本文選題：經(jīng)濟效益評價 + 財務分析　； 參考：《青島大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：鐵路是國民經(jīng)濟大動脈和關鍵基礎設施,能夠促進沿線地方經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展,完善區(qū)域網(wǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)和綜合交通運輸體系,同時鐵路建設也是對國家經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型深化落實的重要措施。鐵路項目的建設具有投資大、回收期長且收益低的特點,相應的對鐵路項目建設時的經(jīng)濟效益評價提出了新要求,提高財務評價的可靠性和準確性,以降低投資風險提高經(jīng)濟效益。經(jīng)濟效益評價本著技術研究層面的分析的目的,針對擬建設項目中的問題,對項目運營期的效果進行估測,對可行方案進行優(yōu)選,達到合理利用資源,提高社會和經(jīng)濟效益。本文著重對地方鐵路SP-BZ段鐵路項目進行了經(jīng)濟效益評價,首先介紹了該項目的情況,其次對該項目的意義、國內(nèi)外可行性研究的發(fā)展狀況以及文中運用的方法和內(nèi)容進行了介紹。對該項目建設的必要性進行了論述,地方鐵路SP-BZ段鐵路項目的修建,可促進魯中地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展,在山東省以及環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟區(qū)國民經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展中都將會發(fā)揮積極作用,是實現(xiàn)本地區(qū)小康社會的基礎設施,在國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。緊接著對該項目的市場和可行性進行了分析,并全面、系統(tǒng)地分析了項目的資金回收狀況,最后進行綜合分析評價經(jīng)濟效益,得出該項目工程的可行性結(jié)論。通過項目財務評價分析,本項目全部投資財務內(nèi)部收益率和資本金財務內(nèi)部收益率分別為6.10%、3.07%,均大于鐵路基準收益率的水平(3%),而且項目投資財務凈現(xiàn)值大于0,項目財務評價指標良好。本項目經(jīng)濟內(nèi)部收益率(EIRR)為18.40%,大于8%;累計經(jīng)濟凈現(xiàn)值(ENPV)為114583萬元,大于零。敏感性分析結(jié)果表明本項目抗風險能力強,因此從國民經(jīng)濟角度分析,本項目可行。其中的研究思路與方法,為類似工程的可行性研究提供借鑒作用。
[Abstract]:Railway is the main artery and key infrastructure of national economy, which can promote the development of local economy along the line, perfect the structure of regional network and the comprehensive transportation system. At the same time, railway construction is also an important measure to deepen the national economic transformation. The construction of railway projects has the characteristics of large investment, long payback period and low income. Accordingly, new requirements are put forward for the evaluation of economic benefits during the construction of railway projects, and the reliability and accuracy of financial evaluation are improved. In order to reduce investment risk and improve economic efficiency. In view of the problems in the project to be built, the evaluation of economic benefit is aimed at the purpose of technical research analysis, and the effect of the project operation period is estimated, and the feasible scheme is selected to make rational use of resources and to improve the social and economic benefits. This paper focuses on the economic benefit evaluation of the local railway SP-BZ section railway project. Firstly, the paper introduces the situation of the project, and secondly, the significance of the project. The development of feasibility study at home and abroad and the methods and contents used in this paper are introduced. The necessity of the construction of the project is discussed. The construction of the local railway SP-BZ section railway project can promote the economic development of the central Shandong region, and will play an active role in the development of the national economy of Shandong Province and the Bohai Sea Economic Zone. It is the infrastructure to realize the well-off society in this area and has important practical significance in the development of national economy. Then, the market and feasibility of the project are analyzed, and the fund recovery situation of the project is analyzed comprehensively and systematically. Finally, the economic benefit is comprehensively analyzed and evaluated, and the feasibility conclusion of the project is obtained. Through the analysis of project financial evaluation, The financial internal rate of return and the internal rate of return of capital are 6.10 and 3.07, respectively, which are higher than the level of the railway benchmark rate of return, and the net present value of project investment is greater than 0, and the financial evaluation index of the project is good. The economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of the project is 18.40, which is greater than 8. The cumulative net present value of ENPV is 1.14583 billion yuan, more than zero. The sensitivity analysis results show that the project has strong ability to resist risks, so the project is feasible from the point of view of national economy. The research ideas and methods provide reference for the feasibility study of similar projects.
【學位授予單位】：青島大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F532.3;F530.68

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