本文選題：中韓貿(mào)易 + 貿(mào)易引力模型　； 參考：《遼寧大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：在全球經(jīng)濟一體化進程加快的今天,形成區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化的趨勢愈發(fā)明確,中國和韓國作為亞洲的代表國家,無論從歷史淵源還是從現(xiàn)如今的政治、經(jīng)濟等角度看都有互通性。中韓兩國的地理位置臨近、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)具有一定的互補性且各自的經(jīng)濟都處于飛速發(fā)展的狀態(tài)下,所以,中韓兩國的合作對推動亞洲經(jīng)濟乃至世界經(jīng)濟都有著不可忽視的作用。自1993年兩國建交以來,兩國的貿(mào)易總量至2015年達到2758.2億美元,可以說在建交的十幾年間,兩國的合作有了突破性的進展。此外,除了貿(mào)易總量的大幅度攀升外,中韓兩國更是不斷拓寬合作領(lǐng)域,深化合作層次,而其中電子產(chǎn)品的貿(mào)易成為兩國貿(mào)易的重要組成部分。我國自改革開放以來,積極吸引外資本,大力推進我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級,我國經(jīng)歷了幾十年的發(fā)展,出口的產(chǎn)品種類正由勞動密集型的低級產(chǎn)品向著具有高附加值的資源技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品轉(zhuǎn)變,而電子產(chǎn)品作為我國最重要的出口產(chǎn)品,占據(jù)了我國資本密集型出口產(chǎn)品的主要份額。另一方面,韓國一直以出口資源密集型產(chǎn)品為主,其中電子產(chǎn)品的出口額度更是占據(jù)了其四分之三的出口額,韓國同中國的進出口也以電子產(chǎn)品為主。所以,研究中國與韓國兩國電子產(chǎn)品的貿(mào)易潛力是十分有必要的。文共分六個部分,第一部分介紹了本文選題的意義、研究的背景、目前學者對相關(guān)內(nèi)容的研究、研究的思路和方法以及論文的創(chuàng)新和不足之處。第二部分是理論基礎(chǔ),介紹了比較優(yōu)勢理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易理論、競爭優(yōu)勢理論,同時介紹了引力模型和CMS模型。第三部分是中韓電子產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易發(fā)展的概況,首先從整體角度分析了中韓兩國雙邊貿(mào)易的發(fā)展歷程和現(xiàn)狀,同時分析了兩國整體的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),其次有針對性的分析了中韓兩國電子產(chǎn)品的發(fā)展歷程和現(xiàn)狀、兩國電子產(chǎn)品的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),同時將電子產(chǎn)品進行分類就不同的類別進行進一步的細致分析。第四部分運用了實證分析對中韓電子產(chǎn)品的貿(mào)易潛力進行分析,選取了25個國家2005-2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù)分析了貿(mào)易流量,并將其作為理論值和實際值進行比較得出中韓兩國電子產(chǎn)品的貿(mào)易潛力,分析可得:韓國對中國電子產(chǎn)品的出口存在著一定程度上的“貿(mào)易過度”,而第四部分是中韓電子產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易潛力分析,運用25個國家2005-2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù),發(fā)現(xiàn)中國對韓國電子產(chǎn)品的出口存在著“貿(mào)易不足”的現(xiàn)象,兩國的電子產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易仍存在著巨大的潛力。第五部分是實現(xiàn)貿(mào)易潛力影響因素的研究,通過對中韓兩國雙邊電子產(chǎn)品出口的增長因素進行分解,從競爭力效應(yīng)、需求效應(yīng)、結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)進行討論,發(fā)現(xiàn)競爭力效應(yīng)、需求效應(yīng)對中韓兩國雙邊電子產(chǎn)品的出口增長有著促進作用,而結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)對其則有阻礙作用。第六部分是根據(jù)文章的研究結(jié)果得出結(jié)論并有針對性的提出政策建議。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of global economic integration, the trend of regional economic integration is becoming more and more clear. China and South Korea, as the representative countries of Asia, have interoperability both from the historical origin and from the political and economic perspectives of the present day. The geographical position of China and South Korea is near, the industrial structure is complementary and their respective economies are in the state of rapid development. Therefore, the cooperation between China and South Korea plays an important role in promoting the Asian economy and even the world economy. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries in 1993, the total volume of trade between the two countries has reached 275.82 billion US dollars by 2015, which can be said that in the ten years since the establishment of diplomatic relations, the cooperation between the two countries has made a breakthrough. In addition, apart from the sharp increase in the total volume of trade, China and South Korea continue to broaden the fields of cooperation and deepen the level of cooperation, and the trade in electronic products has become an important part of the trade between the two countries. Since the reform and opening up, China has actively attracted foreign capital and vigorously promoted the upgrading of China's industrial structure. China has experienced decades of development. The types of products exported are changing from labor-intensive low-grade products to resource-technology-intensive products with high added value, while electronic products are the most important export products of our country. Occupied the main share of China's capital-intensive export products. On the other hand, South Korea has been mainly exporting resource-intensive products, of which the export quota of electronic products accounts for 3/4 of its exports, and the import and export of South Korea and China is also dominated by electronic products. Therefore, it is necessary to study the trade potential of electronic products between China and Korea. This paper is divided into six parts. The first part introduces the significance of the topic, the background of the research, the current research on the relevant content, research ideas and methods, as well as the innovation and shortcomings of the paper. The second part is the theoretical basis, including comparative advantage theory, intra-industry trade theory, competitive advantage theory, gravity model and CMS model. The third part is the general situation of the development of electronic products trade between China and South Korea. Firstly, it analyzes the development process and current situation of bilateral trade between China and South Korea from the overall perspective, and analyzes the overall trade structure of the two countries at the same time. Secondly, the paper analyzes the development process and current situation of electronic products in China and Korea, and the trade structure of electronic products in the two countries. At the same time, the electronic products are classified and analyzed in detail in different categories. The fourth part uses empirical analysis to analyze the trade potential of electronic products between China and South Korea, and selects 25 countries' panel data from 2005 to 2015 to analyze trade flows. The trade potential of electronic products between China and South Korea is obtained by comparing them as theoretical value and actual value. It is concluded that there is "excessive trade" in South Korea's exports of electronic products to China to a certain extent. The fourth part is an analysis of the trade potential of electronic products between China and South Korea. Using panel data from 25 countries from 2005 to 2015, we find that China's exports of electronic products to South Korea are under trade. There is still great potential for trade in electronics between the two countries. The fifth part is the research on the influencing factors of realizing the trade potential. Through the decomposition of the growth factors of the bilateral electronic products export between China and South Korea, we discuss the competitiveness effect, demand effect and structure effect, and find the competitiveness effect. The demand effect promotes the export growth of China and South Korea, while the structural effect hinders it. The sixth part is based on the results of the study and targeted policy recommendations.
【學位授予單位】：遼寧大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752;F426.6

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本文編號：1994220