【摘要】：以電力企業(yè)為研究對象,健康電力企業(yè)為對照組,出現(xiàn)財務(wù)困境的電力企業(yè)為實驗組,利用其困境出現(xiàn)前窗口期的一系列財務(wù)指標(biāo),對其窗口期后出現(xiàn)財務(wù)困境進行預(yù)測,可以理想地預(yù)測財務(wù)困境的出現(xiàn)。這一結(jié)果表明,基于動態(tài)發(fā)展觀的卡爾曼濾波財務(wù)困境預(yù)測法,可以較好地預(yù)測電力公司的財務(wù)困境,且具有較好的推廣價值和應(yīng)用前景。
[Abstract]:Taking the electric power enterprise as the research object, the healthy electric power enterprise as the control group, and the electric power enterprise with financial distress as the experimental group, this paper forecasts the financial distress after the window period by using a series of financial indexes of the window period before the financial distress appears. It is ideal to predict the emergence of financial distress. The results show that the Kalman filter financial distress prediction method based on dynamic development view can predict the financial distress of power companies, and has a good promotion value and application prospect.
【作者單位】： 國網(wǎng)江蘇省電力公司經(jīng)濟技術(shù)研究院;東南大學(xué)經(jīng)濟管理學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F406.7;F426.61
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本文編號：2490024