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我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩的原因及對(duì)策研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-20 13:06

  本文選題:產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩 + 光伏行業(yè)。 參考:《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:在我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中,產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩問(wèn)題逐漸成為阻礙產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化和國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要方面。它不僅僅會(huì)扭曲產(chǎn)品價(jià)格,損害市場(chǎng)效率,還會(huì)導(dǎo)致資源錯(cuò)配,形成僵尸企業(yè),致使產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化程度下降。由于受到技術(shù)水平的支持和人們需求的帶動(dòng),光伏行業(yè)得到了很大程度的發(fā)展,并由其節(jié)能、高效的特征備受投資者的青睞。從而,光伏行業(yè)一度獲得了大幅擴(kuò)展。但是,自金融危機(jī)后,我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)開(kāi)始呈現(xiàn)出產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩的狀況。因此,探析光伏行業(yè)產(chǎn)能利用狀況及其誘因日益成為理論研究的重要方面。圍繞我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)中產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩的程度以及是何種原因造成了我國(guó)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩等一系列問(wèn)題,本文從理論角度進(jìn)行了深入探討。本文以我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀為背景,結(jié)合市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入理論、政府干預(yù)理論以及進(jìn)入壁壘理論,基于上市公司的具體數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)的產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩狀態(tài)進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,并使用面板數(shù)據(jù)分析我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)產(chǎn)能利用狀況的誘因及其影響機(jī)制。本文結(jié)論主要有:一方面,通過(guò)構(gòu)建測(cè)度指標(biāo)發(fā)現(xiàn),我國(guó)光伏行業(yè)中普遍存在產(chǎn)能過(guò),F(xiàn)象,并且產(chǎn)能利用狀況總體偏低;另一方面,通過(guò)實(shí)證分析發(fā)現(xiàn),政府補(bǔ)助、出口額、研發(fā)投入對(duì)產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩率具有顯著影響:政府補(bǔ)助對(duì)產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩具有較為明顯的推動(dòng)作用,并且政府補(bǔ)助會(huì)通過(guò)影響資本密集度影響產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩狀況;研發(fā)投入有利于緩解產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩;出口狀況正向決定著產(chǎn)能狀況的變動(dòng)方向,當(dāng)出口額度提高時(shí),產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩程度便能夠得到緩解。相較于已有研究,本文主要的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)包括三方面,一是選取光伏行業(yè)為研究對(duì)象,研究視角更加聚焦。二是將產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩程度的測(cè)度與實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)相結(jié)合,分析框架更為嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)。三是將各種影響因素綜合考慮進(jìn)行實(shí)證,計(jì)量回歸更加細(xì)致。本文通過(guò)相關(guān)上市公司的數(shù)據(jù)測(cè)度,從市場(chǎng)、政府和企業(yè)三個(gè)維度提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)策略,并強(qiáng)調(diào)產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩問(wèn)題的緩解更多地應(yīng)該依賴(lài)于市場(chǎng)去解決,政府產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的干預(yù)容易導(dǎo)致過(guò)度干預(yù)問(wèn)題。
[Abstract]:In the development of China's industrial economy, the problem of overcapacity has gradually become an important aspect that hinders the optimization of industrial structure and the development of the national economy. It will not only distort the price of the products and damage the market efficiency, but also lead to the mismatch of resources and the formation of zombie Enterprises, resulting in a decline in the optimization of the industrial structure. Driven by demand, the photovoltaic industry has been greatly developed, and the characteristics of energy saving and efficiency are favored by investors. Thus, the photovoltaic industry has been greatly expanded. However, since the financial crisis, China's photovoltaic industry has begun to present a surplus of production capacity. It has become an important aspect of theoretical research. In this paper, a series of problems, such as the degree of overcapacity in the photovoltaic industry and what causes the overcapacity in China's emerging industries, are discussed in depth. This paper is based on the development of the photovoltaic industry in China, combining the market entry theory and the government. The pre theory and the entry barrier theory, based on the specific data of the listed companies, make a statistical analysis of the overcapacity state of the photovoltaic industry in China, and use the panel data to analyze the inducement and influence mechanism of the capacity utilization of the photovoltaic industry in China. On the other hand, government subsidies, exports and R & D inputs have a significant impact on overcapacity: government subsidies have a significant impact on overcapacity, and government subsidies will affect capital density. The development input is beneficial to alleviate overcapacity; the export situation is determining the change direction of the production capacity. When the export quota is increased, the degree of overcapacity can be relieved. Compared with the existing research, the main innovation points are three aspects, one is to select the photovoltaic industry as the research object and the research perspective. Two is to combine the measure of the degree of overcapacity with the empirical test, the analysis frame is more rigorous. Three is to take all kinds of factors into consideration and make the regression more meticulous. Through the measurement of the relevant listed companies, this paper puts forward the corresponding coping strategies from the market, the government and the enterprises in three dimensions, and makes a strong production adjustment. The mitigation of excess energy should be more dependent on the market. The intervention of government's industrial policies is likely to lead to excessive intervention.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F426.61

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