1955—2007年中國經(jīng)濟與犯罪關(guān)系實證研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-02 21:24
本文選題:經(jīng)濟增長 切入點:收入差距 出處:《中國農(nóng)業(yè)大學學報(社會科學版)》2009年02期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:文章對1955—2007年中國經(jīng)濟增長、收入差距、人口流動率、城市化水平和犯罪率變化的數(shù)據(jù)運用嶺回歸方法建立多元線性回歸模型,分析了改革開放前后犯罪率變化與經(jīng)濟增長、收入差距、人口流動率、城市化水平的關(guān)系。實證結(jié)果表明,宏觀經(jīng)濟政策的變化對犯罪率有重要影響,不管在何種經(jīng)濟體制之下,經(jīng)濟增長始終會導致犯罪率的下降,而收入差距擴大都會帶來犯罪率上升,由于社會控制方式的轉(zhuǎn)變,改革開放以后人口流動率上升和城市化規(guī)模的擴大是犯罪率上升的重要原因。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of China's economic growth, income gap, population mobility, urbanization level and crime rate during 1955-2007, a multivariate linear regression model was established by using the ridge regression method. The changes of crime rate and economic growth before and after reform and opening up were analyzed. Empirical results show that changes in macroeconomic policies have an important impact on crime rates, and that under any economic system, economic growth will always lead to a decline in crime rates. The increase of income gap will lead to the increase of crime rate. Because of the change of social control mode, the increase of population mobility rate and the expansion of urbanization scale after reform and opening up are the important reasons for the increase of crime rate.
【作者單位】: 西北農(nóng)林科技大學經(jīng)濟管理學院;陜西省人民檢察院;云南財經(jīng)大學;
【分類號】:D917
【參考文獻】
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