本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)效益評價(jià) + 財(cái)務(wù)分析��； 參考：《青島大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：鐵路是國民經(jīng)濟(jì)大動脈和關(guān)鍵基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,能夠促進(jìn)沿線地方經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,完善區(qū)域網(wǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)和綜合交通運(yùn)輸體系,同時(shí)鐵路建設(shè)也是對國家經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型深化落實(shí)的重要措施。鐵路項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)具有投資大、回收期長且收益低的特點(diǎn),相應(yīng)的對鐵路項(xiàng)目建設(shè)時(shí)的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益評價(jià)提出了新要求,提高財(cái)務(wù)評價(jià)的可靠性和準(zhǔn)確性,以降低投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)提高經(jīng)濟(jì)效益。經(jīng)濟(jì)效益評價(jià)本著技術(shù)研究層面的分析的目的,針對擬建設(shè)項(xiàng)目中的問題,對項(xiàng)目運(yùn)營期的效果進(jìn)行估測,對可行方案進(jìn)行優(yōu)選,達(dá)到合理利用資源,提高社會和經(jīng)濟(jì)效益。本文著重對地方鐵路SP-BZ段鐵路項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行了經(jīng)濟(jì)效益評價(jià),首先介紹了該項(xiàng)目的情況,其次對該項(xiàng)目的意義、國內(nèi)外可行性研究的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r以及文中運(yùn)用的方法和內(nèi)容進(jìn)行了介紹。對該項(xiàng)目建設(shè)的必要性進(jìn)行了論述,地方鐵路SP-BZ段鐵路項(xiàng)目的修建,可促進(jìn)魯中地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,在山東省以及環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展中都將會發(fā)揮積極作用,是實(shí)現(xiàn)本地區(qū)小康社會的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。緊接著對該項(xiàng)目的市場和可行性進(jìn)行了分析,并全面、系統(tǒng)地分析了項(xiàng)目的資金回收狀況,最后進(jìn)行綜合分析評價(jià)經(jīng)濟(jì)效益,得出該項(xiàng)目工程的可行性結(jié)論。通過項(xiàng)目財(cái)務(wù)評價(jià)分析,本項(xiàng)目全部投資財(cái)務(wù)內(nèi)部收益率和資本金財(cái)務(wù)內(nèi)部收益率分別為6.10%、3.07%,均大于鐵路基準(zhǔn)收益率的水平(3%),而且項(xiàng)目投資財(cái)務(wù)凈現(xiàn)值大于0,項(xiàng)目財(cái)務(wù)評價(jià)指標(biāo)良好。本項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)內(nèi)部收益率(EIRR)為18.40%,大于8%;累計(jì)經(jīng)濟(jì)凈現(xiàn)值(ENPV)為114583萬元,大于零。敏感性分析結(jié)果表明本項(xiàng)目抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力強(qiáng),因此從國民經(jīng)濟(jì)角度分析,本項(xiàng)目可行。其中的研究思路與方法,為類似工程的可行性研究提供借鑒作用。
[Abstract]:Railway is the main artery and key infrastructure of national economy, which can promote the development of local economy along the line, perfect the structure of regional network and the comprehensive transportation system. At the same time, railway construction is also an important measure to deepen the national economic transformation. The construction of railway projects has the characteristics of large investment, long payback period and low income. Accordingly, new requirements are put forward for the evaluation of economic benefits during the construction of railway projects, and the reliability and accuracy of financial evaluation are improved. In order to reduce investment risk and improve economic efficiency. In view of the problems in the project to be built, the evaluation of economic benefit is aimed at the purpose of technical research analysis, and the effect of the project operation period is estimated, and the feasible scheme is selected to make rational use of resources and to improve the social and economic benefits. This paper focuses on the economic benefit evaluation of the local railway SP-BZ section railway project. Firstly, the paper introduces the situation of the project, and secondly, the significance of the project. The development of feasibility study at home and abroad and the methods and contents used in this paper are introduced. The necessity of the construction of the project is discussed. The construction of the local railway SP-BZ section railway project can promote the economic development of the central Shandong region, and will play an active role in the development of the national economy of Shandong Province and the Bohai Sea Economic Zone. It is the infrastructure to realize the well-off society in this area and has important practical significance in the development of national economy. Then, the market and feasibility of the project are analyzed, and the fund recovery situation of the project is analyzed comprehensively and systematically. Finally, the economic benefit is comprehensively analyzed and evaluated, and the feasibility conclusion of the project is obtained. Through the analysis of project financial evaluation, The financial internal rate of return and the internal rate of return of capital are 6.10 and 3.07, respectively, which are higher than the level of the railway benchmark rate of return, and the net present value of project investment is greater than 0, and the financial evaluation index of the project is good. The economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of the project is 18.40, which is greater than 8. The cumulative net present value of ENPV is 1.14583 billion yuan, more than zero. The sensitivity analysis results show that the project has strong ability to resist risks, so the project is feasible from the point of view of national economy. The research ideas and methods provide reference for the feasibility study of similar projects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：青島大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F532.3;F530.68

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