本文選題：能源供給結(jié)構(gòu) + 能源需求結(jié)構(gòu)　； 參考：《科技管理研究》2017年15期

【摘要】：對我國能源供需結(jié)構(gòu),基于信息熵方法,分析能源供給子系統(tǒng)和需求子系統(tǒng)內(nèi)部的均衡度;基于協(xié)調(diào)度方法,分析能源供需結(jié)構(gòu)均衡度;基于狀態(tài)空間方程模型,分析能源供需結(jié)構(gòu)均衡度對經(jīng)濟的動態(tài)影響。研究得出結(jié)論:我國能源供給子系統(tǒng)內(nèi)均衡度處于[0.54,0.62]之間,除2013年開始呈上升趨勢外,其余年份均處于波動狀態(tài);需求子系統(tǒng)內(nèi)均衡度處于[0.53,0.71]之間,且一直呈上升狀態(tài);能源供需結(jié)構(gòu)均衡度處于[0.73,0.81]之間,除2014年為基本均衡外,其余年份均為勉強均衡;能源供需結(jié)構(gòu)均衡度對經(jīng)濟總量影響的彈性系數(shù)值處于[1.88,3.58]之間,彈性系數(shù)曲線呈倒U型,彈性系數(shù)值從2010年開始進入下降階段。
[Abstract]:For the structure of energy supply and demand in China, the equilibrium degree of energy supply subsystem and demand subsystem is analyzed based on information entropy method, the equilibrium degree of energy supply and demand structure is analyzed based on coordination degree method, and the state space equation model is used to analyze the equilibrium degree of energy supply and demand structure. The dynamic influence of energy supply and demand structure equilibrium on economy is analyzed. It is concluded that the equilibrium degree of energy supply subsystem in China is between [0.54 鹵0.62], except for the rising trend in 2013, the equilibrium degree in the demand subsystem is in the range of [0.530.71], and it has been on the rise state for a long time, except for the rising trend of the energy supply subsystem in 2013, and the equilibrium degree in the demand subsystem is in the range of [0.530.71]. The equilibrium degree of energy supply and demand structure is in the range of [0.73 鹵0.81], except for the basic equilibrium in 2014, the balance of energy supply and demand structure is barely balanced in other years, and the elastic coefficient value of the influence of energy supply and demand structure equilibrium on the total economic volume is between [1.88 and 3.58], and the curve of energy supply and demand structure is of inverted U shape. The elastic coefficient value has entered the descending stage since 2010.
【作者單位】： 中國礦業(yè)大學(xué)(北京)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項目“煤礦綠色生態(tài)投入動力分析及機制設(shè)計研究”(71303235) 中國煤炭工業(yè)協(xié)會“十三五”重點項目“煤炭工業(yè)‘十三五’結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整規(guī)劃研究”(2015207010165)
【分類號】：F426.2
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本文編號：1918897