我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及預(yù)警機(jī)制研究
本文選題:對外直接投資 切入點(diǎn):投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 出處:《山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:近年來,受我國“走出去”戰(zhàn)略的影響和國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)快速發(fā)展的推動(dòng),我國企業(yè)加快了對外直接投資的步伐,對外直接投資規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大,為企業(yè)帶來了一定的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益。但是海外投資環(huán)境比較復(fù)雜,存在諸多風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素,如政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和市場風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等,在進(jìn)行海外投資經(jīng)營過程中,企業(yè)內(nèi)部也存在許多風(fēng)險(xiǎn),如經(jīng)營風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、管理風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和技術(shù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等,這就要求企業(yè)具有良好的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)意識和較強(qiáng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理能力。 本文正文共分為六章,從整體框架上來看,可以分為四個(gè)部分。第一部分首先通過闡述我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)問題的研究背景以及關(guān)于此問題的研究現(xiàn)狀,并對論文的框架作簡單描述,以明確各章之間的關(guān)系。 第二部分對企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的一般含義和特征作簡要分析,并闡述我國企業(yè)對外直接投資現(xiàn)狀、模式及存在的問題,,并以此為基礎(chǔ),對我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行大致分類。結(jié)合我國企業(yè)對外直接投資的現(xiàn)狀和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分類情況,結(jié)合2010年吉利收購沃爾沃轎車這一典型案例,對我國對外直接投資的主要風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行分類辨識。根據(jù)上文對我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的辨識和分類,詳細(xì)分析各類風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的成因。 第三部分初步建立我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)辨識和動(dòng)態(tài)預(yù)警機(jī)制,構(gòu)建企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警組織機(jī)構(gòu)和運(yùn)行機(jī)制,并運(yùn)用模糊數(shù)學(xué)方法對風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素影響程度加以分析并進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。 第四部分在對我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分類辨識,分析其形成原因,并建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)上,針對不同類型的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)提出相應(yīng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避措施。 本文在借鑒國際經(jīng)驗(yàn)的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合我國企業(yè)對外直接投資現(xiàn)狀和存在的問題,提出適合我國企業(yè)對外直接投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理對策,但由于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警模型具有一定的限制條件,因而在實(shí)際應(yīng)用中要因地制宜。
[Abstract]:In recent years, driven by China's "going out" strategy and the domestic economy steady and rapid development, China's enterprises to accelerate the pace of foreign direct investment, foreign direct investment scale is continually expanding, bring certain economic benefits for the enterprise. But overseas investment environment is complex, there are many risk factors, such as political risk and market risk, in the process of overseas investment management, many enterprises have risks, such as business risk, management risk and technical risk, which requires companies with good risk awareness and strong risk management capabilities.
This paper is divided into six chapters, from the whole framework, can be divided into four parts. The first part firstly demonstrates the research background of the risk of foreign direct investment of Chinese enterprises and the status of research on this problem, and the framework of this paper is a brief description to the relationship between the various chapters.
The general meaning and characteristics of the second part of the risk of foreign direct investment are briefly analyzed, and expounds the present situation of Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment mode, and the existing problems, and on this basis, are classified to Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment risk. Combined with the status quo and risk classification of foreign direct investment of Chinese enterprises. This is a typical case in 2010 with Geely's acquisition of Volvo cars, for classification and identification of the main risks of China's foreign direct investment. According to the above classification and identification of Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment risk, detailed analysis of the causes of various risks.
The third part establishes the risk identification and dynamic early warning mechanism of China's foreign direct investment, and constructs enterprise risk early warning organization and operation mechanism. The fuzzy mathematics method is applied to analyze the risk factors and make an empirical research.
The fourth part classifying and identifying the risk of Chinese foreign direct investment, analyzing the causes of its formation, and building a risk early warning mechanism, and putting forward the corresponding risk aversion measures for different types of risks.
In this paper, based on the international experience, combined with China's foreign direct investment enterprise current situation and existing problems, put forward countermeasures for the risk management of Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment risk, but the risk early-warning model has certain limitations, so that in the practical application to local conditions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F279.2;F832.6;F224
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