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河北農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展與農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)相關(guān)性實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-21 05:04

  本文選題:河北 切入點(diǎn):農(nóng)村金融 出處:《中南林業(yè)科技大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)離不開農(nóng)村金融的支持。一個(gè)良好的能夠適合農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的農(nóng)村金融體系,將對(duì)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展起非常重要的作用;農(nóng)村金融如果發(fā)展不足,則將阻礙農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的健康發(fā)展。就當(dāng)前形式來(lái)看,我國(guó)大部分農(nóng)村地區(qū)金融體系發(fā)展都不完善,嚴(yán)重阻礙了農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。隨著我國(guó)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)改革的進(jìn)一步深化,農(nóng)村金融服務(wù)的這種供求矛盾關(guān)系也將更加突顯出來(lái)。因此,只有逐步消除阻礙農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展的各種因素,農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)才能得到更好更快的發(fā)展。 本文以農(nóng)業(yè)大省河北作為研究背景,以河北農(nóng)村金融如何影響農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展為主要研究?jī)?nèi)容。本文的出發(fā)點(diǎn)是河北農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展和農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)狀,通過(guò)建立河北省農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展指標(biāo)體系和農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)指標(biāo),經(jīng)過(guò)單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、向量誤差修正模型、Granger因果檢驗(yàn)分析,得出河北省的農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展與農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在著長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系,河北農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展變量不是農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)變量的Granger原因,但河北農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)變量是農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展變量的Granger原因。這說(shuō)明,河北省農(nóng)村金融的發(fā)展并沒有起到促進(jìn)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用;相反,河北農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)農(nóng)村金融起到了一定的促進(jìn)作用,由此可以看出,河北省農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展并沒有發(fā)揮出“供給主導(dǎo)”的作用,而是處于“需求遵從”的地位,這體現(xiàn)了河北省農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展在一定程度上滯后于農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)。 本文分析了只有健全河北農(nóng)村金融服務(wù)體系,優(yōu)化河北農(nóng)村地區(qū)金融機(jī)構(gòu),提高河北農(nóng)村金融服務(wù)效率,培育良好的農(nóng)村金融環(huán)境,才能使農(nóng)村金融改革更好地發(fā)揮其促進(jìn)河北省農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用。
[Abstract]:The growth of rural economy can not be separated from the support of rural finance. A good rural financial system that is suitable for the development of rural economy will play a very important role in the development of rural economy. It will hinder the healthy development of the rural economy. In terms of the current situation, the financial system in most rural areas of our country is not perfect, which seriously hinders the development of the rural economy. With the further deepening of the rural economic reform in our country, The contradiction between supply and demand of rural financial services will be more prominent. Therefore, only by gradually eliminating the various factors hindering the development of rural finance, can rural economy get better and faster development. This paper takes Hebei Province as the research background and how the rural finance affects the development of the rural economy. The starting point of this paper is the present situation of the rural financial development and the rural economic growth in Hebei. Through the establishment of Hebei Province rural financial development index system and rural economic growth index, through unit root test, cointegration test, vector error correction model Granger causality test analysis, It is concluded that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between rural financial development and rural economic growth in Hebei Province, and that the variables of rural financial development in Hebei Province are not the Granger reasons of rural economic growth variables. However, the rural economic growth variable in Hebei is the Granger cause of the rural financial development variable. This shows that the development of rural finance in Hebei Province has not played a role in promoting rural economic growth; on the contrary, Hebei's rural economic growth has played a certain role in promoting rural finance. From this, it can be seen that the development of rural finance in Hebei Province does not play a "supply-oriented" role, but is in the position of "compliance with demand". This reflects the development of rural finance in Hebei Province lags behind the growth of rural economy to a certain extent. This paper analyzes that only by perfecting the rural financial service system of Hebei, optimizing the financial institutions in rural areas of Hebei, improving the efficiency of rural financial services in Hebei, cultivating a good rural financial environment, In order to make the rural financial reform play a better role in promoting the rural economic growth in Hebei Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中南林業(yè)科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號(hào)】:F832.35;F327;F224

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 姜珂;段霄;;安徽省農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展對(duì)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)度分析[J];企業(yè)導(dǎo)報(bào);2013年15期

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本文編號(hào):1642373

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