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1955—2007年中國經(jīng)濟(jì)與犯罪關(guān)系實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-02 21:24

  本文選題:經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 切入點(diǎn):收入差距 出處:《中國農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版)》2009年02期  論文類型:期刊論文


【摘要】:文章對(duì)1955—2007年中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、收入差距、人口流動(dòng)率、城市化水平和犯罪率變化的數(shù)據(jù)運(yùn)用嶺回歸方法建立多元線性回歸模型,分析了改革開放前后犯罪率變化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、收入差距、人口流動(dòng)率、城市化水平的關(guān)系。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明,宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的變化對(duì)犯罪率有重要影響,不管在何種經(jīng)濟(jì)體制之下,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)始終會(huì)導(dǎo)致犯罪率的下降,而收入差距擴(kuò)大都會(huì)帶來犯罪率上升,由于社會(huì)控制方式的轉(zhuǎn)變,改革開放以后人口流動(dòng)率上升和城市化規(guī)模的擴(kuò)大是犯罪率上升的重要原因。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of China's economic growth, income gap, population mobility, urbanization level and crime rate during 1955-2007, a multivariate linear regression model was established by using the ridge regression method. The changes of crime rate and economic growth before and after reform and opening up were analyzed. Empirical results show that changes in macroeconomic policies have an important impact on crime rates, and that under any economic system, economic growth will always lead to a decline in crime rates. The increase of income gap will lead to the increase of crime rate. Because of the change of social control mode, the increase of population mobility rate and the expansion of urbanization scale after reform and opening up are the important reasons for the increase of crime rate.
【作者單位】: 西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;陜西省人民檢察院;云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);
【分類號(hào)】:D917

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