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基于ISM方法的人防工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險關(guān)鍵因素研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-18 16:18

  本文選題:人防工程 + 風(fēng)險因素。 參考:《天津大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:城市的發(fā)展是一個國家現(xiàn)代化文明的標(biāo)志與體現(xiàn)。作為當(dāng)今社會的政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、文化中心的城市,其戰(zhàn)略地位越來越重要。因此,城市成為當(dāng)今戰(zhàn)爭最首先考慮的重點打擊對象。城市的防護(hù)工作與保衛(wèi)措施備受關(guān)注。人防工程建設(shè)對城市防護(hù)來說至關(guān)重要,是城市安全保障措施的重要一環(huán),在城市防護(hù)中具有重要的戰(zhàn)略地位和巨大的防護(hù)作用。人防工程項目建設(shè)是否標(biāo)準(zhǔn)、到位,關(guān)系到整個國家的整體發(fā)展與國家公民的人身與財產(chǎn)安全。 本文首先利用文獻(xiàn)檢索方法,對人防工程項目風(fēng)險管理的理論基礎(chǔ)進(jìn)行論述。隨后,以目前人防工程項目風(fēng)險管理的實際情況為基礎(chǔ),結(jié)合專家咨詢、頭腦風(fēng)暴、問卷調(diào)查等方法,總結(jié)出目前14種我國人防工程項目風(fēng)險因素。在介紹應(yīng)用原理的基礎(chǔ)上,采用ISM方法對人防工程項目14種影響因素進(jìn)行建模。通過有向圖模型與布爾矩陣表對模型進(jìn)行表達(dá)。隨后借助計算機(jī)軟件輔助計算,對人防工程項目風(fēng)險因素進(jìn)行深入研究分析,找出模型中的關(guān)鍵風(fēng)險因素。 通過分析可知,人防工程項目風(fēng)險管理影響因素收到多方面的影響,既包含了建筑施工過程中的風(fēng)險,也包含了管理維護(hù)的風(fēng)險。競價風(fēng)險是風(fēng)險管理的基礎(chǔ)。人防工程項目的競價尤其特殊性,,在競價的過程中,是對人防工程項目建設(shè)合作模式的選擇,對人防工程風(fēng)險管理具有導(dǎo)向作用。 我國的人防工程項目風(fēng)險管理的相關(guān)法規(guī)目前亟需完善。法律法規(guī)是基礎(chǔ),尤其在和平時期,對人防工程項目后期的運營和維護(hù)會起到保護(hù)與屏障作用,否則建設(shè)再好的人防工程項目,管理不好,在特殊需求時期面臨的風(fēng)險反而只增不減。人防工程的風(fēng)險管理意識需要普及。在和平時期人防工程的作用在逐漸被淡化,人們的人防工程的風(fēng)險管理意識幾乎不存在。在這種情況下,人防工程項目的風(fēng)險管理更無從談起。包括風(fēng)險管理技術(shù)與風(fēng)險決策能力方面,亟需提高。
[Abstract]:The development of a city is the symbol and embodiment of a country's modern civilization. As the political, economic and cultural center of today's society, its strategic position is becoming more and more important. Therefore, the city becomes the most important target of the war. The city's protection and measures have attracted much attention. The construction of civil air defense project is very important to the city protection, and it is an important part of the city security measures. It has an important strategic position and a huge protective role in the city protection. Whether the civil air defense project construction is standard or not is related to the whole development of the whole country and the personal and property safety of the national citizen. This paper firstly discusses the theoretical basis of civil air defense project risk management by literature retrieval method. Then, based on the actual situation of civil air defense project risk management, combined with the methods of expert consultation, brainstorming and questionnaire investigation, this paper summarizes 14 kinds of risk factors of civil air defense project in China. On the basis of introducing the application principle, ISM method is used to model 14 kinds of influencing factors of civil air defense project. The model is expressed by directed graph model and Boolean matrix table. Then, with the aid of computer software, the risk factors of civil air defense project are deeply studied and analyzed, and the key risk factors in the model are found out. Through the analysis we can know that the influencing factors of civil air defense project risk management are affected by many aspects including not only the risk in the construction process but also the risk of management and maintenance. Bidding risk is the basis of risk management. The bidding of civil air defense project is especially special. In the process of bidding, it is the choice of cooperation mode of civil air defense project construction, and it plays a guiding role in the risk management of civil air defense project. China's civil air defense project risk management related laws and regulations need to be improved. Laws and regulations are the basis, especially in peacetime, will play a protective and protective role in the later operation and maintenance of civil air defense projects. Otherwise, no matter how good the civil air defense projects are, they will not be well managed. The risks faced in times of special needs have only increased. The risk management consciousness of civil air defense project needs to be popularized. In peacetime, the role of civil air defense engineering is gradually desalinated, people's awareness of civil air defense engineering risk management almost does not exist. In this case, civil air defense project risk management is more impossible to talk about. Including risk management technology and risk decision-making ability, need to improve.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:TU71;TU998

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 趙淑貞;城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)中BOT模式的風(fēng)險研究[D];西安建筑科技大學(xué);2010年



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