本文選題：宮頸癌 + 趨勢　； 參考：《中華腫瘤防治雜志》2015年21期

【摘要】：目的江蘇省昆山市宮頸癌發(fā)病情況目前尚未開展研究。本研究分析昆山市宮頸癌發(fā)病率和時(shí)間趨勢,為宮頸癌防治提供流行病學(xué)依據(jù)。方法收集昆山市2006-2013年腫瘤登記報(bào)告的宮頸癌病例資料,計(jì)算粗發(fā)病率,并使用中國2000年標(biāo)準(zhǔn)人口計(jì)算年齡標(biāo)化發(fā)病率(age standardized rate,ASR);使用Join-point回歸計(jì)算年度變化百分比(annual percentage change,APC),評(píng)價(jià)宮頸癌發(fā)病率等在年份之間的時(shí)間趨勢。采用灰色模型(grey model,GM)預(yù)測未來年份宮頸癌發(fā)病率。結(jié)果昆山市宮頸癌粗發(fā)病率由2006年的6.34/10萬上升到2013年的16.84/10萬,APC=13.1%,95%CI為7.8%~18.4%。宮頸癌年齡標(biāo)化發(fā)病率由2006年的4.99/10/萬上升到2013年的12.30/10萬,APC=12.5%,95%CI為6.9%~18.2%。累積發(fā)病率(0~74歲)由2006年的0.43%上升到2013年的1.10%,APC=11.8%,95%CI為6.7%~16.9%。25~45歲是宮頸癌的高發(fā)年齡�；疑Ｐ皖A(yù)測結(jié)果顯示,2014-2016年宮頸癌粗發(fā)病率分別為17.94/10萬、18.40/10萬和18.87/10萬,呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢。結(jié)論昆山市宮頸癌發(fā)病呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)上升趨勢,需要加強(qiáng)相關(guān)防治措施,特別是25~45歲的婦女。
[Abstract]:Objective to investigate the incidence of cervical cancer in Kunshan City, Jiangsu Province. This study analyzed the incidence and time trend of cervical cancer in Kunshan City to provide epidemiological basis for cervical cancer prevention and treatment. Methods the data of cervical cancer cases reported from 2006 to 2013 in Kunshan City were collected and the crude incidence was calculated. The standard population of China in 2000 was used to calculate the age-standardized incidence rate and the annual percentage rate was calculated by Join-point regression to evaluate the time trend of the incidence of cervical cancer in different years. Grey model (GM) was used to predict the incidence of cervical cancer in future years. Results the crude incidence of cervical cancer in Kunshan increased from 6.34 / 100 thousand in 2006 to 16.84 / 100 thousand in 2013. The age-standardized incidence of cervical cancer rose from 4.99 / 10 / 10,000 in 2006 to 12.30 / 100 / 100 in 2013, with 12.95% CI of 6.9% and 18.2%. The cumulative incidence rate increased from 0.43% in 2006 to 1.10% in 2013. The results of grey model forecast showed that the crude incidence of cervical cancer in 2014-2016 was 179,400 / 100,000,000 and 188.87 / 100,000respectively, showing an upward trend. Conclusion the incidence of cervical cancer in Kunshan City is on the rise, and it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and treatment measures, especially for women aged 25 to 45 years.
【作者單位】： 昆山市疾病預(yù)防控制中心慢性非傳染性疾病預(yù)防控制科;
【分類號(hào)】：R737.33

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 徐曉燕;周正元;張寧;周r，

本文編號(hào)：1970408