本文關(guān)鍵詞：“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)家貿(mào)易便利化水平對(duì)中國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口的影響　出處：《山東大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 貿(mào)易便利化 一帶一路戰(zhàn)略 鋼鐵產(chǎn)品 貿(mào)易潛力 引力模型

【摘要】：為緩解基建領(lǐng)域產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩、推動(dòng)"絲綢之路"沿線國(guó)家貿(mào)易便利化及互聯(lián)互通,中國(guó)政府于2013年首次提出"一帶一路"重大戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想。由中國(guó)政府主導(dǎo)的"一帶一路"戰(zhàn)略本質(zhì)上是一種國(guó)際區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作新模式,其基本原則為平等互利,根本屬性是共同發(fā)展。該戰(zhàn)略明確提出以基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)合作為突破,將提振這一區(qū)域?qū)︿撹F產(chǎn)品的需求,為中國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口創(chuàng)造了新的歷史契機(jī)。而隨著區(qū)域貿(mào)易的最新發(fā)展,關(guān)稅及非關(guān)稅措施等傳統(tǒng)貿(mào)易壁壘對(duì)貿(mào)易的阻礙作用及影響力逐漸減弱,提升貿(mào)易便利化水平以促進(jìn)貿(mào)易成本的進(jìn)一步降低已成為各國(guó)政府及學(xué)者關(guān)注的新熱點(diǎn)。聚焦"一帶一路"重大戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想,基于我國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩、出口增長(zhǎng)乏力的現(xiàn)實(shí)困境,測(cè)算"一帶一路"沿線國(guó)家的貿(mào)易便利化水平并進(jìn)一步分析其對(duì)我國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口的促進(jìn)作用具有重大理論及現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。首先,本文在梳理國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者對(duì)貿(mào)易便利化及"一帶一路"重大戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想已有研究的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合各經(jīng)濟(jì)組織及該領(lǐng)域權(quán)威學(xué)者對(duì)貿(mào)易便利化內(nèi)涵的詮釋,構(gòu)建了包括五個(gè)一級(jí)分項(xiàng)指標(biāo)、共計(jì)18個(gè)二級(jí)具體指標(biāo)的貿(mào)易便利化水平評(píng)價(jià)體系,并利用主成分分析法精確計(jì)算了每個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)對(duì)總體便利化水平的貢獻(xiàn)比例。接著對(duì)"一帶一路"沿線45國(guó)和中國(guó)的貿(mào)易便利化水平綜合指標(biāo)及各個(gè)分項(xiàng)指標(biāo)水平進(jìn)行測(cè)算,測(cè)算結(jié)果表明:"一帶一路"沿線國(guó)家的貿(mào)易便利化程度較低,一半以上的沿線國(guó)家貿(mào)易不便利;從地理位置上來(lái)看,明顯呈現(xiàn)出"兩邊高、中間低"的特點(diǎn)。然后,本文構(gòu)建引力模型,選取中國(guó)對(duì)"一帶一路"沿線國(guó)家鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)以及其他解釋變量數(shù)據(jù),時(shí)間跨度為2008年到2015年共八年,分別實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)了沿線國(guó)家貿(mào)易便利化水平綜合指標(biāo)和五個(gè)分項(xiàng)指標(biāo)對(duì)中國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口的影響。實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示:"一帶一路"沿線國(guó)家國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值、進(jìn)口國(guó)人口規(guī)模、進(jìn)口國(guó)市場(chǎng)開(kāi)放程度、進(jìn)口國(guó)貿(mào)易便利化水平是影響中國(guó)對(duì)其鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口的重要因素,其中,尤以貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)出口增長(zhǎng)的影響最為顯著,而是否簽訂自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定這一虛擬變量未通過(guò)顯著性檢驗(yàn);在五個(gè)分項(xiàng)指標(biāo)中,對(duì)中國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)品出口的影響通過(guò)顯著性檢驗(yàn)的解釋變量有政府規(guī)制、電子商務(wù)以及金融服務(wù),其他兩個(gè)則未通過(guò)顯著性檢驗(yàn);對(duì)于貿(mào)易潛力測(cè)算的結(jié)果顯示,中國(guó)對(duì)中亞地區(qū)鋼鐵出口貿(mào)易已經(jīng)飽和,進(jìn)一步增加出口難度較大,而對(duì)東亞和南亞諸國(guó)則仍然有非常大的貿(mào)易發(fā)展?jié)摿?值得特別關(guān)注。最后,基于本文的發(fā)現(xiàn)給出了政策建議。
[Abstract]:In order to alleviate infrastructure overcapacity, promote the "Silk Road" along the national trade facilitation and interoperability, China government first proposed a major strategic concept of The Belt and Road "in 2013. By the Chinese government led "The Belt and Road" strategy is essentially a kind of international regional economic cooperation in the new model, the basic principle of equality and mutual benefit, common development is the basic attribute of. The strategy clearly points out that the breakthrough of infrastructure construction cooperation will enhance the demand for steel products in this area and create a new historical opportunity for the export of Chinese steel products. With the latest development of regional trade, the barriers and barriers of traditional trade barriers such as tariff and non-tariff measures on trade have gradually weakened. Improving the level of trade facilitation and promoting the further reduction of trade costs has become a new hot topic among governments and scholars. The great strategic concept focusing on "The Belt and Road" dilemma of capacity of Chinese steel industry overcapacity, weak export growth based on the level of trade facilitation measure "The Belt and Road along the country and further analysis of its role in promoting China's exports of steel products has great theoretical and practical significance. First of all, based on the analysis of domestic and foreign scholars on trade facilitation and "The Belt and Road major strategic vision on existing research, combined with the economic organization and the leading academics in the field of interpretation of the connotation of trade facilitation, construct the evaluation system of the level of trade facilitation, including a total of five level indicators, 18 two class specific index, and the proportion of contribution of each level indicator of the overall level of facilitation was calculated accurately by using the principal component analysis method. Then on the "The Belt and Road" along the 45 country and Chinese the level of Trade Facilitation Index and each sub index level was calculated. The calculated results show that: "trade facilitation The Belt and Road along the country's low, more than half of the countries along the trade facilitation; from the geographical point of view, showing obvious the characteristics of both high and low in the middle. Then, this paper constructs the gravity model selection of Chinese Belt and Road Initiative along the national steel products export trade data and other explanatory variables, the time span is from 2008 to 2015 a total of eight years, respectively, an empirical analysis of the influence of comprehensive index of the national level of trade facilitation and along the five indexes of Chinese steel product exports. The empirical results show that: "Belt and Road Initiative along the country's GDP, imports of population size, the degree of openness, China import market of importing countries, the level of trade facilitation is an important factor affecting the export of steel products, China which, especially in trade facilitation of export growth is most significantly affected, and whether to sign the free trade agreement of the virtual variables not through the significant test; in the five sub indicators, impact on China steel product exports through the significant test explanatory variable of government regulation, electronic commerce and financial services, the other two are not through the significant test; the trade potential calculation results show that the China steel export trade in Central Asia has been saturated, further increase the export difficulty of East and South Asian countries are still trade development potential is very great, worthy of special attention. Finally, based on the findings of this paper, the policy recommendations are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F426.31;F752.62

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