發(fā)布時間：2021-08-29 07:35

　　能源是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的基石,因此,我們要關注能源發(fā)展,其使用的可得性以及能源消費給環(huán)境帶來的影響�？紤]到能源使用的不確定性,對能源開發(fā)項目投資的任何決策都需要提前規(guī)劃。本論文正是基于此,旨在提供非洲能源發(fā)展所需的規(guī)劃,以幫助彌補現(xiàn)有研究差距和政策創(chuàng)新。本文選取非洲的一些國家（即加納,尼日利亞,南非和埃及）,使用超越對數(shù)生產(chǎn)函數(shù)方法研究能源替代可能性。把石油、電煤消費量作為能源投入,并加入了資本和勞動力投入。首先,模型計算出了產(chǎn)出彈性以及各種投入變量之間的替代彈性。其次,投入要素之間替代的可行性將在很大程度上取決于技術進步,因此需要估計所使用的各種投入的技術進步。最后,我們討論了增加使用可再生能源的政策,以增加可再生能源投資和消費量的擴大。論文為所選擇的各國和所有非洲國家提供了一些政策建議。首先,對加納的研究結果表明,所有投入要素之間隨著相對技術進步均可表現(xiàn)出相互替代性并會收斂。這表明,將資源轉向技術改進以實現(xiàn)更清潔的能源生產(chǎn)（如電力）將隨著時間的推移取得成功,這意味著未來可以在更清潔的環(huán)境中為經(jīng)濟發(fā)展提供能源供應,并減少二氧化碳排放。提高電力生產(chǎn)和促進其使用需要政府政策,例如資本補貼和稅收減... 

【文章來源】：廈門大學福建省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直屬院校

【文章頁數(shù)】：133 頁

【學位級別】：博士

【文章目錄】：
摘要
Abstract
CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the study
    1.2 Motivation for the study
        1.2.1 The need to develop new growth models for Africa
        1.2.2 The need to intensify the development of renewable energy in Africa
        1.2.3 The need to evaluate the impact of climate change mitigation policies
        1.2.4 Understanding energy substitution will provide opportunities for energytransition in Africa
        1.2.5 Bridging the research gap on energy related studies on Africa
    1.3 Research objectives
        1.3.1 Estimate Africa's production technology
        1.3.2 Extract Output Elasticity
        1.3.3 Extract Elasticities of Substitution
        1.3.4 Estimate Technical Change
        1.3.5 Compute Environmental Benefits
        1.3.6 Suggest Relevant Policies
    1.4 Published works
    1.5 Organization of the thesis
CHAPTER TWO ECONOMIC GROWTH, INTER-FACTOR AND INTER-FUEL SUBSTITUTION INAFRICA
    2.1 Ghana
    2.2 South Africa
    2.3 Nigeria
    2.4 Egypt
    2.5 Africa in general
CHAPTER THREE LITERATURE REVIEW
    3.1 Review of studies on energy consumption and economic growth
    3.2 Review of studies on inter-factor and inter-fuel substitution
CHAPTER FOUR METHODS AND DATA
    4.1 Unit roots
    4.2 Test for multicollinearity
        4.2.1 Pearson's correlation
        4.2.2 Kmenta Approach
    4.3 Translog production function time series method
    4.4 Ridge regression estimate approach
    4.5 Translog production function panel data method
        4.5.1 Random effect testing
        4.5.2 Multicollinearity test
        4.5.3 Translog production function
        4.5.4 Technical difference or change (Panel data method)
        4.5.5     technical change (Time series method)
        4.5.6 Scenario Analysis of substitution benefit
    4.6 DATA
        4.6.1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
        4.6.2 Capital Stock
        4.6.3 Labor
        4.6.4 Electricity and petroleum consumption
        4.6.5 Coal consumption
CHAPTER FIVE RESULT ON ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN AFRICA
    5.1 Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Africa
        5.1.1 Evidence for Ghana
        5.1.2 Evidence for Nigeria
        5.1.3 Evidence for South Africa
        5.1.4 Evidence for Egypt
    5.2 Panel data evidence for Africa
CHAPTER SIX RESULTS ON INTER-FUEL SUBSTITUTION AND TECHNICAL CHANGE INAFRICA
    6.1 Time series evidence for Ghana
        6.1.2 Benefits of Substitution
    6.2 Evidence for Nigeria
    6.3 Benefits of Substitution
    6.4 Evidence for South Africa
    6.5 Benefits of Substitution (South Africa)
    6.6 Evidence for Egypt
    6.7 Benefits of Substitution (Egypt)
    6.8 Panel Data evidence for Africa
CHAPTER SEVEN CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY SUGGESTION
    7.1 CONCLUSSION
    7.2 POLICY SUGGESTIONS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
REFERENCE



本文編號：3370198