,作為全球金融體系中的一員,隨著金融自由程度的加深,各國的經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系的會更加緊密,同時更需要防范來自國際和國內(nèi)的更大、更復(fù)雜的金融風(fēng)險。全面系統(tǒng)地研究與了解金融自由化進(jìn)程中所產(chǎn)生的金融風(fēng)險成因、性質(zhì)、類型及特點(diǎn),采取對策來控制和防范金融風(fēng)險已成為歷史的必然。因此,如何防范在金融自由化進(jìn)程中出現(xiàn)的金融風(fēng)險,建立合理的金融風(fēng)險預(yù)警系統(tǒng)就顯得尤為重要。 本文以金融自由化理論和金融風(fēng)險理論為切入點(diǎn),首先敘述了國內(nèi)外學(xué)者在金融自由化和金融風(fēng)險預(yù)警領(lǐng)域內(nèi)的研究成果,在充分的了解該領(lǐng)域的情況下,分析了我國在金融自由化進(jìn)程中產(chǎn)生金融風(fēng)險的根源,結(jié)合金融自由化的特點(diǎn)和金融風(fēng)險的特性,以金融自由化四個方面的內(nèi)容為基礎(chǔ),把金融系統(tǒng)分為宏觀、微觀和對外三個經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng),研究了在金融自由化進(jìn)程中,三個經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)的風(fēng)險變化。在實(shí)證方面,用因子分析法選取了能代表我國金融自由化發(fā)展的指標(biāo),構(gòu)建了金融風(fēng)險預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系,通過KLR信號法對選取的預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系的現(xiàn)實(shí)性與合理性進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn),結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)關(guān)于我國金融自由化進(jìn)程中的金融風(fēng)險預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系比較好的展現(xiàn)了近幾年來金融風(fēng)險的變化趨勢,我國的金融體系可以較好的地域國際金融風(fēng)險,但是對于國內(nèi)金融存在的金融風(fēng)險不能小視,因此,在金融自由化的進(jìn)程中,對外要是適度的金融自由化,對國內(nèi)的金融機(jī)構(gòu)在金融開放的同時,還要加大監(jiān)管力度。建立一個相對完善的金融風(fēng)險預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系,可以有效的加強(qiáng)我國對金融風(fēng)險的管理,抵御國際金融資本的的沖擊,這對于早期防范和化解我國金融自由化進(jìn)程中出現(xiàn)的金融風(fēng)險,促進(jìn)我國金融健康和穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展,有現(xiàn)實(shí)的指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:With the continuous expansion of economic globalization and financial liberalization, the world economy is becoming more and more closely linked, and the harmfulness, vulnerability and linkage of financial risks are becoming increasingly prominent. The financial crisis of 2008 has had a serious negative impact on the world economy. As a member of the global financial system, with the deepening of the degree of financial freedom, the economic ties of various countries will become closer, and at the same time, there is a greater need to guard against greater international and domestic sources. More complex financial risks. It has become a historical necessity to study and understand the causes, nature, types and characteristics of financial risks in the process of financial liberalization, and to take countermeasures to control and prevent financial risks. Therefore, how to prevent the financial risks in the process of financial liberalization and establish a reasonable financial risk warning system is particularly important. Based on the theory of financial liberalization and the theory of financial risk, this paper first describes the research results of domestic and foreign scholars in the field of financial liberalization and financial risk early warning. This paper analyzes the causes of financial risks in the process of financial liberalization in China, combines the characteristics of financial liberalization and the characteristics of financial risks, based on the four aspects of financial liberalization, divides the financial system into macro. This paper studies the risk changes of the three economic systems in the process of financial liberalization. In the empirical aspect, factor analysis method is used to select the indicators that can represent the development of financial liberalization in China, and a financial risk early warning index system is constructed. The feasibility and rationality of the selected early warning index system are tested by KLR signal method. The results show that the early warning index system of financial risk in the process of financial liberalization in China shows the changing trend of financial risk in recent years, and that the financial system of our country can better regional international financial risk. However, the financial risks of domestic finance should not be underestimated. Therefore, in the process of financial liberalization, if the foreign financial liberalization is moderate, the financial institutions in China should be more regulated while the financial institutions are open to the outside world. The establishment of a relatively perfect financial risk warning index system can effectively strengthen the management of financial risks in China and resist the impact of international financial capital. It is of practical significance to prevent and resolve the financial risks in the process of financial liberalization and to promote the healthy and stable development of Chinese finance.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F224;F832

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