中美產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力及經(jīng)常賬戶可維持性分析——基于貿(mào)易增加值視角
發(fā)布時間:2018-02-22 21:39
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力 經(jīng)常賬戶可維持性 貿(mào)易增加值 人民幣國際化 出處:《當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)科學(xué)》2017年06期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:本文基于貿(mào)易增加值視角,采用跨國面板數(shù)據(jù)對比分析了中美的產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力及經(jīng)常賬戶可維持性。結(jié)果顯示,中國制造業(yè)在國內(nèi)增加值、全球價值鏈參與度指標(biāo)上位居世界前列,創(chuàng)造了大量的外匯收入,中國是名副其實的制造業(yè)大國。而在全球價值鏈地位、國內(nèi)增值率指標(biāo)上,中國的表現(xiàn)卻遠(yuǎn)不如美國,說明中國并不具備產(chǎn)業(yè)核心競爭力,制造業(yè)"大而不強"。全球參與度逐年降低,說明中國經(jīng)常賬戶的盈余缺乏可持續(xù)性,當(dāng)前制造業(yè)的低端創(chuàng)匯模式不可持續(xù)。因此需積極推行供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革和制造業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級,加大核心技術(shù)領(lǐng)域的研發(fā)投入,掌握產(chǎn)業(yè)核心競爭力,提升制造業(yè)在全球價值鏈分工中的地位,從而實現(xiàn)經(jīng)常賬戶盈余的可持續(xù)性,為資本賬戶開放和人民幣國際化打下堅實的基礎(chǔ)。
[Abstract]:Based on the perspective of value added of trade, this paper compares the industrial competitiveness and current account maintainability of China and the United States with cross-country panel data. The results show that China's manufacturing industry has added value at home. Global value chain participation is among the highest in the world, generating a large amount of foreign exchange income. China is a truly manufacturing country. However, in terms of global value chain status and domestic value added ratio, China's performance is far less than that of the United States. This means that China does not have the core competitiveness of the industry, and that the manufacturing industry is "large but not strong." Global participation is decreasing year by year, which means that China's current account surplus is not sustainable. The current low end foreign exchange earning mode of manufacturing industry is not sustainable. Therefore, it is necessary to actively promote supply-side structural reform and transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry, increase R & D investment in the core technology field, and master the core competitiveness of the industry. To enhance the position of manufacturing industry in the division of labor in global value chain, so as to achieve the sustainability of current account surplus, and lay a solid foundation for capital account opening and RMB internationalization.
【作者單位】: 廈門大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社科基金項目“經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長進(jìn)程中的通貨膨脹控制:量化寬松、最優(yōu)通脹率和宏觀審慎政策研究”(13BJY169)
【分類號】:F424;F471.2;F752.6;F757.12
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