我國近年通貨膨脹成因分析及治理對策
本文選題:通貨膨脹 切入點(diǎn):貨幣流通量 出處:《吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:與居民生活、消費(fèi)息息相關(guān),直接反應(yīng)通貨膨脹程度的居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)(CPI)幾乎成了2007年以來我國最受關(guān)注的數(shù)字。特別是2008年以來,世界各國政府和中央銀行為應(yīng)對全球經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)帶來的影響和問題,都采取了各種各樣的經(jīng)濟(jì)刺激政策,在一定程度上阻止了經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢的惡化,加快了全球經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇的腳步,但同時也導(dǎo)致了各國通貨膨脹風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的加大。中國作為世界舞臺上的一枝獨(dú)秀,亞洲最活躍的經(jīng)濟(jì)體之一,也難獨(dú)善其身。在國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)勁復(fù)蘇的同時也受到了通貨膨脹問題的困擾。2010年以來,,受國內(nèi)外多重因素影響,我國以農(nóng)產(chǎn)品為主的生活必需品價(jià)格上漲較快,消費(fèi)者價(jià)格指數(shù)逐月攀升,通貨膨脹預(yù)期增強(qiáng),通脹壓力加大,百姓生活受到嚴(yán)重影響。因此,如何正確認(rèn)識并有效預(yù)防和治理通貨膨脹,對于推動中國經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)、健康、平穩(wěn)、較快發(fā)展,具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文正是基于這一背景試展開較為深入的研究。全文以馬克思經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)為指導(dǎo),運(yùn)用歸納法和定量分析與定性分析相結(jié)合等研究方法,以中國當(dāng)前發(fā)生的通貨膨脹為研究對象,對我國通貨膨脹產(chǎn)生的原因進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)分析,并提出了相應(yīng)的治理對策。首先,梳理了通貨膨脹相關(guān)理論。馬克思從科學(xué)的勞動價(jià)值理論出發(fā),考察并揭示了貨幣數(shù)量、生產(chǎn)價(jià)格、市場需求與市場價(jià)格水平的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系,系統(tǒng)且全面的闡述了現(xiàn)代通貨膨脹的基本思想。作為凱恩斯學(xué)派和貨幣學(xué)派領(lǐng)袖的凱恩斯與弗里德曼所提出的通貨膨脹理論及治理對策至今仍為各國所用,對我國通脹研究也具有借鑒意義。其次,回顧我國通脹歷史、研究通脹現(xiàn)狀及產(chǎn)生原因。當(dāng)前通貨膨脹成因復(fù)雜,有國際輸入性因素也有國內(nèi)因素;谖鞣浇(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們的通貨膨脹理論可從貨幣因素、供需因素、結(jié)構(gòu)因素等方面探討通貨膨脹成因。最后,基于馬克思的通貨膨脹理論,要抑制通貨膨脹,必須遵循貨幣流通規(guī)律,歸根結(jié)底要發(fā)展生產(chǎn)。本文從中國實(shí)際出發(fā),針對我國目前通貨膨脹的成因提出了相應(yīng)的治理對策,如控制貨幣流通量、建立穩(wěn)定物價(jià)的長效機(jī)制、優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需、財(cái)政政策與貨幣政策相結(jié)合等等。穩(wěn)定好當(dāng)前通脹形勢,為預(yù)防下一輪通脹做好充分準(zhǔn)備。
[Abstract]:The consumer price index (CPI), which directly reflects the degree of inflation, has become the most concerned figure in China since 2007, especially since 2008. Governments and central banks around the world have adopted various kinds of economic stimulus policies to cope with the impact and problems brought about by the global economic crisis, which to a certain extent has prevented the deterioration of the economic situation and accelerated the pace of global economic recovery. But it has also led to an increase in the risk of inflation across the world. China is one of Asia's most dynamic economies, the dominant economy on the world stage. It is hard to get away from it. While the domestic economy is recovering strongly, it is also plagued by inflation. Since 2010, under the influence of many factors at home and abroad, the prices of the necessities of life, mainly agricultural products, have risen more rapidly in our country. The consumer price index rises month by month, inflation expectations increase, inflationary pressure increases, and people's lives are seriously affected. Therefore, how to correctly understand and effectively prevent and control inflation will contribute to the sustained and healthy Chinese economy. Stable, rapid development, has important practical significance. This paper is based on this background to carry out a more in-depth study. Guided by Marxist economics, this paper uses the methods of induction, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to study the current inflation in China. This paper makes a systematic analysis of the causes of inflation in China, and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures. Firstly, it combs the relevant theories of inflation. Marx, proceeding from the scientific theory of labor value, examines and reveals the quantity of money. The internal relationship between production price, market demand and market price level, As the leader of Keynesian school and monetary school, Keynes and Friedman put forward the inflation theory and its countermeasures, which are still used by all countries. Second, review the history of inflation in China, study the current situation of inflation and its causes. There are both international and domestic factors. Based on the inflation theory of Western economists, we can discuss the causes of inflation from the aspects of monetary factors, supply and demand factors, structural factors, etc. Finally, based on Marx's inflation theory, In order to control inflation, we must follow the law of currency circulation and, in the final analysis, develop production. This paper, proceeding from the reality of China, puts forward corresponding countermeasures against the causes of inflation in our country at present, such as controlling the circulation of money. We should establish a long-term mechanism to stabilize prices, optimize economic structure, expand domestic demand, combine fiscal policy with monetary policy, and so on, so as to stabilize the current inflation situation and make adequate preparations for preventing the next round of inflation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F822.5
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