本文選題：系統(tǒng)動力學　切入點：牛鞭效應(yīng)　出處：《物流技術(shù)》2013年21期

【摘要】：鑒于供應(yīng)鏈成員對待缺貨風險的態(tài)度會直接影響其訂貨決策,進而對牛鞭效應(yīng)產(chǎn)生影響。為探討此種影響,利用系統(tǒng)動力學仿真軟件Vensim PLE,在傳統(tǒng)二階段供應(yīng)鏈模型的基礎(chǔ)上,引入缺貨風險規(guī)避參數(shù)建立新的系統(tǒng)動力學模型,對供應(yīng)商和零售商的不同風險態(tài)度組合進行了系統(tǒng)仿真。研究表明:(1)參與者對待缺貨風險的態(tài)度會對牛鞭效應(yīng)產(chǎn)生影響,并且隨著風險規(guī)避參數(shù)的增加,牛鞭效應(yīng)更加嚴重;(2)上游供應(yīng)鏈的缺貨規(guī)避態(tài)度比下游供應(yīng)鏈的缺貨規(guī)避態(tài)度更能強化牛鞭效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:In view of the supply chain members' attitude towards the risk of shortage will directly affect their ordering decision and then the bullwhip effect.In order to explore this effect, a new system dynamics model is established by introducing the risk avoidance parameters of shortage based on the traditional two-stage supply chain model using the system dynamics simulation software Vensim ple.The different risk attitude combinations of suppliers and retailers are simulated systematically.The study shows that the attitude of participants to the risk of shortage has an impact on the bullwhip effect, and as the risk aversion parameter increases,The bullwhip effect is more serious in upstream supply chain than in downstream supply chain.
【作者單位】： 重慶郵電大學信科公司;重慶郵電大學經(jīng)濟管理學院;
【分類號】：F274;F224

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相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條

1 劉秋生;蔣國耀;;基于系統(tǒng)動力學的供應(yīng)鏈中牛鞭效應(yīng)的研究[J];中國管理信息化;2009年06期

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本文編號：1713901