金融發(fā)展影響出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的理論及實證分析
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 金融發(fā)展 出口產(chǎn)品 技術(shù)復(fù)雜度 技術(shù)溢出 出處:《湖南大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:我國在30年的金融體制改革實踐中,一步步建立了適應(yīng)社會主義市場經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展要求的多元化金融體系,為長期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長奠定了堅實的基礎(chǔ),也驗證了金融發(fā)展理論對國家長期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要意義。與此同時,在出口導(dǎo)向型的貿(mào)易政策引導(dǎo)下,出口貿(mào)易成為我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要引擎,通過參與國家間商品、勞務(wù)和技術(shù)的交換,一方面實現(xiàn)資源在全球的最優(yōu)配置,另一方面為我國參與國際競爭提供契機(jī)。那么,金融發(fā)展與出口貿(mào)易在作用于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的同時,兩者之間是否存在聯(lián)系?金融發(fā)展是否可以促進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化?如果能夠的話,通過什么途徑產(chǎn)生這種作用? 研究表明,金融發(fā)展可以作為比較優(yōu)勢的來源,通過技術(shù)進(jìn)步效應(yīng)對出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)生影響,而金融發(fā)展的技術(shù)進(jìn)步效應(yīng)表現(xiàn)為對FDI技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的發(fā)揮。本文基于衡量出口產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量的出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度指標(biāo),利用國家貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)和收入數(shù)據(jù),實證分析了FDI技術(shù)溢出視角下金融發(fā)展對出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的作用機(jī)制。 首先,對金融發(fā)展影響出口貿(mào)易的機(jī)理進(jìn)行了相關(guān)研究文獻(xiàn)的梳理。接著,利用1996-2010年SITC2分類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)中三位碼產(chǎn)品的出口數(shù)據(jù),測算了239種產(chǎn)品的出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度和216個國家出口產(chǎn)品籃子技術(shù)復(fù)雜度。之后,針對FDI技術(shù)溢出視角下金融發(fā)展提升出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的間接渠道,在理論分析基礎(chǔ)之上,保留了1996年到2010年91個國家的面板數(shù)據(jù),對金融發(fā)展影響出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的作用機(jī)制進(jìn)行了面板數(shù)據(jù)分析。結(jié)果表明股票市場指標(biāo)衡量的金融發(fā)展存在提升出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的顯著正效應(yīng),而銀行市場指標(biāo)衡量的金融發(fā)展提升出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的作用機(jī)制并沒有發(fā)揮效用。最后,基于經(jīng)驗研究結(jié)論,本文提出了提升我國出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)復(fù)雜度和優(yōu)化貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的基本建議。
[Abstract]:In the practice of financial system reform for 30 years, China has established a diversified financial system step by step to meet the requirements of the development of socialist market economy, which has laid a solid foundation for long-term economic growth. At the same time, under the guidance of export-oriented trade policy, export trade has become an important engine of China's economic growth. The exchange of labor services and technology, on the one hand, realizes the optimal allocation of resources in the world, on the other hand, provides an opportunity for our country to participate in international competition. Is there a link between the two? Can financial development promote the optimization of export trade structure? If so, by what means? Research shows that financial development can be used as a source of comparative advantage, and that the structure of export trade can be affected by the effect of technological progress. The technological progress effect of financial development is the exertion of FDI technology spillover effect. Based on the technical complexity index of export product, this paper uses national trade data and income data. This paper empirically analyzes the mechanism of financial development on the technical complexity of export products from the perspective of FDI technology spillover. Firstly, the mechanism of financial development affecting export trade is reviewed. Then, the export data of three-digit code products in SITC2 classification standard from 1996 to 2010 are used. The technical complexity of export products of 239 kinds of products and the technological complexity of export basket of 216 countries are calculated. Then, the indirect channels to enhance the technical complexity of export products under the perspective of FDI technology spillover are discussed. Based on theoretical analysis, panel data for 91 countries from 1996 to 2010 were retained. The panel data analysis of the mechanism that financial development affects the technical complexity of export products is carried out. The results show that the financial development measured by the stock market indicators has a significant positive effect to enhance the technical complexity of export products. However, the mechanism of increasing the technical complexity of export products by the financial development measured by bank market indicators has not played a role. Finally, based on the empirical research conclusion, This paper puts forward some suggestions to improve the technical complexity and optimize the trade structure of China's export products.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F752.62;F832
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