本文選題：日元匯率　切入點(diǎn)：實(shí)際有效匯率　出處：《華東師范大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：在國際觀察與比較中,我們發(fā)現(xiàn),當(dāng)前中國遇到的很多貿(mào)易、匯率方面的壓力與指責(zé),與20世紀(jì)七八十年代日本所遭遇的問題極其相似。本文旨在通過一系列文獻(xiàn)的比較與提煉,回答以下問題：日元大幅的升值為什么沒有拖垮日本貿(mào)易?日本貿(mào)易的結(jié)構(gòu)變化究竟給經(jīng)濟(jì)帶來了什么樣的影響? 本文從日本匯率政策、日元實(shí)際有效匯率的動態(tài)、實(shí)際有效匯率對貿(mào)易總體、不同種類貿(mào)易類別的影響以及匯率對日元的傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)等方面,都進(jìn)行了較為全面的梳理,尤其是獨(dú)創(chuàng)性的引入日本的貿(mào)易分類,通過VAR檢驗(yàn),對日元實(shí)際有效匯率對于貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的影響進(jìn)行了初探,繼而從貿(mào)易類別的比較入手,闡釋了日元升值為何未對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生摧毀性的影響。最后得到結(jié)論,日元升值之所以沒有對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生毀滅性的打擊,因?yàn)閷?shí)際有效匯率的變動不足以對整個貿(mào)易產(chǎn)生過大的沖擊(彈性較小),由于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的升級,日本經(jīng)濟(jì)盡管受到一定負(fù)面影響,還是能保持較為堅(jiān)挺的走勢。 本文通過一系列對日元實(shí)際有效匯率對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易穩(wěn)定的理論與實(shí)證分析,對人民幣升值問題起到了一定借鑒。
[Abstract]:In international observation and comparison, we have found that there are a lot of trade and exchange rate pressures and accusations that China is currently facing. Similar to the problems encountered by Japan in the 1970s and 1980s, this paper aims to answer the following questions by comparing and refining a series of documents: why did the sharp appreciation of the yen not slow down Japan's trade? What kind of impact has the structural change of Japan's trade brought to the economy? This paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the Japanese exchange rate policy, the dynamics of the actual effective exchange rate of the yen, the effect of the real effective exchange rate on the overall trade, the influence of different types of trade types, and the transmission effect of the exchange rate on the yen, etc. In particular, the original introduction of Japan's trade classification, through the VAR test, the actual effective exchange rate of the yen on the impact of trade structure was explored, and then from the comparison of trade categories, Explained why the appreciation of the yen did not have a devastating impact on the Japanese economy. Finally, it was concluded that the appreciation of the yen did not have a devastating impact on the Japanese economy. Because the changes in the real effective exchange rate are not sufficient to have an excessive impact on the overall trade (relatively small elasticity), because of the adjustment of the industrial structure and the upgrading of the trade structure, the Japanese economy has been adversely affected to a certain extent. Still can maintain more firm trend. Through a series of theoretical and empirical analysis on the real effective exchange rate of yen to the stability of Japanese economy and trade, this paper provides some references to the appreciation of RMB.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華東師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F823.13;F131.3;F753.13

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