本文選題：BOT模式下投資建設(shè)　切入點：基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施　出處：《西南交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,我國基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)發(fā)展迅速,但由于政府資金的不足等多方面原因,以BOT為融資模式的投資建設(shè)方式已經(jīng)成為基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)不可或缺的重要支撐。然而,BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目建設(shè)項目投資數(shù)額巨大、投資回收期較長、其中的不確定指標(biāo)較多、易受到國家經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的影響。所以,如何在投資建設(shè)前科學(xué)合理的評價一個BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目成為一個迫切需要解決的問題。 首先,本文針對國內(nèi)外BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目評價的評價模型,從評價的對象、評價指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建、評價方法等方面進(jìn)行了深入的分析,在此基礎(chǔ)上,找出了我國在BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目評價中存在的主要問題。 其次,針對評價對象主客觀混淆這一問題將傳統(tǒng)的評價對象分為了項目公司能力和項目吸引力,從主觀和客觀兩個角度去評價是否參與投資建設(shè)一個以BOT為融資模式的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目,給予評價者另一種評價視角,為評價指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建提供了整體框架。 再次,針對BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目評價指標(biāo)體系不統(tǒng)一的問題,通過問卷調(diào)查法,請7個領(lǐng)域的專家和學(xué)者對總結(jié)出的BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目的46個評價指標(biāo)進(jìn)行推薦打分,并經(jīng)過統(tǒng)計處理和重疊性分析之后,最終確定了23個評價指標(biāo),構(gòu)建了評價指標(biāo)體系。 然后,針對現(xiàn)有的評價模型步驟繁瑣、評價方法數(shù)學(xué)計算量大、對評價結(jié)果的分析能力不足等問題進(jìn)行了評價模型的構(gòu)建。模型中運用了聚合函數(shù)、價值函數(shù)并針對綜合評價結(jié)果提供了值域區(qū)間、敏感度分析、橫向?qū)Ρ群臀ｋU預(yù)警四項分析。聚合函數(shù)的使用,和傳統(tǒng)方法相比,降低了數(shù)學(xué)計算的復(fù)雜程度；而價值函數(shù)的使用在簡化計算的同時實現(xiàn)了定性與定量的結(jié)合；基于價值函數(shù)的綜合評價結(jié)果分析則為評價者提供了更加全面的參考信息。 最后,以某BOT項目為例進(jìn)行評價,得出了評價數(shù)據(jù)并以此為基礎(chǔ)進(jìn)行分析和對比,客觀的說明了評價模型在計算和分析中的優(yōu)勢,從而在解決了傳統(tǒng)評價模型存在的問題的同時,為BOT模式下投資建設(shè)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項目評價提供了一種新的方法。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, infrastructure construction in China has developed rapidly, but due to the shortage of government funds and other reasons, The investment and construction mode with BOT as the financing mode has become an indispensable and important support for the infrastructure construction. However, the investment amount of the infrastructure project in the bot mode is huge, and the payback period of the investment is longer. There are many uncertain indexes, which are easily influenced by national economic policies. Therefore, how to scientifically and reasonably evaluate the infrastructure projects under the BOT model before investment construction becomes an urgent problem to be solved. First of all, this paper analyzes the evaluation model of infrastructure project investment and construction under the BOT model at home and abroad, from the aspects of evaluation object, evaluation index system construction, evaluation method and so on. This paper finds out the main problems existing in the evaluation of infrastructure projects in China under the BOT mode. Secondly, the traditional evaluation object is divided into project company ability and project attraction. From the subjective and objective angles to evaluate whether or not to participate in the investment and construction of an infrastructure project with BOT as the financing model, and to give the evaluator another evaluation perspective, which provides an overall framework for the construction of the evaluation index system. Thirdly, aiming at the problem that the evaluation index system of infrastructure projects under the BOT mode is not uniform, the questionnaire survey method is adopted. Experts and scholars in seven fields were asked to recommend 46 evaluation indicators for infrastructure projects invested in and built under the BOT model, and after statistical treatment and overlap analysis, 23 evaluation indicators were finally determined. The evaluation index system is constructed. Then, aiming at the complicated steps of the existing evaluation model, the large amount of mathematical calculation of the evaluation method, and the insufficient analytical ability of the evaluation results, the paper constructs the evaluation model. The aggregation function is used in the evaluation model. The value function also provides the value range, sensitivity analysis, horizontal contrast and danger warning analysis for the comprehensive evaluation results. The use of aggregation function reduces the complexity of mathematical calculation compared with the traditional method. The use of value function simplifies the calculation and realizes the combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis, and the comprehensive evaluation result analysis based on value function provides more comprehensive reference information for the evaluator. Finally, taking a BOT project as an example, the evaluation data are obtained and analyzed and compared, which objectively illustrates the advantages of the evaluation model in calculation and analysis. Thus, it solves the problems existing in the traditional evaluation model and provides a new method for the evaluation of infrastructure projects under the BOT model.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F283;TU71

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 葉玲;胡興福;;工業(yè)建筑方案的模糊綜合評價法[J];四川建筑科學(xué)研究;2006年02期

2 韓莎莎;;基于BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的投資決策階段可行性預(yù)測[J];赤峰學(xué)院學(xué)報(自然科學(xué)版);2010年11期

3 吳逸飛;譚建明;何壽奎;李明;;基于效用理論的高速公路路面施工風(fēng)險管理決策[J];重慶交通大學(xué)學(xué)報(自然科學(xué)版);2010年06期

4 何迎朝;刁f3;許炳;;基于多層次灰色評價法的高速公路BOT項目風(fēng)險評價[J];科技和產(chǎn)業(yè);2012年03期

5 邵強(qiáng),李友俊,田慶旺;綜合評價指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建方法[J];大慶石油學(xué)院學(xué)報;2004年03期

6 彭劍波;;我國BOT立法現(xiàn)狀、存在問題及對策透視——兼論合法高效引進(jìn)BOT項目[J];法制與經(jīng)濟(jì)(上旬刊);2011年10期

7 李天柱;數(shù)據(jù)庫理論和技術(shù)的發(fā)展[J];河北大學(xué)學(xué)報(自然科學(xué)版);1991年04期

8 敖小玲;巧用聚合函數(shù)在SQL中實現(xiàn)多表查詢[J];計算機(jī)與現(xiàn)代化;2005年03期

9 楊屹;郭明靚;扈文秀;;基于實物期權(quán)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施BOT項目投資決策研究[J];科技管理研究;2007年07期

10 慕亞平,趙康;BOT的法律問題與我國BOT立法[J];法學(xué)研究;1998年02期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 王清;一類有限理性的建模和決策分析方法的研究[D];華中科技大學(xué);2009年

，

本文編號：1577164