【摘要】：社會(huì)進(jìn)步的歷史是生產(chǎn)力和生產(chǎn)關(guān)系相互作用和發(fā)展的歷史,也是作為生產(chǎn)力的基本要素和一切生產(chǎn)關(guān)系承擔(dān)者的人口世代更替、人類自身不斷延續(xù)的歷史。人口流動(dòng)是人口群體的固有特征,流動(dòng)人口的存在反映了社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的必然和趨勢。 1978年12月,中國進(jìn)入了由計(jì)劃經(jīng)濟(jì)體制向社會(huì)主義市場經(jīng)濟(jì)體制的轉(zhuǎn)變、由封閉型社會(huì)向開放型社會(huì)轉(zhuǎn)變的轉(zhuǎn)型時(shí)期。在轉(zhuǎn)型過程中,日益加快的非農(nóng)化和城市化進(jìn)程,形成了大規(guī)模的流動(dòng)人口。根據(jù)2005年全國1%人口抽樣調(diào)查結(jié)果顯示,2005年時(shí)我國人戶分離的流動(dòng)人口已達(dá)到了1.4735億,占全國人口總數(shù)的11.28%。 流動(dòng)人口促進(jìn)了我國社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,改變了長期存在的城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu),深刻地影響著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)的變遷。然而,人口的大量流動(dòng)也對(duì)社會(huì)結(jié)構(gòu)和社會(huì)秩序形成了沖擊,引發(fā)了各種社會(huì)矛盾和社會(huì)沖突。特別是流動(dòng)人口作為犯罪主體本身的犯罪數(shù)量日益增多,犯罪影響日益惡劣,使得我國進(jìn)入了以流動(dòng)人口犯罪為標(biāo)志的新中國建國以來的第五次犯罪高潮時(shí)期。 為比較深入地揭示流動(dòng)人口犯罪的內(nèi)在規(guī)律,本文較多地結(jié)合實(shí)證數(shù)據(jù),探討了流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體特征,流動(dòng)人口犯罪行為方式和刑罰結(jié)構(gòu),社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素對(duì)流動(dòng)人口犯罪的影響等等。 全文共分九章進(jìn)行論述。 第一章導(dǎo)論,對(duì)研究的背景和方法進(jìn)行了概括性的介紹。 第二章研究理論基礎(chǔ)和相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)綜述。比較全面地介紹了與流動(dòng)人口犯罪相關(guān)的人權(quán)理論、人口法學(xué)和犯罪社會(huì)學(xué)等基礎(chǔ)理論,概述了目前國內(nèi)外的相關(guān)研究成果,使得本文的研究在這些基礎(chǔ)理論的指導(dǎo)下、在相關(guān)研究文獻(xiàn)的基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)行。 第三章流動(dòng)人口管理及犯罪狀況的歷史回顧。對(duì)中國歷代流民管理與犯罪防控作了簡單介紹,回顧了新中國建國以來各個(gè)階段的流動(dòng)人口管理政策,并對(duì)不同階段的犯罪狀況以及犯罪類型進(jìn)行了歸納分析。 第四章流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體特征。這一章采集了比較豐富的全國流動(dòng)人口犯罪數(shù)據(jù),以及上海市、浙江省近三十年歷年的流動(dòng)人口犯罪數(shù)據(jù),還選取河南省鄭州市中級(jí)人民法院和廣東省廣州市中級(jí)人民法院2009年判決、裁定中確定為有罪的被告人為研究樣本,對(duì)流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體的規(guī)模、結(jié)構(gòu)、行為方式、刑罰處罰特征等進(jìn)行了比較詳細(xì)的闡述。 第一節(jié)通過對(duì)2005年以來全國流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù),上海市、浙江省改革開放以來的流動(dòng)人口犯罪數(shù)據(jù)的分析,闡明了流動(dòng)人口犯罪呈逐年上升的趨勢。 第二節(jié)對(duì)流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體的性別、年齡、文化程度構(gòu)成進(jìn)行了結(jié)構(gòu)分析。 第三節(jié)分析了流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體的重新犯罪行為、犯罪類型特點(diǎn)和犯罪組織形式,明確了流動(dòng)人口犯罪的行為特征。 第四節(jié)對(duì)流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體的刑罰處罰結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行了分析,包括判決刑種、判決刑期和緩刑適用等3個(gè)方面。 第五節(jié)建立了鄭州市、廣州市按常住人口和流動(dòng)人口分層的犯罪年齡趨勢模型,明確了流動(dòng)人口犯罪年齡主要集中于19-24歲、年齡趨勢曲線具有單峰的性質(zhì)。 第五章犯罪內(nèi)生性——異質(zhì)人群中的權(quán)利相對(duì)剝奪。這一章共分兩節(jié)對(duì)流動(dòng)人口犯罪的內(nèi)生性因素進(jìn)行了論述。 第一節(jié)流動(dòng)人口與常住人口的人群異質(zhì)性。通過對(duì)流動(dòng)人口與常住人口的人口自然結(jié)構(gòu)、地域結(jié)構(gòu)和社會(huì)結(jié)構(gòu)三個(gè)方面的比較,明確了流動(dòng)人口與常住人口兩個(gè)不同人群具有異質(zhì)性的特征。 第二節(jié)流動(dòng)人口權(quán)利被相對(duì)剝奪。比較流動(dòng)人口的政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)和文化教育等四個(gè)方面權(quán)利的應(yīng)然和實(shí)然狀況,明確了流動(dòng)人口權(quán)利被相對(duì)剝奪的范圍和程度。 第六章犯罪外生性——?jiǎng)討B(tài)環(huán)境下的社會(huì)控制弱化。這一章共分四節(jié)論述影響流動(dòng)人口犯罪的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)外部因素。 第一節(jié)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的動(dòng)態(tài)化。從經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長、城市化進(jìn)程加快、人口流動(dòng)加速三個(gè)方面分析了我國轉(zhuǎn)型期社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)所具有的動(dòng)態(tài)化特征。 第二節(jié)縱向控制的弱化過程。從控制組織的結(jié)構(gòu)解體、控制力量減弱、控制人員不足等方面分析了轉(zhuǎn)型期以來我國社會(huì)正式控制力的弱化過程。同時(shí),也分析了血緣關(guān)系、社會(huì)關(guān)系等非正式約束力的弱化。 第三節(jié)橫向控制的位移差異。從省區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡、人口流動(dòng)分區(qū)明顯、地方性法規(guī)頒布時(shí)間差異、公共安全支出地域差異等四個(gè)方面分析了橫向社會(huì)控制存在的省區(qū)位移差異。 第四節(jié)控制政策的沖擊效應(yīng)。通過犯罪率數(shù)據(jù)的趨勢模擬,分析了轉(zhuǎn)型期以來1983年、1996年、2001年三次“嚴(yán)打”活動(dòng)對(duì)犯罪趨勢的影響,肯定了“嚴(yán)打”有效遏制犯罪快速上升趨勢的作用。同時(shí)還探討了1992年盜竊罪立案標(biāo)準(zhǔn)變更所引起的犯罪明數(shù)變化。 第七章犯罪的生成——內(nèi)生性和外生性的協(xié)同作用。這一章根據(jù)數(shù)據(jù)的不同特征采用了不同的數(shù)據(jù)分析方法,共分五節(jié)對(duì)犯罪的生成進(jìn)行論述。 第一節(jié)流動(dòng)人口犯罪影響因素分析。根據(jù)浙江省1980-2009年歷年的流動(dòng)人犯罪人數(shù)對(duì)全國流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)進(jìn)行了估計(jì),在估計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的基礎(chǔ)上建立了流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)變量與權(quán)利相對(duì)剝奪指標(biāo)——城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平指標(biāo)——人均國民生產(chǎn)總值和社會(huì)控制力指標(biāo)——破案率等變量的多元線性回歸模型,在建模過程中進(jìn)行了模型設(shè)定、參數(shù)估計(jì)、模型檢驗(yàn)和模型優(yōu)化。消除了解釋變量的共線性影響后,流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)表現(xiàn)為權(quán)利相對(duì)剝奪和社會(huì)控制力弱化兩個(gè)方面相互作用的結(jié)果。 第二節(jié)流動(dòng)人口犯罪動(dòng)態(tài)效應(yīng)分析。在多元線性回歸模型優(yōu)化的基礎(chǔ)上,還進(jìn)行了時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)的單位根檢驗(yàn)和協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),建立了誤差修正模型(ECM)。從而揭示了流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)的變化具有長期效應(yīng)和短期效應(yīng)的變化特性,流動(dòng)人口犯罪系統(tǒng)具有自修正功能,內(nèi)生性因素對(duì)犯罪的影響存在滯后性。 第三節(jié)流動(dòng)人口犯罪模型驗(yàn)證。用轉(zhuǎn)型期以來我國歷年的犯罪率(每10萬人刑事案件立案數(shù))為被解釋變量,建立犯罪率的多元線性回歸模型和誤差修正模型,得出犯罪率模型與流動(dòng)人口犯罪模型具有相同的模型特征,從而驗(yàn)證全國流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)雖然是估計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),但在估計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)基礎(chǔ)上建立的模型仍具有科學(xué)性。 第四節(jié)流動(dòng)人口犯罪省區(qū)聚類分析。根據(jù)2009年分省區(qū)的流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)、暫住人口、公共安全支出、人均地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值等四個(gè)指標(biāo),對(duì)全國31個(gè)省區(qū)(不含港澳臺(tái))進(jìn)行聚類分析,31個(gè)省區(qū)被劃分為五類,每個(gè)類別內(nèi)的省區(qū)流動(dòng)人口犯罪特征比較接近,類別間的差異較大。 第五節(jié)國際犯罪趨勢比較分析。根據(jù)2006年世界監(jiān)獄人口統(tǒng)計(jì)的截面數(shù)據(jù)得出的罪犯人口比例,根據(jù)美國、日本自1978年以來歷年的犯罪率時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù),分析犯罪率拐點(diǎn)的形成,在對(duì)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素不同的各個(gè)國家進(jìn)行相關(guān)分析和比較分析的基礎(chǔ)上,預(yù)測中國未來的犯罪總體趨勢。 首先,對(duì)人口超過1000萬的72個(gè)國家的罪犯人口比率、人均GDP和人文發(fā)展指數(shù)進(jìn)行了相關(guān)分析。罪犯人口比率與人文發(fā)展指數(shù)的相關(guān)性比較明顯,二者之間存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系,人文發(fā)展指數(shù)越高,罪犯人口比率也就越大。在顯著性水平不高的情況下,罪犯人口比率也與人均GDP相關(guān),人均GDP越高,也就是經(jīng)濟(jì)越發(fā)展,罪犯人口比率也越大。 其次,分析不同國家在城市化進(jìn)程不同階段對(duì)犯罪的影響,結(jié)果表明犯罪率與城市化率指標(biāo)不相關(guān)。不過在城市化率較低的分組中,隨著城市化率的提高,犯罪率也有上升的趨勢。 最后,根據(jù)美國、日本與中國轉(zhuǎn)型期同期1978-2008年歷年的犯罪率數(shù)據(jù),分析美國1991年、日本2003年以來犯罪絕對(duì)數(shù)明顯下降的現(xiàn)象,剖析了該時(shí)間點(diǎn)前后兩個(gè)時(shí)期的犯罪趨勢,肯定了這兩個(gè)國家犯罪率拐點(diǎn)形成的事實(shí)。 第八章流動(dòng)人口犯罪防控的路徑選擇。導(dǎo)致流動(dòng)人口犯罪的因素表現(xiàn)在流動(dòng)人口權(quán)利被相對(duì)剝奪和社會(huì)控制弱化兩個(gè)方面。從而在這兩方面提出了流動(dòng)人口犯罪防控的六個(gè)具體路徑措施：在保障流動(dòng)人口權(quán)益方面,要確立遷徙權(quán)、消除流動(dòng)人口犯罪標(biāo)簽,保障平等權(quán)、實(shí)現(xiàn)人口群體的融合與共生,強(qiáng)化參與權(quán)、暢通流動(dòng)人口利益表達(dá)渠道。在加強(qiáng)社會(huì)控制方面,要實(shí)施多維約束、寬嚴(yán)相濟(jì)的綜合治理方針,橫向分區(qū)、縱向分段的區(qū)段遞進(jìn)戰(zhàn)略,人群流動(dòng)、空間固化的動(dòng)態(tài)控制模式。 第九章為簡短的結(jié)語。 流動(dòng)人口犯罪是一個(gè)復(fù)雜的社會(huì)現(xiàn)象,本文圍繞著微觀的流動(dòng)人口群體權(quán)利被相對(duì)剝奪和宏觀的社會(huì)控制弱化兩個(gè)方面,采集了比較豐富的、涵蓋中外的犯罪時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)和截面數(shù)據(jù),使得整個(gè)研究建立在實(shí)證數(shù)據(jù)的基礎(chǔ)之上,體現(xiàn)了宏觀分析與微觀分析相結(jié)合、定量分析與定性分析相結(jié)合的研究特點(diǎn),比較深刻地揭示了轉(zhuǎn)型期流動(dòng)人口犯罪的內(nèi)在規(guī)律性。 由于研究理論的成熟、研究方法的多樣和研究數(shù)據(jù)的豐富使得本文的創(chuàng)新是比較明顯的。概括而言,創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)主要體現(xiàn)在以下四個(gè)方面： 1、城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)使得流動(dòng)人口與常住人口群體成為兩個(gè)異質(zhì)群體。流動(dòng)人口群體權(quán)利被相對(duì)剝奪對(duì)其行為有明顯影響,從而對(duì)流動(dòng)人口犯罪的發(fā)生起著重要的作用。 2、犯罪群體中的流動(dòng)人口與常住人口在群體結(jié)構(gòu)、犯罪行為方式,刑罰處罰結(jié)構(gòu)方面都有著明顯的不同,建立了常住人口和流動(dòng)人口犯罪群體年齡趨勢模型,明確了流動(dòng)人口犯罪年齡趨勢曲線具有的單峰性質(zhì)。 3、通過模型分析,進(jìn)一步確立流動(dòng)人口犯罪是權(quán)利被相對(duì)剝奪和社會(huì)控制弱化共同作用結(jié)果的觀點(diǎn),建立了流動(dòng)人口犯罪多元線性回歸模型和誤差修正模型(ECM),比較科學(xué)地解釋了轉(zhuǎn)型期流動(dòng)人口犯罪率上升的現(xiàn)象,揭示流動(dòng)人口犯罪人數(shù)的變化具有長期效應(yīng)和短期效應(yīng)的特征。 4、轉(zhuǎn)型期社會(huì)控制特征表現(xiàn)在縱向弱化和橫向差異兩個(gè)方面：從縱向看,存在控制組織結(jié)構(gòu)解體、控制力量減弱、控制人員不足等社會(huì)正式控制力的弱化過程。從橫向看,存在省區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡、人口流動(dòng)分區(qū)明顯、地方性法規(guī)頒布時(shí)間差異、公共安全支出地域差異等位移差異。從而提出了加強(qiáng)社會(huì)控制的橫向分區(qū)、縱向分段的區(qū)段遞進(jìn)戰(zhàn)略的觀點(diǎn)。
[Abstract]:The history of social progress is the history of the interaction and development of the productive forces and the relations of production. It is also a history of the population generation, which is the basic element of the productive forces and the bearers of all production relations. The population flow is the inherent characteristic of the population group, and the existence of the flow of population reflects the necessity of the social and economic development. And trend.
In December 1978, China entered the transition period from the planned economy to the socialist market economic system, from the closed society to the open society. In the process of transformation, the increasingly accelerated process of non agricultural and urbanization has formed a large scale of floating population. According to the results of the 1% population sampling survey in 2005, 2 In 005 years, the floating population in China has reached 147 million 350 thousand, accounting for 11.28%. of the total population in China.
The floating population has promoted the social and economic development of our country and changed the long-standing two yuan structure in urban and rural areas, which profoundly affected the economic and social changes in China. However, the mass flow of the population has also formed a impact on the social structure and social order, causing various social contradictions and social conflicts, especially the floating population as a criminal owner. The number of crime in itself is increasing, and the influence of crime is becoming worse and worse, which makes China enter the fifth period of high tide of crime since the founding of new China, marked by the crime of floating population.
In order to further reveal the inherent law of the crime of floating population, this article mainly combines the empirical data to discuss the characteristics of the crime group of the floating population, the mode of criminal behavior and the penalty structure of the floating population, the influence of the social and economic factors on the crime of the floating population and so on.
The full text is divided into nine chapters to discuss.
The first chapter is an introduction, which gives a general introduction to the background and methods of the study.
The second chapter studies the theoretical basis and relevant literature review. It introduces the theory of human rights related to the crime of floating population, the basic theory of population law and the sociology of crime, and summarizes the relevant research results at home and abroad at present, which makes this research work on the basis of these basic theories and on the basis of relevant literature. That's ok.
The third chapter is a historical review of the management of the floating population and the situation of the crime. A brief introduction is made to the management of the refugees and the prevention and control of the crime in the past dynasties. The policy of the management of the floating population in the various stages of the new China since the founding of the people's Republic of China is reviewed, and the criminal status and type of the crime in different stages are summarized and analyzed.
The fourth chapter is the characteristics of the crime group of the floating population. This chapter collects the abundant data of the crime of the floating population in the whole country, and the data of the crime of floating population in Shanghai, Zhejiang Province over the past thirty years. It also selects the 2009 judgment of the intermediate people's court of Zhengzhou city of Henan province and the intermediate people's Court of Guangzhou in Guangdong Province, which is determined to be guilty in the ruling. The defendant is the research sample. The scale, structure, behavior and penalty characteristics of the floating population criminal groups are elaborated in detail.
The first section clarifies that the crime of floating population has been increasing year by year through the analysis of the crime data of floating population since 2005, Shanghai and Zhejiang province since the reform and opening up since 2005.
The second section makes a structural analysis of the gender, age and educational level of the floating population.
The third section analyzes the criminal group's recidivism, the characteristics of crime types and the forms of criminal organization, and clarifies the behavior characteristics of floating population crime.
Section 4 analyzes the penalty structure of the floating population criminal groups, including the types of sentences, sentences and probation.
The fifth section established a crime age trend model in Zhengzhou city and Guangzhou city according to the stratification of the resident population and the floating population. It is clear that the age of the crime of the floating population is mainly concentrated at the age of 19-24, and the curve of the age trend has the character of single peak.
Chapter five is endogenous crime-relative deprivation of rights among heterogeneous groups. This chapter is divided into two sections to discuss the endogenous factors of floating population crime.
The first section is the heterogeneity of the population of the floating population and the permanent population. Through the comparison of the three aspects of the natural structure, the regional structure and the social structure of the floating population and the permanent population, the characteristics of the heterogeneity of the two different populations of the floating population and the permanent population are clearly defined.
In the second section, the rights of the floating population are relatively deprived. To compare the right and actual conditions of the four rights in the political, economic, social and cultural education of the floating population, the scope and extent of the relative deprivation of the rights of the floating population are clearly defined.
Chapter 6: Externality of crime - weakening of social control in dynamic environment. This chapter is divided into four sections to discuss the social and economic external factors affecting the crime of floating population.
In the first section, the dynamic characteristics of the social economy are analyzed from three aspects: the sustained economic growth, the accelerated urbanization process and the acceleration of the population flow.
The weakening process of the second section of longitudinal control is analyzed from the aspects of the disintegration of the structure of the control organization, the weakening of the control force and the shortage of the control personnel. At the same time, the weakening of the informal binding force, such as blood relationship and social relations, is also analyzed.
In the third section, the difference in displacement of lateral control is analyzed from four aspects, such as the unbalanced economic development, the obvious population flow division, the time difference of local regulations and the regional difference of public safety expenditure.
The fourth section controls the impact of the policy. Through the trend simulation of the crime rate data, this paper analyzes the influence of the three "severe attacks" on the crime trend in 1983, 1996 and 2001, and affirms the role of "severe fighting" to effectively curb the fast rising trend of crime. Meanwhile, it also discusses the changes in the standard of the crime of theft in 1992. Changes in the number of crimes.
The seventh chapter is the formation of crime - the synergy of endogeneity and exogeny. This chapter adopts different data analysis methods according to the different characteristics of the data, which is divided into five sections to discuss the formation of crime.
The first section analysis of the influencing factors of the crime of floating population. According to the number of criminals in the 1980-2009 years in Zhejiang Province, the number of criminals in the country is estimated. On the basis of the estimated data, the relative deprivation index of the number of criminals in the floating population and the relative deprivation of rights - the income difference between urban and rural residents and the index of economic development level The multiple linear regression model of the per capita gross national product and social control index, such as the rate of breaking the case rate, has been set up in the process of modeling, parameter estimation, model test and model optimization. After eliminating the collinear influence of the explanatory variables, the number of crimes committed by the floating population represents the relative deprivation of rights and the social control. The results of the interaction between the two aspects are weakened.
On the basis of the optimization of the multiple linear regression model, the unit root test and cointegration test of the time series data are carried out on the basis of the multiple linear regression model. The error correction model (ECM) is established, which reveals that the change of the number of criminals in the floating population has the changing characteristics of the long term effect and the short-term effect, the floating population. The criminal system has the function of self correction, and the influence of endogenous factors on crime is lagging behind.
The third section of the mobile population crime model proves that the crime rate in our country since the transition period (the number of criminal cases per 100 thousand people) is interpreted as the variable, and establishes the multiple linear regression model and the error correction model of the crime rate, and concludes that the crime rate model has the same model characteristics with the mobile population crime model, thus verifying the national flow. Although the number of population offenders is estimated data, the model established on the basis of estimated data is still scientific.
The fourth section of the floating population crime provincial cluster analysis. According to the number of criminals in the provinces, the temporary population, the public safety expenditure and the per capita GDP in 2009, the cluster analysis of the 31 provinces (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) is carried out in 31 provinces of the country, and the 31 provinces are divided into five categories, and the crime of the floating population in the provinces and regions in each category is special. The signs are close, and the difference between the categories is larger.
The fifth section of international crime trend analysis. According to the cross-sectional data of the 2006 World prison population statistics, the proportion of the criminal population is analyzed. According to the data of the time series of crime rate in the United States and Japan since 1978, the formation of the crime rate inflection point is analyzed, and the related analysis and comparison of various countries with different social and economic factors are analyzed and compared. Based on the analysis, the general trend of China's future crime is predicted.
First, the ratio of the criminal population, the per capita GDP and the human development index of the 72 countries with a population of more than 10 million are analyzed. The correlation between the ratio of the criminal population and the human development index is more obvious, and there is a positive correlation between the two, the higher the human development index, the greater the ratio of the offender's population. The significant level is not high. Under the circumstances, the ratio of criminals' population is also related to GDP per capita. The higher the per capita GDP, the greater the economic development, the greater the ratio of criminals.
Secondly, the influence of different countries on crime in different stages of urbanization is analyzed. The result shows that the crime rate is not related to the index of urbanization rate. However, in the lower urbanization rate group, with the increase of urbanization rate, the crime rate also has a rising trend.
Finally, according to the data of the 1978-2008 years' crime rate in the United States, Japan and China during the same period of the period of transition, the phenomenon of the absolute decline in the absolute number of crimes in the United States in 1991 and Japan since 2003 is analyzed. The crime trend in the two periods before and after the time point is analyzed, and the facts of the turning point of the two countries' crime rate have been affirmed.
The eighth chapter is the path choice for the crime prevention and control of the floating population. The factors that lead to the crime of the floating population are manifested in two aspects: the relative deprivation of the rights of the floating population and the weakening of the social control. Thus, the six concrete measures for the crime prevention and control of the floating population are put forward in these two aspects: to establish the right of migration to protect the rights and interests of the flow of population and to establish the right to migrate. In addition to the crime label of the floating population, the protection of the equal rights, the integration and symbiosis of the population group, the strengthening of the right of participation and the smooth flow of the expression channels for the interest of the floating population. In the aspect of strengthening social control, the multidimensional constraints, the comprehensive management policy of tempering and the leniency, the progressive strategy of the horizontal section and the longitudinal section, the movement of the crowd and the dynamic space solidification Control mode.
The ninth chapter is a brief conclusion.
The crime of floating population is a complicated social phenomenon. In this paper, there are two aspects about the relative deprivation of the rights of the floating population and the weakening of the macro social control, which are rich in collecting the data of the time series and cross section of the crime in China and abroad, making the whole Research Based on the empirical data. The characteristics of the combination of macro analysis and microanalysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis have revealed the inherent regularity of the crime of floating population in the transition period.
Because of the maturity of the research theory, the diversity of research methods and the abundance of research data, the innovation of this paper is more obvious. In summary, the innovation points are mainly reflected in the following four aspects:
1, the two yuan structure in urban and rural areas makes the floating population and the permanent population group become two heterogeneous groups. The relative deprivation of the rights of the floating population has an obvious influence on its behavior, which plays an important role in the occurrence of the crime of the floating population.
2, there are obvious differences between the floating population and the permanent population in the group structure, the way of criminal behavior and the structure of punishment and punishment. The age trend model of the permanent and floating population is established, and the single peak character of the trend curve of the crime age of the floating population is clearly defined.
3, through model analysis, we further establish that floating population crime is a relative deprivation of rights.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類號(hào)】：D917

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本文編號(hào)：2167367