【摘要】：從全國(guó)范圍來(lái)看，貴州是一個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)發(fā)展水平相對(duì)落后的省份，農(nóng)業(yè)問(wèn)題顯得尤為重要。改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，貴州省農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展取得了很大的進(jìn)步，從改革開(kāi)放初期貴州人民吃不飽，到20世紀(jì)末基本上實(shí)現(xiàn)了農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的自給自足，再到現(xiàn)在農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的出口，貴州省農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展取得了長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)的進(jìn)步。物流基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施逐步完善、綜合實(shí)力明顯增強(qiáng)，現(xiàn)代化的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品物流發(fā)展初見(jiàn)成效，農(nóng)業(yè)的快速發(fā)展在貴州省經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展中起到了舉足輕重的作用。 雖然貴州省農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展取得了一定的成效，但仍然存在著農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施薄弱、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品科技含量較低等硬性制約，還不能完全滿足消費(fèi)者對(duì)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品安全、多樣的要求，而且還不能及時(shí)地對(duì)市場(chǎng)的需求做出快速的反應(yīng)。從貴州全省來(lái)看，農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的流通主要集中在傳統(tǒng)的集市與農(nóng)貿(mào)市場(chǎng)，流通效率較低，沒(méi)有形成真正意義上的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈管理；從農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈的角度來(lái)看，農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的生產(chǎn)者和流通者之間還沒(méi)有建立起有效的聯(lián)系，無(wú)法使整個(gè)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈的效率得到充分的發(fā)揮�？梢�(jiàn)，構(gòu)建適合貴州山區(qū)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品發(fā)展的供應(yīng)鏈管理模式已成為貴州農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中亟待解決的一個(gè)重點(diǎn)、難點(diǎn)問(wèn)題。 本文以農(nóng)產(chǎn)品為出發(fā)點(diǎn)，以農(nóng)產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)領(lǐng)域、流通領(lǐng)域的變化為基礎(chǔ)，以博弈理論與供應(yīng)鏈管理理論為指導(dǎo)，對(duì)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈運(yùn)作模式進(jìn)行了分析。本文首先對(duì)供應(yīng)鏈理論進(jìn)行了分析，然后對(duì)博弈論進(jìn)行了闡述，，同時(shí)對(duì)博弈論在供應(yīng)鏈中的運(yùn)用進(jìn)行了可行性分析；繼而在充分調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)貴州省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了闡述，指出了發(fā)展中存在的優(yōu)勢(shì)、劣勢(shì)、機(jī)會(huì)與挑戰(zhàn)，這對(duì)貴州省農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化的發(fā)展具有很重要的作用；最后指出了農(nóng)超對(duì)接模式對(duì)貴州省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈發(fā)展的重要性，并構(gòu)建了基于博弈論的農(nóng)超對(duì)接供應(yīng)鏈運(yùn)作模式，分析了農(nóng)合、超市在合作博弈與非合作博弈下各自利潤(rùn)的變化情況，確定了供應(yīng)鏈整體利潤(rùn)最大化的利益均衡點(diǎn)。為了使理論與實(shí)際相結(jié)合，讓所構(gòu)建的模型更有說(shuō)服力，特在對(duì)貴陽(yáng)農(nóng)超對(duì)接模式調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)所構(gòu)建的模型進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析，從而進(jìn)一步說(shuō)明了所構(gòu)建的基于博弈論的農(nóng)超對(duì)接模式的可行性。
[Abstract]:From a national perspective, Guizhou is a relatively backward province in economic and social development, and agricultural problems are particularly important. Since the reform and opening up, great progress has been made in the development of agriculture in Guizhou. From the beginning of reform and opening up, the people of Guizhou were not enough to eat, to the end of the 20th century, they basically realized the self-sufficiency of agricultural products, and then to the export of agricultural products now. Guizhou has made long-term progress in agricultural development. The logistics infrastructure is gradually improved, the comprehensive strength is obviously enhanced, the modern agricultural product logistics development has achieved initial results, and the rapid development of agriculture has played a pivotal role in the economic and social development of Guizhou Province. Although the development of agriculture in Guizhou Province has achieved certain results, there are still some rigid constraints, such as the weak infrastructure for the circulation of agricultural products and the low scientific and technological content of agricultural products, which can not fully meet the needs of consumers for the safety and variety of agricultural products. And still can't make quick response to the demand of the market in time. From the point of view of Guizhou Province, the circulation of agricultural products is mainly concentrated in the traditional markets and farmers' markets, and the circulation efficiency is relatively low, which does not form the true agricultural product supply chain management; from the point of view of the agricultural product supply chain, There is no effective connection between producers and marketers of agricultural products, which can not make the efficiency of the whole supply chain of agricultural products fully play. It can be seen that the construction of supply chain management model suitable for the development of agricultural products in Guizhou mountainous area has become a key and difficult problem to be solved urgently in the development of agricultural economy in Guizhou. Based on the change of agricultural product production and circulation, and guided by game theory and supply chain management theory, this paper analyzes the operation mode of agricultural product supply chain. In this paper, firstly, the supply chain theory is analyzed, then the game theory is expounded. At the same time, the feasibility of the application of game theory in supply chain is analyzed. Then, on the basis of full investigation, this paper expounds the current situation of agricultural product supply chain development in Guizhou Province, and points out the advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and challenges in the development, which plays an important role in the development of agricultural industrialization in Guizhou Province. Finally, the paper points out the importance of agricultural super docking mode to the development of agricultural product supply chain in Guizhou province, and constructs the operation mode of agricultural super joint supply chain based on game theory, and analyzes agricultural cooperation. The variation of the supermarket profit under the cooperative game and the non-cooperative game determines the profit equilibrium point of the whole profit maximization of the supply chain. In order to combine theory with practice and make the model more persuasive, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the model based on the investigation of the agricultural super docking model in Guiyang. The feasibility of the model based on game theory is further explained.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F327

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