本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城市化 收入差距 刑事犯罪 面板門限模型　出處：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》2017年08期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：城市化進(jìn)程推動(dòng)了我國(guó)的社會(huì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的巨大變革,在這種結(jié)構(gòu)變革之下,收入差距對(duì)刑事犯罪的影響作用也在發(fā)生變化。文章利用1993—2013年省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建面板門限模型,以城市化水平作為門限變量,檢驗(yàn)收入差距對(duì)刑事犯罪的非線性影響以及城市化發(fā)展中的門限效應(yīng)。研究結(jié)果顯示:收入差距對(duì)刑事犯罪存在基于城市化發(fā)展水平的"單門限效應(yīng)",當(dāng)城市化水平進(jìn)入較高的區(qū)制(城市化水平高于45%)時(shí),收入差距的增大對(duì)刑事犯罪的正向影響更加顯著;同時(shí)離婚率和人均GDP都與刑事犯罪存在顯著的正相關(guān)影響。
[Abstract]:The urbanization process has promoted the huge transformation of the social and economic structure of our country. Under this kind of structural change, the effect of income gap on criminal crime is also changing. This paper uses the provincial panel data from 1993 to 2013 to construct the panel threshold model. Taking urbanization level as threshold variable, The results show that the income gap has a "single threshold effect" on criminal crime based on the level of urbanization. When the level of urbanization is higher than 45% of the regional system, The increase of income gap has a more significant positive impact on criminal crime, and the divorce rate and GDP per capita have significant positive correlation with criminal crime.
【作者單位】： 天津工業(yè)大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目(13ASH003) 教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究項(xiàng)目(13YJC870014) 天津市教委科研計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(20142817)
【分類號(hào)】：D924;F124.7
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本文編號(hào)：1533136